Posted on 09/07/2008 10:06:04 AM PDT by jokyfo
John McCain has moved ahead of Barack Obama in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking, 48% to 45%, following last week’s Republican convention. This is McCain’s best showing since May.More ...
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Helmet-hair and that other weenie are their (Dem) senators; and don't forget who gave us George McGovern (NDaks neighbor to the south).
Folks, it’s still way early, but I like seeing a lead when it comes from Gallup which is usually close.
Polling depends on if Democrats are controlling the polling. This is called trick polling.
McPain might just run an 8-state campaign: PA, OH, FL, VA, CO, NH, MI, and WI and maybe NM to try to hold the Senate seat there. Most of these states are not any where nearly competitive.
It’s called the “Peace Garden State” and many of the kind and gentle people there think government is their “friend” and can “do more” for the “needy”.
We'll win Michigan. This state is slightly democrat leaning about 52%, but it is not a social liberal state despite it's left wing economic leanings and strong dislike of rich people. There is a strong life and gun culture, and McCain does not have a rich kid image like Bush had. More importantly, the lunchbuckets will not vote for a man who reminds them of the Detroit mayor.
Then there is turnout.
First of all, I don't see that happening. She wants to be president and NOT Vice President. Secondly she can't stand Obama. if Obama loses, Hillary is in a better position to run in 2012.
Why is Iowa so liberal?
Iowa does get huge subsides for ethanol, could play a big part in voting dem.
Thanks AdmSmith.
Thanks 2ndDivisionVet and grellis:
McCain and Palin roll into Michigan
Myanmar News | September 5, 2008
Posted on 09/05/2008 10:43:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/2075864/posts
Barack Obama wished to join the military
but the Vietnam war’s end cooled his ardor?
[Obama in the class of 1979 means the fall of Saigon happened his freshman year]
The American Thinker | 09/07/2008 | Ed Lasky
Posted on 09/07/2008 10:26:31 AM PDT by airedale
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2076750/posts
Not true. If McCain is leading by 10 points nationally among likely voters, the electoral college map tody would be a sea of red. Even California would be red (albeit barely). These maps are based on polls that are often weeks old.
I worked for years as a survey interviewer. They get a set proportion of R’s D’s and Independents, regardless of who is at home. Much of the difference in results are due to using biased proportions — ie, polling more Dems than will actually turn out to vote.
Bush actually carried Iowa last time, in '04. Came close in Minnesota and Wisconsin too. Not sure about Michigan. Ann Arbor/Detroit, lots of leftist political organization (ie, ballot stuffing).
Poll: State (Indiana) in play for Obama
McCain barely leads; Daniels ahead in governor’s race.
Brian Howey
Saturday, September 06, 2008
INDIANAPOLIS - Hoosiers will find themselves at the American political epicenter as Republican presidential nominee John McCain holds a narrow 45-43 percent lead over Democrat Barack Obama in Indiana, according to a Howey-Gauge Poll of registered voters. The race falls within the poll’s 4.1 percent +/- margin of error.
In the Indiana gubernatorial race, Gov. Mitch Daniels holds a commanding 53-35 percent lead over Democrat Jill Long Thompson. Daniels is attracting 24 percent of Democratic vote, while 27 percent of Obama’s support is coming from Daniels’ supporters. The Republican governor is also attracting 27 percent of the African-American vote with 22 percent of that traditionally Democratic demographic undecided.
The Howey-Gauge Poll was conducted with 600 registered likely voters on Aug. 29-30. The survey began 20 hours after Obama’s Democratic National Convention acceptance speech, and five hours after McCain announced the selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate. Poll respondents were universally aware of both events.
In the presidential race, McCain slightly underperformed the GOP base. Both McCain and Obama have near universal name recognition at 99 percent. McCain’s 55 percent favorable recognition was up 8 percent and his unfavorables stood at a relatively low 27 percent.
Obama’s favorables have been on a steady increase from 41 percent in the April Howey Gauge Poll to 56 percent in this survey. His negatives fell from 34 percent in April to 27 percent in August. Hoosiers having a hard opinion of McCain increased from 72 percent in April to 82 percent.
“The positive movement for Obama is significant,” Gauge Market Research pollster Holly Davis said. “At the end of the day, we’ll have to wait and see if Obama’s impact is larger than that of Palin’s. We will see if the new voters that were registered before and after the May Democratic primary outweigh the renewed excitement social conservatives have for Sarah Palin.”
In the gubernatorial race, Democrat Jill Long Thompson faces a similar dilemma to what she faced in the primary. Her total awareness stood at 77 percent, up from 41 percent in February and 59 percent in April. While that number increased, her favorables and unfavorables both increased 10 percentage points from 22 and 9 in April to 32 and 19 in August.
On the re-elect question, Daniels has improved from a 41 percent in February to 47 percent in April a month after HB 1001 passed the Indiana General Assembly and 48 percent in August. Forty percent responded by saying “elect someone new” and 12 percent were undecided.
“In this environment, 48 percent is OK,” said Davis. “If that number was still in the low 40s, the governor would be in trouble. On the right track/wrong track question, 47 percent said right track (compared to 37 percent in February, 39 percent in April). The wrong track numbers have declined from 40 percent in February, 41 percent in April and 35 percent in August.”
The poll was the third conducted since February by Indianapolis-based Gauge Market Research for Howey Politics Indiana, a nonpartisan, online publication and Web site covering national and Indiana politics. The complete survey can be viewed at www.howeypolitics.com and www.gaugemarketresearch.com.
The final Howey-Gauge Poll will be conducted in late October and released Thursday, Oct. 23.
Their conversation makes my skin crawl! Usually one would have to go to a metal concert to get conversation like that.
“Their conversation makes my skin crawl! Usually one would have to go to a metal concert to get conversation like that.”
Hey, I take offense to that ;-)
Perhaps you have listened to the wrong type of metal. Try some power and progressive metal. Good music and a fairly intelligent fan base to boot.
Yeah, actually so do I. I love metal concerts and there are actually quite a few conservatives in attendance.
Perhaps you have listened to the wrong type of metal. Try some power and progressive metal. Good music and a fairly intelligent fan base to boot.
I'm hoping to catch Metalica and Down for the first time ever this November in Moline Il.
Not quite.
Actually, it was the Clinton's that played the race card against Obama.
They deliberately trashed their African American constituency so that they could cry 'racism, all the whites need to vote for us'.
Fortunately, it didn't work.
You really think the media was in the tank for him?
Remember when they, the media, were harping on Rezko, Rezko, Rezko? Obama is corrupt because of Rezko?
How much press did you see at the same time about HSU?
How much press did you see at the same time about JINNAH?
How much press did you see at the same time about SCRUGGS?
Hillary had three MAJOR campaign donators/bundlers convicted on felony charges this year. The media hardly ever mentioned them.
The media is still in the tank for the Clinton's.
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