Posted on 09/07/2008 6:35:58 AM PDT by NYC Republican
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday, September 7, shows the race for the White House is tied.
In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%. Tracking Poll results are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.
This past Tuesday, Obama’s bounce peaked with the Democrat enjoying a six-percentage point advantage. Before the two conventions were held, Obama had consistently held a one or two point lead over McCain for most of August (see recent daily results).
Tracking Poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, tomorrow (Monday) will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after McCain’s speech. By Tuesday or Wednesday, the net impact of both political conventions should be fairly clear.
McCain earns the vote from 89% of Republicans while Obama is supported by 81% of Democrats. McCain also manages to attract 15% of Democrats while Obama gets 9% of the Republican vote. Voters not affiliated with either major party remain fairly evenly divided between the two men.
McCain leads by seven points among men while Obama leads by six among women. On Tuesday, when Obama’s lead peaked, he had a fourteen point advantage among women. Premium Members can review demographic crosstabs and all the data we collect--not just the portion we make public. Premium Members can also get an advance look at tracking poll results via the Daily Snapshot each morning.
Forty-two percent (42%) of voters say that economic issues are most important this year and Obama holds a 34-point advantage among these voters.
Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters say the national security issues are most important. Among these voters its McCain by 39.
The Republican hopeful also leads by wide margins among those who consider fiscal issues or cultural issues most important. Obama leads among those primarily interested in domestic programs such as Social Security and health care.
Overall, McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of the nation’s voters while Obama earns positive reviews from 56% (see trends).
Palin is viewed favorably by 58% of voters including 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of her. Biden earns positive reviews from 48% of voters.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Obama voters now say they are voting with enthusiasm for their candidate while 17% are primarily voting against the other candidate. For McCain, those numbers are 65% and 28% respectively. Before the Republican convention, just 54% of McCain voters were voting enthusiastically for him rather than simply voting against Obama.
Each Saturday morning, Rasmussen Reports reviews the key polls of the past week to learn What They Told Us.
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently shows Obama leading in states with 193 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 183 votes (see Quick Campaign Overview). When leaners are included, it’s Obama 264, McCain 247 (see 50-State Summary).
Data from Rasmussen Markets currently gives Obama a 57.4 % chance of winning in November. Other key stats of Election 2008 can still be seen at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers. Sign up for a free daily e-mail update.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters--is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members.
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. Our baseline targets are established based upon survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews). For September, the targets are 39.7% Democrat, 32.1% Republican, and 28.2% unaffiliated (see party trends and analysis). For the month of August, the targets were 40.6% Democrat, 31.6% Republican, and 27.8% unaffiliated.
A review of last week’s key polls is posted each Saturday morning. We also invite you to review other recent demographic highlights from the tracking polls.
If only you listened to Rush more... and you should. About 30 million of us do.
LLS
Hey tool... Either you can’t count (I clearly stated that the 2nd one - the “F” word, is one I’ve used in the past... Not the “N” word... Or, you’re trying to call me a racist... Either way, your tactics are disgusting
I’ve listened to him most every day since 1992. Sorry folks, but no one is rebutting my basic arguments.
Sorry, but again your argument fails. I was replying to your sarcastic remark implying that this forum shouldn’t delete or discourage certain language; although you did make the exception for “stupid” (understandably so)
It’s not THE N word. Already mentioned that many times here.
"The Magic Negro is a figure of postmodern folk culture, coined by snarky 20th century sociologists, to explain a cultural figure who emerged in the wake of Brown vs. Board of Education. "He has no past, he simply appears one day to help the white protagonist," reads the description on Wikipedia"
And frankly, I am not trying to call you a racist; I’ll let others judge, because I don’t. I just don’t think certain language should be used in polite society. I don’t think Ronald Reagan would use it today, in public or private. But go ahead, be my guest.
Wrong. The mods can strike down ANYTHIGN they see fit, and can BAN anyone, for any reason... Like I said, we're ALL guests in their living room... They control whatever they want... They (rightfully) can filter as they wish
The Magic Negro is a figure of postmodern folk culture, coined by snarky 20th century sociologists, to explain a cultural figure who emerged in the wake of Brown vs. Board of Education. “He has no past, he simply appears one day to help the white protagonist,” reads the description on Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magical_Negro .
He’s there to assuage white “guilt” (i.e., the minimal discomfort they feel) over the role of slavery and racial segregation in American history, while replacing stereotypes of a dangerous, highly sexualized black man with a benign figure for whom interracial sexual congress holds no interest.
Thanks Kabar
You are quite right, in that Jim can ban me if that is his wish. Although I would hope that he would not given that I am expressing my opinion, in a civil manner (even though I am being called a tool by one of your apparent supporters). Jim can feel free to review my past history of postings and know that I am not a hack, tool, etc.
I just don’t think it helps the conservative cause by using the phrase “Magic Negro” and I bet that a good number of folks who come to this site on a regular basis agree.
LLS
Is the 'Negro College Fund' racist? Is the Nationl Association for the Advancement of Colored People racist? OK...bad examples of course they're both racist but not because of their use of the terms negro or colored.
Nonsense. The economic woes have been created because of the economic philosophies that both parties are wedded to but won’t rid even though they are hurting the American worker. It’s been brewing for years but it’s finally coming to head.
Nope- you.re wrong
Which harmful economic policies were pushed by the Democrats?
Which harmful policies were pushed by the Republicans?
Which harmful policies did John McCain push?
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