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The American Debate: It's little discussed, but Obama's race may be decider (barf alert)
Philadelphia Inquirer ^ | September 7, 2008 | Dick Polman

Posted on 09/07/2008 6:09:13 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter

Let us swing the door ajar and invite the elephant into the room. One big reason Barack Obama is locked in a tight race, rather than easily outdistancing his opponent, is because he is black.

That factor is rarely discussed in polite political conversation. People tend to dance around it, talking instead about Obama's perceived inexperience, or his youth, or his perceived airs, or his liberal voting record. And racist sentiment rarely shows up in the polls, because a lot of people don't want to share their baser instincts with the pollsters; they'll save that instead for the privacy of the voting booth.

But the incremental evidence - anecdotal and even statistical - has become impossible to ignore.

Union organizers in the key state of Michigan complain in the press that, as one puts it, "we're all struggling to some extent with the problem of white workers who will not vote for Obama because of his color." An aging mine electrician from Kentucky is quoted as saying, "I won't vote for a colored man. He'll put too many coloreds in jobs." An elderly woman in a New Jersey hair salon is overheard complaining about Barack and Michelle Obama the other day, about how blacks supposedly have larger bones than whites, and about how she's fleeing America if Obama wins.

Jimmy Carter, while attending the Democratic convention, cited race as a "subterranean issue," yet at times this year it has been bared for all to see. Case in point, Pennsylvania. On the day of the Democratic presidential primary, 12 percent of the white Democratic voters told the exit pollsters that race mattered in their choice of candidate; of those whites, 76 percent chose Hillary Rodham Clinton over Obama. The same pattern surfaced in other states, including the key autumn state of Ohio.

This is worth pondering a moment longer. If 12 percent of Democratic voters are willing to tell exit pollsters, eye to eye, that race was an important factor, to Obama's detriment, isn't it fair to assume that the real percentage (including those who kept their sentiments private) was actually higher? And what might this portend for the general election, when the white electorate will be broader, and hence significantly less liberal, than in Democratic contests?

Here's one hint. Last June, the Washington Post-ABC News poll devised a "racial sensitivity index," based on a series of nuanced questions that were designed to measure the varying levels of racial prejudice in the white electorate. The pollsters came up with three categories, ranging from most to least enlightened. The key finding: Whites in the least-enlightened category - roughly 30 percent of the white electorate - favored John McCain over Obama by a ratio of 2-1.

A few prominent Democrats did broach this sensitive topic at the Denver convention. Dee Dee Myers, the former Bill Clinton aide, shared her concerns at one political forum, and with good reason. She worked for Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley in the 1980s, when it appeared that Bradley was a cinch to win his U.S. Senate contest despite his race. The final round of polls showed him winning comfortably. He lost.

"I lived through that," Myers said. "We're whistling past the graveyard if we think that race was not a factor in the Democratic primaries. Today's young voters will get us past these attitudes," but it will take time. As for millions of older voters, "they talk about having 'culture' problems [with Obama], but to separate culture from race is impossible."

And Markos Moulitsas, who runs the liberal Daily Kos blog, said: "It's human nature. A lot of people want to cling to the comfortable world that they've always lived in. The Obamas don't look like what First Families have always looked like. This will be one of the factors in the fall, because a lot of people simply want to stick with what they've known in the past."

The race obstacle is not necessarily fatal, of course, because in the end it may be trumped by other factors - such as McCain's age, or nagging concerns about handing the nuclear football in an emergency to a "hockey mom" as GOP vice presidential candidate whose chief national security credential is the proximity of Alaska to Russia.

But clearly Obama needs to tread carefully, arguably by stressing lunch-pail economic issues and continuing to present himself as a "post-racial" candidate. He will need to dispel these white suspicions, if only because whites will continue to dominate the electorate - they constituted 77 percent of all voters in 2004 - even if he manages to inspire an historic black turnout. He has to bond somehow with blue-collar whites, yet he cannot show too much passion, because, as Democratic strategist Joe Trippi explained to me, "those whites don't like to see a black guy getting angry, it's a dangerous thing for an African American candidate to do."

I'm not suggesting that racism would be the sole explanation for an Obama loss. Nor am I seeking to insult those who object to Obama purely on the issues. But if Obama winds up losing after having posted a seemingly solid polling lead on election eve, we may well find ourselves pondering the words of Henry David Thoreau, who wrote in 1854 that "public opinion is a weak tyrant, compared with our own private opinion."


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 90percent; 90percentofblacks; 90percentofblackvote; mccainpalin; obama; obamabiden; palin
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To: whatshotandwhatsnot

These mainstream media types JUST CAN’T HELP THEMSELVES! At least I’ll give Polman credit in this piece: he’s pointing out that the racist attitudes he thinks may impact the general election were on display in the primary election among the Democrats.

But then there’s this little entry: “Whites in the least-enlightened category - roughly 30 percent of the white electorate - favored John McCain over Obama by a ratio of 2-1.” I’m wondering how they came up with the segment “least enlightened” — was this based on cultural issues (bitterly clinging to guns, religion) or just political affiliation (Republicans, self-idenitifed conservatives).

Keep it up, Media! You’ll get our turn-out up to 90%!


61 posted on 09/07/2008 9:36:02 AM PDT by ReleaseTheHounds ("The demagogue is one who preaches doctrines he knows to be untrue to men he knows to be idiots.")
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
If we are going to let the elephant in the door then let's admit that the reason Obama is the Dem candidate is because he is black, not in spite of it. If he weren't black, the black vote would have been split among the Dem candidates, with most of it going to Hillary.
62 posted on 09/07/2008 9:44:09 AM PDT by yazoo
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

Resume of: B HUSSEIN OBAMA

1.) COLB
Proven fake by more than one source
2.) Sketchy childhood
We know some details - Lots of gaps - muslim?
3.) College thesis has vanished
Was it anything like Michele’s?
4.) Overseas travel
Pakistan? Why? On what passport?
5.) Law records
What cases did he represent?
6.) Senate records disappeared
What was he trying to hide?
7.) Associations
Rev Wright, Ayers, Michele etc.
8.) Senate voting record
That speaks for itself
9.) SCOTUS
Who would his choices be?
10.) Proven Liar
11.) Inexperience

That’s why I cant vote for him. Nothing to do with color.


63 posted on 09/07/2008 9:44:22 AM PDT by mouse1 (McCain/Palin 08 Palin/Jindal 12)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
The MSM pulling the race card from the bottom of the deck. They are trying to lay a guilt trip on whites saying that if you don't vote for Obama you are a racist. It is a dangerous game they are playing because if Obama loses, it could spark race riots and be divisive for a long time to come. The MSM relies on guilt and fear to manipulate the public.

Of course, it doesn't matter that in the Dem primaries, blacks voted more than 90% for Obama. Race has nothing to do with it.

64 posted on 09/07/2008 9:49:42 AM PDT by kabar (.)
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To: All

His race is why he’s even here to begin with...


65 posted on 09/07/2008 9:52:47 AM PDT by Maverick68 (w)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

Yet it’s perfectly acceptable that blacks and guilty libs are only voting for him because of his color.


66 posted on 09/07/2008 10:19:16 AM PDT by pollwatcher (Palin was put on this earth to do two things: kill caribou and kick butt. She's all out of caribou.")
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To: yazoo

Geraldine Ferraro called it correctly months ago when she outted The One for being the fraud that he is. Those Clinton supporters are not all “getting over it.”


67 posted on 09/07/2008 10:20:07 AM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
This is worth pondering a moment longer. If 12 percent of Democratic voters are willing to tell exit pollsters, eye to eye, that race was an important factor, to Obama's detriment, isn't it fair to assume that the real percentage (including those who kept their sentiments private) was actually higher? And what might this portend for the general election, when the white electorate will be broader, and hence significantly less liberal, than in Democratic contests?

This is has been my point for a while. Remember by the time Ohio and Pennsylvania Democratic Primaries came about - Obama had this thing won. Now most people by that stage are going to vote for the obvious winner. But this race issue IMHO did more for Hillary winning than people who really supported Hillary. The "Race" issue is like the 2000 lb gorilla in the room nobody wants to notice.

 

When Obama started this race, he was a fresh new face with a winning message to defeat Hillary. So fresh he was that he never was properly vetted. So by the time his warts were revieled he no longer that Fresh Face of this past spring. He's been tagged as your typical liberal. No different from Kerry or Al Gore. But most important, he lost the "Transendant Canidate" label that negated the race issue. Early in the primaries he was able to overcome the race issue becease he had the "Transendant Canidate" label. He lost it. It's gone.

 

My problem with many polls.....many people are embarrassed to comment on race. So the polls right now.....personally I would take the polls and give 5 to 10 points away from Obama. You do that and this election will be a blowout for McCain. I firmly belive the 1st Female President and the 1st Black or any other race President will be a conservative one. Palin has taken a huge step to become our 1st female president in the future. Much better odds than Hillary would have ever dreamed.

Then Michelle can go back and call America a "Mean Country".

68 posted on 09/07/2008 10:51:42 AM PDT by TheShaz (Read My Lipstick ! - McCain-Palin 2008)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

Yes, we’re seeing a bunch of these types of stories lately. They are both trying to set up a narrative for explaining when 0bama loses, and at the same time trying to rally their base


69 posted on 09/07/2008 10:56:50 AM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
The Monday after the election all the Weekly mags will have the same front cover

"What Happened" Why Racism is Alive in Well in America
70 posted on 09/07/2008 11:02:30 AM PDT by TheRedSoxWinThePennant
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
One big reason Barack Obama is locked in a tight race, rather than easily outdistancing his opponent, is because he is black.

That's true, since were he not black, a man of Obama's meager accomplishment and demonstrably limited abilities (other than the ability to deliver a speech off a teleprompter) would not even be in the race.

There are a universe of reasons to vote against Obama, and really few (if any) compelling reasons to vote for him.

But it the Democrats want to make it about race, that's their trip, not mine.

71 posted on 09/07/2008 11:30:10 AM PDT by Maceman (If you're not getting a tax cut, you're getting a pay cut.)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
They see the light at the end of the tunnel and realize that it's a train wreck for their messiah!

You're going to see more of this excuse making in weeks to come!

72 posted on 09/08/2008 7:58:58 AM PDT by markomalley (Extra ecclesiam nulla salus)
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