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Dick Morris: Hurricane Gustav Helps GOP
Newsmax ^ | 9/2/08 | Jim Meyers

Posted on 09/02/2008 11:59:18 AM PDT by truthandlife

Political analyst Dick Morris tells Newsmax that neither Hurricane Gustav nor the pregnancy of Sarah Palin’s daughter will have a negative effect on Republican efforts as the November election draws closer.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: 2008rncconvention; bush; dickmorris; election; gop; gustav; issues; mccain; mccainpalin
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1 posted on 09/02/2008 11:59:19 AM PDT by truthandlife
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To: truthandlife
Sarah Palin - Obambi Raider

2 posted on 09/02/2008 12:07:46 PM PDT by Fred (The Democrat Party is the Nadir of Nihilism)
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To: truthandlife

I really felt sorry for the girl. This is going to backfire big time on the Left. The kid looked pathetic...scared on tv. Most decent people will realize some very vicious animals from the MSM are filth. I wonder what they would have said a few years ago if Chelsea was with child.


3 posted on 09/02/2008 12:08:55 PM PDT by Radl (rtr)
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To: truthandlife
Mark my words.

This will ALL blow over.

The Left and the MSM are taking their best shots at her and they will not be able to knock her out. This is their last and best chance and they will fail. Then it is on to the real campaign.

I can hear Plain on the stump now:

“The media and the Liberals tried to pick your candidate for you...are you going to let that happen?”

I know the kind of woman and person Sarah Palin is and I would not want to tangle with her.

Obama is already responding to the claim of her having more executive experience then he does. He is doing that because he is afraid, not because he is confident.

She is more than a fine pick.

4 posted on 09/02/2008 12:09:27 PM PDT by jokyfo ("OBAMA" is Arabic for "CIPHER" and Farsi for "VACUUM")
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To: truthandlife
Morris obviously hasn't seen the polls numbers from the weekend showing Obama moving up to hit 50% and McCain dropping to 42% in Gallup's latest poll. The issues with Palin definitely have affected this race. It remains to be seen whether the McCain campaign can overcome them.
5 posted on 09/02/2008 12:11:59 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: jokyfo

Yep, I think you’re right. If we’re talking about foreign policy credentials I sure as heck feel more comfortable sending someone who knows which end of a gun the bullet comes out of and how to use a knife for something other than cutting a filet mignon over to chat with Vlady Putin.


6 posted on 09/02/2008 12:18:11 PM PDT by technically right
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Morris also said Bush would recover his approval rating after Katrina because he would get credit for the rebuilding.

We see how well that prediction went.

Morris is interesting when he talks about strategy generically...he is good a breaking it down. But he is horrible at predicting.


7 posted on 09/02/2008 12:20:56 PM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: CatOwner

“Morris obviously hasn’t seen the polls numbers from the weekend “

My guess is he has seen them. The difference is he actually understands how to read them. It’s a game of expectations and Obama’s bounce was less than and anticipated and at best on par with historical averages. Plus McCain’s favorable ratings went up with Republicans and Independents after the Palin pick. But it is still to earlier from folks to switch from undecided to McCain until they see more of Palin.


8 posted on 09/02/2008 12:21:53 PM PDT by frankjr
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To: jokyfo

It’s a circus right now.
DNC, RNC, Palin, Gustav, MSM freaking out left and right, polls jumping up and down.

And not even a single debate yet! LOL

All this will pass and be distant memory soon.

The debates and the real campaigns have yet to start.


9 posted on 09/02/2008 12:22:49 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: CatOwner

I am not convinced that Obama’s recent move to 50% is because of the Palin attacks. Here’s why: the surprise pick blunted Obama’s convention bounce, but only momentarily. What you’re seeing now is the same bounce you would have seen if McCain had gone with someone conventional and boring as a running-mate.

It is a theory, at least, and only time will tell.


10 posted on 09/02/2008 12:23:08 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: CatOwner
Gallup has been polling registered voters, and it historically overstates Dem numbers and understates Pub numbers. Other, more accurate polls (e.g., Rassmussen, Zogby) use likely voters, and they show a statistical dead heat. Remember to that the Obama, the lead Marxist Brother, consistently over-polled in the primaries; people who said they were going to vote for him did not. That likely will happen again in the general — there's a significant slice of the voters who will vote for a black man, just not this one.
11 posted on 09/02/2008 12:25:59 PM PDT by twister881
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To: CatOwner

The McCain campaign need not worry over these premature poll numbers, the dimwits will take care of that themselves


12 posted on 09/02/2008 12:26:00 PM PDT by peace with honor
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To: truthandlife

In this case I think Morris is right; because this time the adults are in charge.


13 posted on 09/02/2008 12:34:17 PM PDT by clee1 (We use 43 muscles to frown, 17 to smile, and 2 to pull a trigger. I'm lazy and I'm tired of smiling.)
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To: truthandlife

Though I’m often skeptical of Dick Morris I believe he’s right on this and makes a good point about McCain taking Palin on even knowing about her daughter.


14 posted on 09/02/2008 12:47:59 PM PDT by jazusamo (DefendOurMarines.org | DefendOurTroops.org)
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To: peace with honor

THAT WAS MY FIRST POST, I’M PROUD TO BE PART OF FREE REPUBLIC!!


15 posted on 09/02/2008 12:50:50 PM PDT by peace with honor
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To: CatOwner

Maybe....

I think Morris is right. This is going to bite them in the @ss. Let’s see the polls that reflect the responses.


16 posted on 09/02/2008 12:57:50 PM PDT by Lee'sGhost (Johnny Rico picked the wrong girl!)
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To: CatOwner

You said it yourself weekend polling


17 posted on 09/02/2008 1:08:16 PM PDT by italianquaker (Great choice Mccain in Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: truthandlife

In the short term, Gustav hurt — it gave Obama the bounce that he didn’t get from his convention, and it cut the momentum McCain got from the Palin pick.

For 3 days the media was able to replay the Katrina story again and again, reminding people of how “bad” it was handled.

Since Katrina was the seminal event that triggered the Democrat takeover of DC, it was not surprising that Obama has gotten a bounce in the polls the last few days.

One could hope that everything going well would mitigate the bounce, but the media pretty much put an embargo on ANY story that points out that the REpublican governor of LA did things correctly.


18 posted on 09/02/2008 1:10:48 PM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: jokyfo

She is strong but how will her daughter handle it

What if it really has a bad emotional impact on her daughter who is carrying a baby

That is a whole new ball game .It is not the same as the mother standing up under pressure

This is not a good situation and I sure hope they talked it over with the daughter extensively and let her know what she was in for ( if they didn’t realize how vicious the left is they are naive to say the least) before embarking on this trip


19 posted on 09/02/2008 1:17:17 PM PDT by uncbob
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To: truthandlife

Obama was supposed to have a solid lead going into his convention, then expand it with a “bounce.” He didn’t have much if any pre-convention lead, and for a couple of days it was looking like he wouldn’t even get a bounce. Now that it looks like he did, some of us are disappointed. But McCain is still in a better position than he expected to be going into his convention. Steve Schmidt presumably had a plan to win this election even if McCain was down 12-16 points heading into the RNC — I suppose he still has a plan.


20 posted on 09/02/2008 1:24:56 PM PDT by Burma Jones
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