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Why Obama is unlikely to get a convention bounce [Here come the excuses!]
The Philadelphia Inquirer ^ | 08/31/2008 | By Dick Polman

Posted on 09/01/2008 4:39:04 AM PDT by johnny7

DENVER - It has become a tradition at national conventions to speculate on the size of the presidential candidate's "bounce." The gold standard was set by Bill Clinton in 1992, when the newly anointed Democratic nominee busted out of his convention and rolled by bus across the swing-state heartland, buoyed by a hike of 16 percentage points in the Gallup poll.

(Excerpt) Read more at sltrib.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; 2008polls; electionpresident; nobounce; obama; obamadonis
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To: Former Proud Canadian

If these jokers want to discount bounces, so be it. It will be all the harder to explain away the 15 to 20% bounce that is about to come the way of McCain/Palin.

I’m laughing all the way to the voting booth!

These socialist wonder-pundits are totally clueless.


21 posted on 09/01/2008 5:11:25 AM PDT by John Valentine
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To: tips up

They are saving that one for after he looses.


22 posted on 09/01/2008 5:12:40 AM PDT by festus (Tagline removed.)
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To: johnny7

Will the excuses include his disowned, “Uncle” Jeremiah? Apparently, Uncle is now stumping for Barry yet again ‘liberally’ using the race card.

“This ordinary boy just might be, come November, the 4th, this ordinary boy from a single parent home with a daddy from Kenya and a mama from Kansas. This ordinary boy just might be the first president in the history of the United States to have a black woman sleeping at 1600 Pennsylvania, legally.”

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/08/31/1315411.aspx


23 posted on 09/01/2008 5:14:12 AM PDT by whatshotandwhatsnot
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To: HEY4QDEMS
It's not how many....it's WHY??

And remember that stadium was filled with Hillary supporters.

Just another "Rock Star" episode.

24 posted on 09/01/2008 5:19:36 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (I'm planting corn...Have to feed my car...)
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To: johnny7
...Obama's speech was viewed by over 40 million!

Does that include the Kenyans and Germans?

25 posted on 09/01/2008 5:19:36 AM PDT by Loyal Buckeye
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To: HEY4QDEMS

Maybe that’s why he didn’t get a bounce; that many people walked away unimpressed.


26 posted on 09/01/2008 5:19:44 AM PDT by sobieski (L)
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To: sobieski

I agree, some were very unimpressed, others were just damned frightened.


27 posted on 09/01/2008 5:23:53 AM PDT by HEY4QDEMS
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To: johnny7

gotta love when the media rewrites history, did they mention that a huge part of the ‘Clinton bounce’ was that Ross Perot who was at about 20% in the polls dropped out of the race the day Clinton received the DNC nomination?


28 posted on 09/01/2008 5:26:02 AM PDT by edzo4 (Vote McCain, Keep Your Change)
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To: HEY4QDEMS

That could be the real result of the big hype about the Invesco Field speech. The Ds got 40 million to tune in, and Hussein was not able to change minds. The Great Speaker failed. We’ll see how it plays out, but BHO may have peaked.


29 posted on 09/01/2008 5:28:31 AM PDT by sobieski (L)
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To: Schnucki

The bounced cat was unavailable for comment...


30 posted on 09/01/2008 5:29:47 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Obama wants to raise taxes and kill babies; Palin wants to raise babies and kill taxes.)
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To: johnny7
That's strange... the DBM says that Obama's speech was viewed by over 40 million!

Thats the problem. It was THE HIGHEST RATED acceptance speech in history and he only gets 8%? Pathetic!

31 posted on 09/01/2008 5:35:20 AM PDT by Bommer ( Osama Bin Ladin - A Dumb@ss Muslim! Obama/ Biden - A Muslim with a Dumb@ss!)
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To: johnny7
Palin, the Hurricane, and the dud speech all combined to deflate the O balloon. The hurricane, that all the dRat officials laughed at, will have passed by this evening. The competent Jindal (R) administration has minimized evacuation problems taking New Orleans off the radar before tomorrow. All the hurricane has done is take The Messiah off the news agenda. The McCain convention will dominate the news for the next week.
32 posted on 09/01/2008 5:42:59 AM PDT by norwaypinesavage (Global Warming Theory is extremely robust with respect to data. All observations confirm it)
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To: whatshotandwhatsnot
"This ordinary boy just might be the first president in the history of the United States to have a black woman sleeping at 1600 Pennsylvania, legally"

I have been on vacation and just read this. I couldn't believe it. Wright actually said that? Wow, what a supreme compliment (Not) to Obama that this is the most important thing Wright can think of to say to promote him for president. Again, Wright is trying to slam the whites by insinuating that he believes that previous presidents had black mistresses in the White House. What a back-handed compliment to Obama, And how it shows that Wright believes that Obama's supporters are only fixated on sex and sleeping partners, and not national issues of importance or anything of national significance. For Wright it must all be about sex, entitlements, and getting back at whitey. And Obama is letting this guy keep talking. Wright just keeps giving gifts to the McCain campaign with talk like this.

33 posted on 09/01/2008 6:11:45 AM PDT by CitizenM ("An excuse is worse than an lie, because an excuse is a lie hidden." Pope John Paul, II)
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To: Schnucki
Yes, and then it was cut in half by the VP anouncement of Palin.

I still say that if the RATS were not up by +10 at the end of the convention, they were toast.

After the RNC (or version of it) is when the masses start paying attention. A.

34 posted on 09/01/2008 6:22:15 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (OBAMA: He was a flop before he became a flipper.)
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To: pieceofthepuzzle
The problem with this viewpoint is that it fails to take into account the fact that when people know up front that their efforts will not matter in the end because the government is going to take much of what their extra efforts earn them, they won't be making those extra efforts. Taxing heavily on the back end is a sure way to inhibit productivity and investment on the front end.

If I know a thief is waiting for me on my usual way home after work, I'm going to take a different way home. If the school yard bully is waiting to fleece me as I enter the gate, I'll take Dad's gun to school or drop out of school.

For being so smart, dems and libs and other socialists alway fail to take into consideration the natural response of those work. Thieves always feel they are entitled to our property.

35 posted on 09/01/2008 6:26:06 AM PDT by nonsporting
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To: nonsporting
“For being so smart, dems and libs and other socialists alway fail to take into consideration the natural response of those work. Thieves always feel they are entitled to our property.”

I agree. I think the stereotypical liberal viewpoint concerning ‘fairness’ and ‘equity’ is a primitive one, sometimes based on true concern, sometimes based on envy and less honorable human traits. I think most of us want others to do well and are troubled by the misfortune of others. Evidence of this is clear from the way people respond with their checkbooks and efforts when there's a natural disaster. But we also know that the reasons there is inequity in the world are many and inequity is not a simple matter of the ‘haves’ taking advantage of the ‘have nots’.

36 posted on 09/01/2008 6:53:36 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: johnny7

many are already working four months out of the year for the government and don’t relish handing over more to people who stand around waiting for their government checks


37 posted on 09/01/2008 7:35:04 AM PDT by yldstrk (My heros have always been cowboys--Reagan and Bush)
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To: johnny7

Because mean old John McCain took Obamas bounce away


38 posted on 09/01/2008 8:46:23 AM PDT by adversarial (the pros and cons of voting for)
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To: sobieski

You people (yes, it’s a Rush quote) have forgotten one thing, that the DUmmys have going for them, the DEAD vote to steal the election.


39 posted on 09/01/2008 12:58:52 PM PDT by sig229 (The loonie left "FLUNKED" human nature 101)
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