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CNN: Post-Biden Poll Shows Dead Heat (Obama-Biden Ticket Gets Dead Cat Bounce)
CNN ^ | Sunday, August 24, 2008 | Paul Steinhauser

Posted on 08/24/2008 5:33:40 PM PDT by kristinn

It’s a dead heat in the race for the White House. The first national poll conducted entirely after Barack Obama publicly named Joe Biden as his running mate suggests that battle for the presidency between the Illinois senator and Republican rival John McCain is all tied up.

In a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Sunday night, 47 percent of those questioned are backing Obama with an equal amount supporting the Arizona senator.

“This looks like a step backward for Obama, who had a 51 to 44 percent advantage last month,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

“Even last week, just before his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate became known, most polls tended to show Obama with a single-digit advantage over McCain,” adds Holland.

So what’s the difference now?

It may be supporters of Hillary Clinton, who still would prefer the Senator from New York as the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Sixty-six percent of Clinton supporters, registered Democrats who want Clinton as the nominee, are now backing Obama. That’s down from 75 percent in the end of June. Twenty-seven percent of them now say they’ll support McCain, up from 16 percent in late June.

“The number of Clinton Democrats who say they would vote for McCain has gone up 11 points since June, enough to account for most although not all of the support McCain has gained in that time,” says Holland.

SNIP

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted on Saturday and Sunday, with 1,023 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all voters. For registered Democrats, it is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, and for Democrats who still support Clinton for the party's nomination, it is plus or minus 7.5 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; 2008polls; biden; deadcat; electionpresident; obama; obamabinbiden; tossups
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To: kristinn
Last evening I tried for two hours to get to view this post. I couldn't get past the news/activism list. Everything was frozen. Was there decreased activity on Free Republic last night.

Everything is very SLOW loading today. When I go elsewhere I am not having this same problem.

101 posted on 08/25/2008 10:31:00 AM PDT by proud2beconservativeinNJ ("In God We Trust")
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It could be worse you know. They could have Ludicris leading the Pledge and telling duh white Hillary bitches to wait der turn. I’m still trying to find out which “songs” by the “artist” Snoop Dog does Obama allow his daughters to listen to? Probably a beautiful love ballad.


102 posted on 08/25/2008 11:01:05 AM PDT by donaldo
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To: Jeff Chandler
They’re hoping Biden will appeal to the clingers.

Photobucket

103 posted on 08/25/2008 11:16:38 AM PDT by rfp1234 (Phodopus campbelli: household ruler since July 2007.)
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To: proud2beconservativeinNJ
I wasn't able to log on for hours last night...and today it's slowwwwwwww.
104 posted on 08/25/2008 11:37:07 AM PDT by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: kristinn


Sen. Biden, black-belt Olympic questioner, holds five
world records for the longest questions ever asked.
(See if you can figure out what the questions were.)



No. 1: "Well, it was a pretty outrageous group. I mean, I believe you that you were unaware of it. But here I was, University of Delaware graduate, a sitting United States senator, I was aware of it because I was up there on the campus.... I mean, it was a big deal. It was a big deal, at least in our area of the Delaware Valley, if Princeton, Penn, the schools around there had this kind — because the big thing was going on at Brown at the time as well. And by the way, for the record, I know you know when you stated in your application that you are a member — you said in ‘85, I am a member — they had restored ROTC. ROTC was back on the campus. But again, this is just by way of why some of us are puzzled. Because if I was aware of it, and I didn't even like Princeton... I mean, I really didn't like Princeton. I was an Irish Catholic kid who thought it had not changed like you concluded it had. I admit, one of my real dilemmas is I have two kids who went to Ivy League schools. I'm not sure my Grandfather Finnegan will ever forgive me for allowing that to happen. But all kidding aside, I wasn't a big Princeton fan. And so maybe that is why I focused on it and no one else did. But I remember it at the time. The other thing is, Judge, the other thing you should be aware of — and do not take this personally, what's going on here — every nominee that comes before us is viewed by all the senators — left, right, center, Democrat, Republican — at least on two levels, at least in my experience here."

No. 2: "The first one is individual qualifications and what their constitutional methodology, their views are, their philosophy. But the other is — and it always occurs — whose spot they're taking and what impact that would have on the court. Everybody wrote with Roberts after the fact that a lot of people voted for Roberts that were doubtful. I was doubtful, I voted no. But he was replacing Rehnquist. So Roberts for Rehnquist, you know, what's the worst that can happen, quote/unquote, or the best that can happen? (LAUGHTER) No, I'm not being facetious. What's the best or worst? If you're conservative, the best that can happen is he's as good as Rehnquist. From the standpoint of a — someone who's a liberal, the worst that can happen, he's as good as Rehnquist. So, I mean — but you're replacing — I mean, we can't lose this and so people understand this. You are replacing someone who has been the fulcrum on an otherwise evenly divided court. And a woman who's — most scholars who write about her, and in a retrospective about her, say this is a woman who viewed things from — the phrase you've used — a real-world perspective. This was a former legislator, this was a former practitioner, this was someone who came to the bench and applied — to her critics, she applied too much common sense. Critics would say that she was too sensitive to the impact on individuals, you know, that — what would happen to an individual. So her focus on the impact on individuals was sometimes criticized and praised."

No. 3: "It's just important you understand, at least for my questioning, that this goes beyond you. It goes to whether or not your taking her seat will alter the constitutional framework of this country by shifting the balance 5-4, 4-5, one way or another. And that's the context in which, at least, I want to ask you my questions after trying to get some clarification, or getting some clarification from you on concern Princeton. Because, again, a lot of this just is puzzling; not not able to be answered, just puzzling. Judge, you and I both know — and clearly one of the hallmarks, at least in my view, of Justice O'Connor’s position was, she fully understood the real world of discrimination. I mean, she felt it. Graduated number two in her class from Stanford, couldn't get a job, was offered a job by law firms — granted, she was older than you are, but couldn't get a job because she was a woman; they'd offer her a job as a secretary. And so she understood what I think everybody here from both ends of the spectrum understand: that discrimination has become very sophisticated. It's become very, very sophisticated, very much more subtle than it was when I got here 34 years ago or 50 years ago. And employees don't say any more, you know, We don't like blacks in this company, or, We don't want women here."

No. 4: "They say things like, Well, they wouldn't fit in, or, You know, they tend to be too emotional or a little high-strung. I mean, there's all different ways in which now it's become so much more subtle. And that's why we all, Democrat and Republican, wrote Title VII. We wrote these laws to try to get at what we observed in the real world. What we observed in the real world is it's real subtle. And yet it's harder to make a case of discrimination even though there's no doubt that it still exists. And so I'd like to talk to you about a couple of anti- discrimination cases. One is the Bray case. In that case, a black woman said she was denied a promotion for a job that she was clearly qualified for. There was no doubt she was qualified. And she said, I was denied that job because I'm a black woman. And it was, as I said, indisputable she was qualified. It was indisputable that the corporation failed to follow their usual internal hiring procedures. And the corporation gave conflicting explanations as to why they reached the decision to hire another woman who they asserted was more qualified than Ms. Bray. Now the district court judge said, you know, Ms. Bray hadn't even made a prima facie case here, or she made — but she hadn't made a sufficient showing to get to a jury; I'm finding for the corporation here. And Ms. Bray's attorney appealed and it went up to the 3rd Circuit. And you and your colleagues disagreed. Two of your colleagues said, you know, Ms. Bray should have a jury trial here. And you said No, I don't think she should, and you set out a standard, as best I can understand it. I want to talk to you about it. And your colleagues said that if they applied your standard in Title VII cases, discrimination cases, that it would effectively — their words — eviscerate Title VII because, they went on to say, it ignores the realities of racial animus."

No. 5: "They went on to say that racial animus runs so deep in some people that they're incapable of acknowledging that a black woman is qualified for a job. But, Judge, you dismissed that assertion. You said that the conflicting statements that the employer made were just loose language, and you expressed your concern about allowing disgruntled employees to impose cost of a trial on employers. And so your colleagues thought you set the bar, I think it's fair to say, pretty high in order to make the case that it should go to a jury. Can you tell me what the difference is between a business judgment as to who's most qualified — you said, This comes down to subjective business judgment — and discrimination? You said, Subjective business judgment should prevail unless the qualifications of the candidate are extremely disproportionate. What's the difference between that in today's world and discrimination? I know you want to eliminate discrimination. Explain to me how that test is distinguishable from just plain old discrimination."

.

105 posted on 08/25/2008 12:31:51 PM PDT by OESY
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To: hole_n_one

A rhetorical question: Religious people who do not answer the phone on the Lord’s Day - where do they lean? Just curious.


106 posted on 08/25/2008 12:49:25 PM PDT by Lexinom
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To: BenLurkin
That's an interesting picture of Biden and Hillary.

Looks like a couple at a wake. That's probably NObama in the casket.

107 posted on 08/25/2008 12:51:59 PM PDT by GOPologist (In God We Trust :-))
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To: hole_n_one

Gergen is just looking for a job in an Obama administration. His opinion is worthless.


108 posted on 08/25/2008 2:29:36 PM PDT by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: rbg81
Street Thug and Butt Plug.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pardon me for asking, but....which is which

For me, it works either way.

109 posted on 08/25/2008 3:21:52 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: sunmars

Another indicator that Obama’s stock may be falling are the sportsbook odds. He went from -275 to -200.


110 posted on 08/25/2008 5:02:27 PM PDT by cousineasy
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To: AdmSmith; Berosus; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Fred Nerks; george76; ...

In Denver, Deep Doubts About Obama
NRO | August 25, 2008 | by Byron York
Posted on 08/25/2008 7:23:14 AM PDT by library user
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2067555/posts


111 posted on 08/25/2008 7:25:33 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_______Profile hasn't been updated since Friday, May 30, 2008)
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To: kristinn
It may be supporters of Hillary Clinton, who still would prefer the Senator from New York as the Democratic Party's presidential nominee.
...not to mention that, if non-native-citizen Obama is allowed to run, so should George W. Bush. Thanks kristinn. :')
112 posted on 08/25/2008 7:28:58 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_______Profile hasn't been updated since Friday, May 30, 2008)
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To: kristinn
Ha,ha,ha,ha,ha,ha,ha,ha

What if the media tried to sell us a candidate, and no one bought?

113 posted on 08/25/2008 8:06:57 PM PDT by Volunteer (Just so you know, I am ashamed the Dixie Chicks make records in Nashville.)
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To: kristinn

I think it is going to be a pretty interesting election season. Despite Obama’s early so-called charisma, his lack of judgement — when it comes to identifying his associates — will come back to bite him. I hope that Repubs keep the heat and keep spreading the message that Obama is indeed a marxist whore.


114 posted on 08/25/2008 8:18:50 PM PDT by sagar
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To: Matchett-PI
If we can increase our numbers in Congress on McCain’’s coat-tails, we (conservatives) will be in a much better position to exert our influence to stop him from advancing the parts of his agenda we hate.

I couldn't agree more. And as you said, the drilling issue can only help conservatives. Along with the other aspects of our economic problems.
115 posted on 08/25/2008 8:34:57 PM PDT by CottonBall
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To: Reagan Man; Gilbo_3; hiredhand; Squantos; Jo Nuvark; Das Outsider

“...Obama made an audacious choice in Joe Biden ...”

It’s the “Audacity of Dopes - Part II.”


116 posted on 08/26/2008 9:04:09 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By any means necessary.)
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To: kristinn

the handwriting is on the wall. Most of those undecideds will shift toward McCain. Bo is not gonna make it.


117 posted on 08/26/2008 11:06:58 AM PDT by rightwinggoth
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To: hsalaw
How do they determine "likely voters"?

From what I studied, back in grad school, you went to the Registrar of Voters and found out who had voted in primary, general and special elections. These were the reliable voters based on their own behavior. Then you placed these folks into a representative, stratified sample (so many women, men, blacks, whites, etc., etc.) and you performed further hocus-pocus. This costs a lot of money to do, much more than the costs of the numerous 1200 or so "registered voter" polls. These costly polls are seldom published as usually only the candidates pay.
118 posted on 08/27/2008 2:13:48 AM PDT by bajabaja
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To: kristinn
Photobucket

"Hillary" Obama has Edwards right where he wants Edwards

119 posted on 08/27/2008 2:21:54 AM PDT by MaxMax (I'll welcome death when God calls me. Until then, the fight is on)
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To: bajabaja

Thanks. That’s very helpful.


120 posted on 08/27/2008 8:23:58 AM PDT by hsalaw
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