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New Hampshire Poll: Obama's Big Lead Now Down To A Virtual Tie (Obama 47% - McCain 46%)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8/20/08

Posted on 08/20/2008 2:11:28 PM PDT by LdSentinal

The presidential race in New Hampshire is now a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds that Barack Obama's once-double-digit lead over John McCain is down to a statistically insignificant one-point lead, 43% to 42%.

When “leaners” are factored in, Obama is ahead 47% to 46%. Full demographic crosstabs are available for Premium Members. Time is running out to save on Premium Memberships. Sign up now and save. Learn More.

The Democrat’s support has steadily decreased in the Granite State since he clinched the nomination in early June. Obama fell from an 11-percentage point lead in mid-June to a six-point lead in July. The latest numbers mark the closest the race has been so far this year.

The latest numbers show support growing for McCain from those in his party. He now earns the vote from 87% of GOP voters, up from 78% a month ago. Though Obama still has a 42% to 34% lead among unaffiliated voters, support for the Democrat is down from 50% last month. He also has a 46% to 38% lead among women. Among men in New Hampshire, McCain has a 46% to 40% edge.

While Obama has a solid lead among younger voters, the race is close among voters between the ages of 30 and 64. McCain has a dominant lead among voters age 65 and older.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; mccain; newhampshire; nh2008; poll; tossups
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To: LdSentinal
Not to sound pessimistic here, but something smells with these polls. As much as I want McCain to defeat this bozo, something is wacky. I won't get my hopes up high until after the RAT convention poll numbers. A gut feeling tells me the evil RATS are up to something.
21 posted on 08/20/2008 2:31:42 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: goldfinch

this is why I am suspicious of these “magic polls”.

Obama is in a meltdown. Obama Nation has him rattled.

His piss poor performance has him nervous.

He is drowning and will grab the point of a sword to save himself.

This is all about lowering expectations.

Also if Obama picks hillary, it will potentially force mccain to pick “whoever” in a skirt.


22 posted on 08/20/2008 2:32:54 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: RoseofTexas

The current state of Obamaha: “I’m melting!”


23 posted on 08/20/2008 2:33:24 PM PDT by liberlog
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To: 2dogjoe

Wow. Thanks for that. That’s just a really sad, sad version, but wonderful.


24 posted on 08/20/2008 2:36:06 PM PDT by keepitreal ("I'm Barack Obama and I approve this message. . . until I don't.")
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To: LS
If it stays cold up here and the rats refuse to drill there might be more than a few flips, in this State.

The Median Wage in my Town is $38,000 for a family of two wage earners. At a thousand dollars a tank for home heating oil plus a $150 a week for commuting it doesn't take long for people to get focused.

25 posted on 08/20/2008 2:38:03 PM PDT by Little Bill
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I give BHO California, NY, Illinois, Delaware, Washington, DC, Maryland, and Connecticut. McCain gets the rest, just shy of 400 electoral votes.


26 posted on 08/20/2008 2:38:50 PM PDT by Former Proud Canadian (I would spend more time on FR but I have to make sure my tires are inflated.)
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To: liberlog
Be cautious folks. A lot of folk are saying the saddleback debate hurt oSama, probably a tad, but the majority of tv folk were watching the Olympics and most stations kinda blackout the debate. I think this is a setup. I just hope McCain's team are ready and waiting for whatever comes their way after the RAT convention.
27 posted on 08/20/2008 2:39:19 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: LdSentinal
I don't know what to believe. Today Rush says McCain is up over Barry by 5 points. While sneakin’ around DUmmies websites I see them touting numbers that show McCain losing ground. What gives? How well is McCain actually doing?
28 posted on 08/20/2008 2:39:21 PM PDT by FreeLuna (I knows a commie when I sees one!)
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To: goldfinch
I don't think BHO would even think of giving the nod to Hillary and Bill.

If he did, would she accept it? Don't you think the Clintons can sense that the ship is sinking? Do you really think she would go down with it?

29 posted on 08/20/2008 2:41:00 PM PDT by Former Proud Canadian (I would spend more time on FR but I have to make sure my tires are inflated.)
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To: goldfinch

RE: “Every poll showing McCain gaining on Obama increases the chances of him naming Clinton as his VP. I put on my tinfoil hat, but even with that fashion accessory, I could not decide if Clinton would rather take her chances on being VP...or if she would prefer to hold out for an Obama loss leading to another Hillary run in 2012.”

Agree — I don’t think Hillary wants to be Obama’s VP and risk having to wait thru possibly 8 years for another chance to run for POTUS. I think she’d rather stay off the ticket and give it a go in 2012 no matter who wins this November. But that’s just my thinking.............


30 posted on 08/20/2008 2:45:25 PM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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To: LdSentinal; LS
I think McCain will win in a landslide. That being said, Rassmussen has Obama is at 273 EVs. Let's say he's right but McCain snatches New hampshire leading to a 269-269 tie. Lieberman is rumored to be switching to the GOP giving them control.

There has to be a book in there somewhere.

31 posted on 08/20/2008 2:51:26 PM PDT by MattinNJ (I would really, really love to depose Obama.)
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To: RoseofTexas
I think this is a setup.

Rubbish! Rasmussen doesn't do "setups".

32 posted on 08/20/2008 2:52:38 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: MattinNJ
Lieberman is rumored to be switching to the GOP giving them control.

Control of what?

33 posted on 08/20/2008 2:53:35 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: liberlog

we do NOT want Obama to think he is in trouble.

Obama in trouble makes him desperate for an escape and escape means hillary.

Sun Tzu and all that, never leave the enemy thinking there is no way out. This makes the enemy desperate and they fight harder.


34 posted on 08/20/2008 2:54:34 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: CaliforniaCon
The position of VP is only what the President makes it. Believe me the Clintons will not play second fiddle to no one.
35 posted on 08/20/2008 2:56:12 PM PDT by kempo
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To: Clintonfatigued

Ping


36 posted on 08/20/2008 2:57:11 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: RoseofTexas

Saddleback stopped Obama from making inroads with the christian conservatives.

McCain said what he always says but said it better. (No mccain supporter here, detest his marriage amendment view, HOWEVER, he did say it very well even with the little stutter at the start.)

It was a Gandolf, you shall not pass moment and Obama did not pass.


37 posted on 08/20/2008 2:57:48 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: MattinNJ

Wouldn’t matter. It’s the new House and the new Senate which would decide the presidency and vice presidency respectively.


38 posted on 08/20/2008 2:59:18 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

39 posted on 08/20/2008 3:01:27 PM PDT by Republican Extremist
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To: AmericaUnited

Control of the Senate


40 posted on 08/20/2008 3:02:34 PM PDT by MattinNJ (I would really, really love to depose Obama.)
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