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Georgia invasion 'planned since April' (Best Background I've read)
The National ^ | August 16. 2008 | Alan Philps

Posted on 08/16/2008 8:36:34 AM PDT by Colorado Doug

The Russian invasion of Georgia was not a spontaneous response to what Moscow called “genocide” in South Ossetia but had been planned in detail since April,

(snip)

It is generally agreed that the spark for the war was the Nato summit in Bucharest in April at which Georgia was promised membership of the western alliance,

(snip)

By the start of August, Russian military engineers repaired the railway linking Russia to Abkhazia, allowing the sudden appearance of heavy military equipment that was later used to attack and loot the Georgian army base at Senaki,

(snip)

The Russian-backed separatists stepped up attacks on Georgian police and military, the Russian army began to bring in some heavy weapons to supplement their lightly armed troops who were there as international peacekeepers.

Russia’s Black Sea fleet, paratroopers and marines, were mobilised in the area for summer exercises titled “Kavkaz-2008”, concluded on Aug 2.

The incursion had to start by the end of August, as the troops could not be kept on full alert endlessly and the pass to South Ossetia would be snowed in by October, leaving only the Roki tunnel,

(snip)

In the end, the Georgian president, Mikheil Saakashvili, responded to a series of shooting incidents and roadside bombs with a full-scale assault to recapture the South Ossetian capital, Tskhinvali.

(snip)

The Russian preparations did not pass unnoticed to the Georgians, but – to their increasing frustration – they found little interest abroad in their warnings of an impending Russian assault.

(snip)

The Russians were encouraged when one of their MiG-29 fighters shot down a unmanned Georgian spy plane on April 20, to only muted western reaction. The Russian air force denied shooting down the drone, even though live video showed it was clearly a MiG-29.

(Excerpt) Read more at thenational.ae ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: caucasus; geopolitics; georgia; ossetia; russia; southossetia; tskhinvali
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1 posted on 08/16/2008 8:36:35 AM PDT by Colorado Doug
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To: Colorado Doug

thanks for this great thread...Unfortunately, many people on Freeper and in general...many of them die hard conservatives and anti communists have bought the initial Kremlin talking points.Just unbelievable.


2 posted on 08/16/2008 8:40:30 AM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (GOD BLESS GEORGIA! SAVE GEORGIA, OUR ALLY, NOW!)
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To: Colorado Doug

Given the amount of military power employed, the geographic setting, and the need to prepare a good cover story three to four months sounds spot on. Ample time to plan and deploy.


3 posted on 08/16/2008 8:40:35 AM PDT by xkaydet65 (Freedom is purchased not with gold, but with steel.)
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To: Recovering Ex-hippie; Cold Heat

Georgia ping.


4 posted on 08/16/2008 8:41:12 AM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (GOD BLESS GEORGIA! SAVE GEORGIA, OUR ALLY, NOW!)
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To: Recovering Ex-hippie; Colorado Doug
Inquiring minds want to know:

Where the hell was the CIA?


5 posted on 08/16/2008 8:43:24 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: Colorado Doug

I agree. This is good analysis.


6 posted on 08/16/2008 8:44:12 AM PDT by SumProVita ("Cogito ergo sum pro vita." .....updated Descartes)
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To: Colorado Doug
Sounds like what I've read.

In the end, the Georgian president, Mikheil Saakashvili, responded to a series of shooting incidents and roadside bombs with a full-scale assault to recapture the South Ossetian capital, Tskhinvali.

Not a smart move. Why not wait till the Russians had gone home from their War Games. Also why didn't they bomb the tunnel from Russia to South Ossetia.

One thing I don't see here is the timeline of the US forces training with the Georgians. From what I've been able to find out we had just left Georgia.

7 posted on 08/16/2008 8:44:24 AM PDT by McGruff (Kick Russia out of the G8, Kick them Now!)
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To: nathanbedford
Where the hell was the CIA?

Busily occupied in still trying to paper over their 9/11 failures, no doubt.
8 posted on 08/16/2008 8:45:59 AM PDT by beezdotcom
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To: McGruff
From what I've been able to find out we had just left Georgia.

Yep, at least from the base that got bombed. I had heard there were still some support personnel at another base, but I'm not positive about that.
9 posted on 08/16/2008 8:47:13 AM PDT by beezdotcom
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To: Recovering Ex-hippie

On day two I read a story that Georgia attacked South Ossetia because of rocket attacks into Georgia. What happened to that story. Now its all Georgia’s fault according to everything I’ve read since.


10 posted on 08/16/2008 8:47:42 AM PDT by rocksblues (Folks we are in trouble, "Mark Levin" 03/26/08)
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To: nathanbedford

Pray for the US if this is our ntelligence both CIA and military...Saakashvilli BEGGED the US and west to look at the realities of the Russians preparing for massive invasion.

Makes me wonder about the fifth column in our intelligence?


11 posted on 08/16/2008 8:48:46 AM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (GOD BLESS GEORGIA! SAVE GEORGIA, OUR ALLY, NOW!)
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To: nathanbedford

>Where the hell was the CIA?<

Gathering as much Intel as 44 satelites would allow.


12 posted on 08/16/2008 8:53:32 AM PDT by B4Ranch ("Don't pick a fight with an old man. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you"--John Steinbeck)
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To: Colorado Doug; jveritas; FARS; Ernest_at_the_Beach; knighthawk; Marine_Uncle; SandRat; ...

Georgian invasion planned for four months ping.


13 posted on 08/16/2008 8:53:40 AM PDT by elhombrelibre (Obama: vain, mercurial, inexperienced, aloof, condescending, doctrinaire, and Reverend Wright's son.)
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To: wideawake; MarMema; indcons; Petronski; Bender2

Ping.


14 posted on 08/16/2008 9:04:22 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: valkyry1; voteNRA; Monkey Face; MajorChaos; rrstar96; Jimmy Valentine; Arthur Wildfire! March; ...
Eastern European ping list

FRmail me to be added or removed from this Eastern European ping list

15 posted on 08/16/2008 9:05:41 AM PDT by Grzegorz 246
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To: Colorado Doug

And it caught our intelligence agencies by surprise?


16 posted on 08/16/2008 9:06:06 AM PDT by airborne (American by birth! Christian by choice!)
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To: Colorado Doug

Thank you very much for posting this. I’ve been looking for something like this for days!

Could someone send a link to this article over the the DU? They’re stuck in la-la land listening to a German politician who believes it’s all Georgia’s fault.


17 posted on 08/16/2008 9:10:17 AM PDT by rjp2005 (Lord have mercy on us)
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To: Colorado Doug

Anybody with a brain knew that the Russians were lying about the reasons for this brutal series of war crimes they’ve committed. Anyone could see that there was a great deal of planning and staging required to pull this off in a day the way they did. I was and continue to be flabbergasted at how many Freepres showed up here as apologists for the Russians.


18 posted on 08/16/2008 9:17:12 AM PDT by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: nathanbedford

The CIA has become so politicized...read that as extremely liberal...that’s it is now useless. They can’t be trusted.


19 posted on 08/16/2008 9:18:17 AM PDT by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: rjp2005
Somebody should tell this troll since he's busy pimping for Putin.
20 posted on 08/16/2008 9:28:46 AM PDT by Darksheare ("Do you like my body?" she said. "I like people to have bodies." I said while shoveling.)
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