Posted on 08/14/2008 2:56:35 PM PDT by LdSentinal
Much of Barack Obamas 12-point lead over John McCain has disappeared in Minnesota. He is now ahead of his Republican rival by only four percentage points 46% to 42%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Minnesota voters. With leaners factored in, Obama leads 49% to 45% (Demographic Crosstabs available for Premium Members.) Last month the Democrat had a 49% to 37% lead on McCain. In June he was ahead 52% to 39%. McCain is now supported by 91% of Republicans, up from 79% a month ago. Obama earns the vote from 89% of Democrats, down two points from last month. Among unaffiliated Minnesota voters, the candidates are essentially even. Obamas 19-point lead among women voters last month is now down to 13. McCain has moved ahead among male voters who now favor the Republican 47% to 42%. Last month, Obama had a slight edge among men.
McCain is now regarded favorably by 60% of Minnesota voters, unfavorably by 39%. Obama is viewed favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 42%. Picking Minnesotas Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty as his running mate might cost McCain more votes in the state than he will gain. Thirty-four percent (34%) of Minnesota voters say they are less likely to vote for the GOP candidate if Pawlenty is the vice presidential nominee, while 28% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain. Thirty-five percent (35%) say it will have no impact on how they vote.
Nearly a third of unaffiliated voters (32%), however, say putting Pawlenty on the GOP ticket makes them less likely to vote for it, while 22% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain. Only 11% say McCain is Very Likely to pick Pawlenty. Minnesota has gone for the Democratic presidential candidates in the last eight elections. John Kerry won the state 51% to 48% over President Bush in 2004.
Drip, drip, drip . . . .
Hey Barry! The dike is leaking!!!!
Dike? I thought we were talking about Obama, not... oh never mind.
Expect a bump up for Barack Hussein Obama after the convention. But then a lot of people will start to pay closer attention to him after that too which means his numbers will drop steadily until November.
The rat party has reached new heights of political stupidity this cycle. They are going to nominate a guy that even THIS electorate can’t stomach and they are trying hard to lose seats in congress with their utterly idiotic energy stance. I guess the Lord still does look with favor on this nation. We will see.
snicker
ping
Looks like poor Barry needs to go on another pre-presidential junket, or call his 200 advisers, or talk to George Clooney, or change a bunch more positions, or throw granny back under the bus, or denounce the Rev. Wright, or launch Oprah on another endorsement campaign, or beg for more coverage from a fawning media, or accuse McCain of racism, or polish the teleprompter with a new canned speech, or something ... and do it real quick!
MN ping.
Considering how liberal the Twin Cities are, I’ve been amazed at how few Obama bumper stickers I’ve seen.
Now if we can just get McCain a little breathing room in Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado, we'll be all set.
Wow! In Minnesota of all places.
Thanks for the Ping!
He is going to need a smoke after Hillary gets through with him at the convention . I don’t think she can steal the nomination but she can suck all the excitement out of it and deprive his campaign of a much needed bounce .
Thanks Titan and Norman for the pings.
You are quite welcome!
It is, for a number of reasons.
Summarize. :)
One is that Jewish voters are leery of Obama (subtle plug for Eric Cantor) and trust McCain on national security issues. Observant Catholics also have major problems wtih Obsma, and many such voters still support Democrats (very reluctantly) because of economic issues. In many urban states, those voters are offsetting Obama’s favorable ID among affluent voters who respond to his change message.
***Picking Minnesotas Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty as his running mate might cost McCain more votes in the state than he will gain. Thirty-four percent (34%) of Minnesota voters say they are less likely to vote for the GOP candidate if Pawlenty is the vice presidential nominee, while 28% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain. Thirty-five percent (35%) say it will have no impact on how they vote.***
The important point of the poll, Pawlenty as Veep has little impact on MN.
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