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New Minnesota Poll: Obama’s Lead Down to Four Points
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8/14/08

Posted on 08/14/2008 2:56:35 PM PDT by LdSentinal

Much of Barack Obama’s 12-point lead over John McCain has disappeared in Minnesota. He is now ahead of his Republican rival by only four percentage points 46% to 42%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Minnesota voters. With “leaners” factored in, Obama leads 49% to 45% (Demographic Crosstabs available for Premium Members.) Last month the Democrat had a 49% to 37% lead on McCain. In June he was ahead 52% to 39%. McCain is now supported by 91% of Republicans, up from 79% a month ago. Obama earns the vote from 89% of Democrats, down two points from last month. Among unaffiliated Minnesota voters, the candidates are essentially even. Obama’s 19-point lead among women voters last month is now down to 13. McCain has moved ahead among male voters who now favor the Republican 47% to 42%. Last month, Obama had a slight edge among men.

McCain is now regarded favorably by 60% of Minnesota voters, unfavorably by 39%. Obama is viewed favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 42%. Picking Minnesota’s Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty as his running mate might cost McCain more votes in the state than he will gain. Thirty-four percent (34%) of Minnesota voters say they are less likely to vote for the GOP candidate if Pawlenty is the vice presidential nominee, while 28% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain. Thirty-five percent (35%) say it will have no impact on how they vote.

Nearly a third of unaffiliated voters (32%), however, say putting Pawlenty on the GOP ticket makes them less likely to vote for it, while 22% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain. Only 11% say McCain is Very Likely to pick Pawlenty. Minnesota has gone for the Democratic presidential candidates in the last eight elections. John Kerry won the state 51% to 48% over President Bush in 2004.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Minnesota
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; electionpresident; mn2008; poll; purplestates; rasmussen; tossups
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1 posted on 08/14/2008 2:56:35 PM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: LdSentinal

Drip, drip, drip . . . .

Hey Barry! The dike is leaking!!!!


2 posted on 08/14/2008 2:58:32 PM PDT by surely_you_jest ( Obamarrhoids are a pain in the ass . . . .)
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To: surely_you_jest

Dike? I thought we were talking about Obama, not... oh never mind.


3 posted on 08/14/2008 2:59:37 PM PDT by ovrtaxt (This election is like running in the Special Olympics. Even if McCain wins, we're still retarded.)
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To: LdSentinal

Expect a bump up for Barack Hussein Obama after the convention. But then a lot of people will start to pay closer attention to him after that too which means his numbers will drop steadily until November.

The rat party has reached new heights of political stupidity this cycle. They are going to nominate a guy that even THIS electorate can’t stomach and they are trying hard to lose seats in congress with their utterly idiotic energy stance. I guess the Lord still does look with favor on this nation. We will see.


4 posted on 08/14/2008 3:00:18 PM PDT by scory
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To: ovrtaxt
Dike? I thought we were talking about Obama, not... oh never mind.

snicker

5 posted on 08/14/2008 3:04:17 PM PDT by surely_you_jest ( Obamarrhoids are a pain in the ass . . . .)
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To: TitansAFC

ping


6 posted on 08/14/2008 3:04:36 PM PDT by KansasGirl ( b/c Obama is just creepy.)
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To: LdSentinal

Looks like poor Barry needs to go on another pre-presidential junket, or call his 200 advisers, or talk to George Clooney, or change a bunch more positions, or throw granny back under the bus, or denounce the Rev. Wright, or launch Oprah on another endorsement campaign, or beg for more coverage from a fawning media, or accuse McCain of racism, or polish the teleprompter with a new canned speech, or something ... and do it real quick!

7 posted on 08/14/2008 3:06:36 PM PDT by Zakeet (Crime wouldn't pay if the government ran it)
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To: MplsSteve

MN ping.

Considering how liberal the Twin Cities are, I’ve been amazed at how few Obama bumper stickers I’ve seen.


8 posted on 08/14/2008 3:23:10 PM PDT by lesser_satan (Cthulu '08! Why vote for the lesser evil?)
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To: lesser_satan
More excellent news.

Now if we can just get McCain a little breathing room in Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado, we'll be all set.

9 posted on 08/14/2008 4:10:52 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: lesser_satan

Wow! In Minnesota of all places.


10 posted on 08/14/2008 4:16:22 PM PDT by ChocChipCookie (Homeschool like your kids' lives depend on it.)
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To: KansasGirl; Norman Bates

Thanks for the Ping!


11 posted on 08/14/2008 5:03:39 PM PDT by TitansAFC (In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
The McCain List.

"McCain is now regarded favorably by 60% of Minnesota voters, unfavorably by 39%. Obama is viewed favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 42%."

Minnesota
Obama 49%
McCain 45%

McCain is advancing in every category - among men, among women, and solidifying the support of his base to a rock solid level. Obama's once double-digit lead is now tenuous. This state has gone from hopeless and forgotten to near swing state status. But perhaps the most telling thing is the favorability edge we hold over Obama. If we pick off Minnesota, John McCain will almost certainly be the next President. At this point it's not looking like too much of a long shot.

12 posted on 08/14/2008 6:34:59 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Zakeet

He is going to need a smoke after Hillary gets through with him at the convention . I don’t think she can steal the nomination but she can suck all the excitement out of it and deprive his campaign of a much needed bounce .


13 posted on 08/14/2008 6:42:21 PM PDT by kbennkc (For those who have fought for it , freedom has a flavor the protected will never know)
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To: Norman Bates; TitansAFC

Thanks Titan and Norman for the pings.


14 posted on 08/14/2008 6:44:31 PM PDT by BARLF
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To: BARLF

You are quite welcome!


15 posted on 08/14/2008 6:46:07 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Clintonfatigued
It's getting awfully close in those "safe" Obama states.
16 posted on 08/14/2008 6:48:41 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

It is, for a number of reasons.


17 posted on 08/14/2008 6:59:44 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Summarize. :)


18 posted on 08/14/2008 7:02:07 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

One is that Jewish voters are leery of Obama (subtle plug for Eric Cantor) and trust McCain on national security issues. Observant Catholics also have major problems wtih Obsma, and many such voters still support Democrats (very reluctantly) because of economic issues. In many urban states, those voters are offsetting Obama’s favorable ID among affluent voters who respond to his change message.


19 posted on 08/14/2008 7:08:42 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: LdSentinal

***Picking Minnesota’s Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty as his running mate might cost McCain more votes in the state than he will gain. Thirty-four percent (34%) of Minnesota voters say they are less likely to vote for the GOP candidate if Pawlenty is the vice presidential nominee, while 28% say it makes them more likely to vote for McCain. Thirty-five percent (35%) say it will have no impact on how they vote.***

The important point of the poll, Pawlenty as Veep has little impact on MN.


20 posted on 08/14/2008 7:50:19 PM PDT by yongin
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