Zogby:McCain Leads Obama Narrowly (2nd Major Poll W/McCain Lead Today!)

Newsmax ^ | 8-4-08

[Solar Wind]

Just look around

- have you heard many of your friends and acquaintances say they were for Obama and now are for McCain?

Yes. Family friend of my wife. Life long Dem. Never voted R, Ever. Is saying she is concerned and may well be voting R for the first time in her life this election. She is a Lib but a nice one. Her common sense just won't let her go as far as voting for Obama.

Mr Sol

[lightman]

A Catholic RINO sort of.

= a CINO - a sign o' disobedience.

[donna]

They are lowering Obama’s polls now because after the Democrat Convention they want to give him a 20 point jump.

[Henchster]

Tom Bradley was leading George Dukmejian by anywhere from 10 to 18 percentage points in the final polls for California Gov.

Duk won by 2%, and the "Bradley Effect" was coined. Supposedly, it is that voters lie to pollsters because they are afraid of being labeled racists, but when they get in the voting booth, they vote for the "white" guy.

Personally, Tom Bradley was such a bad candidate (and mayor) that I doubt the "Bradley Effect" and put it down to disgruntled liberals blaming "racist white guys" for THEIR loss.

[Norman Bates]

I wouldn’t dismiss it. Dinkins’ 1989 race for NYC mayor (against Rudy), and Wilder’s also 1989 run for VA governor showed signs of it.

[Norman Bates]

Dinkins had a double digit lead into election day and beat Rudy by just 2%. Wilder had similar circumstances.

[mplsconservative]

Obama had some slippage among Democrats, dropping from 83% to 74%.

Some slippage?

That 9% is hanging out below Obama's skirt.

[yongin]

The Wilder effect maybe an outdated effect today. America is much more tolerant now. In 2006, Harold Ford Jr. portrayed himself as a post-racial candidate much like Obama. Heck, Junior even claimed to be a pro-life evangelical. The polls showed a close Senate in TN. The polls were largely right in the Corker vs Ford Senate race.

[Darkwolf377]

Like two kids in the back seat of a car. McCain will poke him a little and Barry will yell ‘Stop touching me’!

That's awesome--and apt.

Obama's whiny "That's racist!" thing is so old, and he seems to have backed into it and can't get out. He was doing well when he seemed (note--SEEMED) above race. But he just couldn't resist, it was just sitting there, SOOOOO easy...and he couldn't not start whining about "THEY will point out oh by the way, he's black!" when NO ONE brought it up. But he saw a way to put away McCain, because look at how much everyone LOVED him (Obama), they'd listen if he tried to call out the evil dragon racism...

Now, I think, people are listening to his sweet nothings and thinking "I dunno, can I stand to listen to this fluff for four years?"

[reformedliberal]

We know someone who is working on her PhD in Sociology, with heavy concentrations in psychology. She works as a counselor. Obama has disappointed (sic) her. She dances around the idea that he may have a personality disorder. She is in her 40s, a New Ager with a Catholic background. A month ago, she was supporting him.

Too soon to tell if she'll vote McCain, but her uneasiness with BHO is striking. She has drifted away from some of her more egregious New Age practices of late and has shown herself capable of critical thought.

Anecdote, not data, but when you begin to see a preponderance of anecdote, it may be time to recheck the data.

[nonsporting]

In the voting booth those remaining hanger-ons will have to ask themselves: Am I really going to vote for a Marxist, pacifist, appeaser, flip-flopper, self-aggrandizer, reparationist, false messiah?

[Norman Bates]

Yeah but that’s ignoring this very last primary cycle which had some strage results.