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The South Will Fall Again
NY Slimes ^ | July 1, 2008 | Thomas F. Schaller

Posted on 07/01/2008 9:47:52 AM PDT by Signalman

THE interim between the primaries and the parties’ nominating conventions is, according to ancient writ, a fertile period for presidential campaigns to talk about how they plan to expand the political map in the fall. This year is no different. Barack Obama’s strategists are suggesting that the first African-American presidential nominee of a major political party can parlay increased turnout among black voters into a string of victories in the South.

Given that roughly half of all African-Americans live in the 11 former Confederate states, the idea seems intuitive enough. It’s also wrong. Prying Southern electoral votes away from the Republicans is not so simple.

Two pervasive and persistent myths about racial voting in the modern South are behind the notion that Mr. Obama might win in places like Georgia, North Carolina and Mississippi.

The first myth is that African-American turnout in the South is low. Black voters are actually well represented in the Southern electorate: In the 11 states of the former Confederacy, African-Americans were 17.9 percent of the age-eligible population and 17.9 percent of actual voters in 2004, analysis of Census Bureau data shows.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: South Carolina; US: Tennessee
KEYWORDS: 2008; alreadyposted; blackvote; electionpresident; obama; south; southernvote
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To: wardaddy

If Obama and Leftist Inc win — the entire nation goes down the drain.


21 posted on 07/01/2008 1:59:47 PM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is not 'free'.)
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To: M. Espinola

Amen my Yankee brother!

To Arms!

(well, maybe later down the road...let’s hope not)


22 posted on 07/01/2008 5:04:09 PM PDT by wardaddy (these are dark days politically)
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To: Bobkk47
Obama will not win the South (According to this article).

I thought he had the Klan and neo-Nazi vote in his pocket.

23 posted on 07/01/2008 6:25:00 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: Bobkk47

I didn’t see anything in the article about the South “falling” again. (Unless he meant falling back into the Republican column inthe election).


24 posted on 07/01/2008 6:52:13 PM PDT by BnBlFlag (Deo Vindice/Semper Fidelis "Ya gotta saddle up your boys; Ya gotta draw a hard line")
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To: 1035rep
MarketWatch.com has a current article that cites a number of computer models projecting a Democrat landslide in November. They include the Iowa futures market, which is pretty sensitive. Right now McCain is flying low -- the MSM is doing its job.

The good news is, these same models predicted a Gore walkover in 2000.

25 posted on 07/03/2008 7:26:50 PM PDT by lentulusgracchus ("Whatever." -- sinkspur)
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To: lentulusgracchus

Obama spent 20 years very close to a racist Pastor. He is affiliated with Bill Ayers and Bernardine Dohrne. Some of his campaign offices have Che Guevara banners hanging in the them. His wife has said that only now is she proud of her country. His supporters cannot articulate why they support him... at least not other than saying that they support him because of “hope” or “change” that they cannot further explain. This is the candidate of the yankee states. You know, the yankee states that have given us Ted Kennedy, Chuck Schumer, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Charlie Rangel, Jon Corzine, Pat Leahy, Hillary Clinton, and many more like them. The south will not buy this. Look at the red on the map. Obama will lose. America will not a far leftist who associates himself with the garbage that Barak Obama has associated himself with and married... but then again, he is one of them. No Dhimmitude for America!!


26 posted on 07/04/2008 8:47:45 PM PDT by CurlyBill (Barak Obama wants Dhimmitude for America)
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