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Mahdi Army decimated during recent fighting
The Long War Journal ^ | June 26, 2008 | Bill Roggio

Posted on 06/26/2008 2:21:25 PM PDT by Uncle Ralph

Muqtada-Sadr-image.jpg

Muqtada al-Sadr.

The Mahdi Army has suffered a significant blow during fighting against Iraqi and Coalition forces this year, according to an Iraq intelligence report. The heavy casualties sustained by the Mahdi Army have forced Muqtada al Sadr, the leader of the Mahdi Army and the Sadrist political movement, to change his tactics and disband the Mahdi Army in favor of a small, secretive fighting force.

"More than 2,000 cadres from the Mahdi Army leaders were killed recently," an Iraqi intelligence official told the Gulf News. "This led to the almost complete collapse of the army," the official said. An estimated 1,300 Mahdi Army fighters "escaped to safe houses in Iran." Muqtada al Sadr currently resides in Qom, Iran, under the protection of Iraq's Qods Force.

The Mahdi Army took heavy casualties while opposing the Iraqi security forces in Basrah and the South and against US and Iraqi forces in Sadr City during operations to secure the areas in March, April, and May. More than 1,000 Mahdi Army fighters were killed in Sadr City alone, according to a Mahdi Army commander in Baghdad. Another 415 were killed in Basrah. More than 400 were killed during fighting in the southern cities of Najaf, Karbala, Hillah, Diwaniyah, Amarah, Samawah, and Nasiriyah in late March and early April, according to numbers compiled by The Long War Journal. Thousands more have been wounded our captured.

The setbacks in Baghdad, Basrah and the South have forced Sadr to turn the Mahdi Army into "a secret military organization," the Iraqi report stated. "The number of members doesn't exceed 150-200, hugely down from the total estimated number of 50,000 in the past two years."

Iraqi intelligence believes the Mahdi Army, which is funded and supported by Iran, "will be somewhat [similar] to Al Qaida and some of the other Sunni armed groups and will have to carry out quality operations against US forces and assassinate some of the important Iraqi figures [to prove itself]."

The Iraqi report counters the current narrative on the Mahdi Army's strategy. Analysts have stated the Mahdi Army cleverly melted away to avoid confrontation with the Iraqi military and wait out the US military until it withdraws. The intelligence report suggests Sadr was forced to change strategy and retreat in the face of heavy casualties and melting support from the Shia population.

Sadr ordered the Mahdi Army to disband and created the small cadre of secretive fighters on June 13. Two days later he ordered the Sadrist block to withdraw from the provincial elections, and instead said the movement would infiltrate candidates into independent blocs.

The US military began targeting the senior leadership of the Mahdi Army in late 2006, and targeted the Iranian-backed elements in earnest during “the surge” in the springo, summer, and fall of 2007.

Operations against the Mahdi Army continue

Iraqi and US forces have not rested after successful operations against the Mahdi Army in Baghdad, Basrah and the wider South from March to June.

A large operation is currently underway in Maysan province, once a stronghold for the Mahdi Army and the Sadrist movement. Iraqi security forces have detained 174 "wanted persons" in and around Amarah, the provincial capital, since operations began two weeks ago. The mayor of Amarah, several provincial council members, and several Mahdi Army commanders have been arrested during the operation.

Iraqi and US forces have conducted multiple raids against the Mahdi Army in Baghdad and Hillah over the past week, detaining more than 100 Mahdi Army fighters and several senior leaders.

Iraqi and US forces detained three senior-level Mahdi Army commanders during raids in Baghdad and Hillah June 20-21. One of the commanders was responsible for the southeastern district in Baghdad, another was assigned to promote Mahdi Army leaders in Baghdad and has close connection to the Sadrist movement in Najaf, and the other was a senior leader in Hillah.

Iraqi soldiers captured “an Iranian surrogate, reportedly in charge of more than 100 individuals” behind IED and EFP attacks and a “key financier” during a raid in Baghdad on June 22. Iraqi soldiers also captured a leader of a Mahdi Army “criminal network who is suspected of being a financier who directs, coordinates and funds operations in the surrounding cities, including trafficking weapons and providing safe havens for criminals in Zubadiyah south of Baghdad. An IED cell leader was captured by US troops in Baghdad on June 24.

On June 21, Iraqi forces detained Sayyid Tahseen, a senior member of Muqtada al Sadr's political movement, in Al Kut in Wasit province. Iraqi police described Tahseen as "one of the most important individual wanted by security forces" who is "wanted for more than 45 cases, including armed operations against security forces, in addition to killing and abduction of innocent people."

On June 26, Coalition forces captured a senior “Special Groups” leader and three associates late during an operation in Ash Shumali near Hillah. The Mahdi Army leader has “ties to some of the highest levels of the Iranian-sponsored organization.”

Scores of lower-level Mahdi Army fighters have been captured over the past week. Iraqi Special Operations Forces captured three Mahdi Army fighters in the Shula neighborhood in Baghdad on June 20. US troops captured a Mahdi Army fighter in the Rashid district of southern Baghdad on June 21 and killed six Mahdi Army fighters as they planted IEDs in New Baghdad on June 22. Over the weekend, Iraqi security forces detained 65 Mahdi Army fighters and seized weapons caches during operations north of the city of Nasiriyah in Dhi Qhar province.

Iraqi security forces detained 37 Mahdi Army fighters during separate raids in Hillah on June 23. US troops also found a vehicle with nine of the Mahdi Army-built improvised rocket assisted mortars, otherwise know as "flying IEDs," in the Kadamiyah district in Baghdad.

The Mahdi Army has fought back, killing three US soldiers and two US civilians in Baghdad. Two US soldiers, two US civilians, and six Iraqis were killed in a bombing at a government center in Sadr City on June 24. The US military said a Special Groups operative was behind the attack. On June 25, A US soldier was killed in an EFP attack in Baghdad.


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: basra; basrah; iraq; sadr; surge; surgesuccess; usmilitarysuccess; wot

1 posted on 06/26/2008 2:21:26 PM PDT by Uncle Ralph
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To: Uncle Ralph
The number of members doesn't exceed 150-200, hugely down from the total estimated number of 50,000 in the past two years.

Decimated isn't really the word, but still great news.

2 posted on 06/26/2008 2:25:08 PM PDT by agere_contra
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To: Uncle Ralph
I don't actually think the Mahdi army ever had 50,000 "troops" on its best day. But if it did manage to field 10,000, this 1000 dead figure would truly be a decimation. Professional armies can take that level of casualties and continue fighting. Punks in ski masks tend to melt away.

Clamping down on the Iranian end of this helps immensely, both in terms of finance and of logistics. Mookie has tried to frame the thing in terms of Iraqis versus the invaders. He should have been more careful what he prayed for, because that's how it's turning out, only the invaders aren't the Americans and he's one of them.

3 posted on 06/26/2008 2:36:13 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: Uncle Ralph

“Muqtada al Sadr, the leader of the Mahdi Army”

We should have shot that fat son-of-a-bitch the first time we had the opportunity.


4 posted on 06/26/2008 2:39:00 PM PDT by 4buttons
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To: Uncle Ralph
I guess the DBM will just have to bear the burden...


5 posted on 06/26/2008 2:40:20 PM PDT by johnny7 ("Duck I says... ")
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To: agere_contra
Decimated isn't really the word, but still great news.

Romans would punitively decimated the ranks by cutting the numbers down by a tenth. From the article, the Mahdi Army was cut down by more than a tenth. What term would you like to use?

6 posted on 06/26/2008 3:22:21 PM PDT by LoneRangerMassachusetts
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To: agere_contra

Tri-centimated?


7 posted on 06/26/2008 3:22:21 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (G-d is not a Republican. But Satan is definitely a Democrat.)
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To: agere_contra
Decimated isn't really the word, but still great news.

Romans would punitively decimated the ranks by cutting the numbers down by a tenth. From the article, the Mahdi Army was cut down by more than a tenth. What term would you like to use?

8 posted on 06/26/2008 3:22:30 PM PDT by LoneRangerMassachusetts
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To: Uncle Ralph

Beautiful news! I was just reading about this in the New York Times - spurned on by coverage by Chris Matthews doing a story on the great US military gains and achievements going on in Iraq lately...

As if!

The MSM would never get near this due to their intellectual dishonesty...

Excellent article from Mr Roggio once again!


9 posted on 06/26/2008 4:09:32 PM PDT by BeanAZ (I believe in AMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISM)
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To: Billthedrill

Actually, I have good reason to believe the figure is *much* higher than 1,000. In fact, by my count of differing reports of various battles across Iraq, before the major fighting was even over in Basrah, the figure was around 2,300 Dead criminals....My guess would be that by now, that number is significantly above 4,000 dead Muqtada “Mahdi” militia men and Iranian “Special Groups” soldiers.


10 posted on 06/26/2008 4:37:01 PM PDT by DGHoodini (Nor shall my sword sleep in my hand)
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To: Billthedrill

If any of those killed have little brothers or young sons, you’re still losing ground. IMO, it just feeds the Hatfield McCoy tribal feuds going on for centuries.

Now if you’re talking about the threat of torture and execution, then we’re back to Saddam Hussein style of governing. That could provide a ‘peace’. But, that’s not what the USA is trying to accomplish.

Peace eventually will come but guys like Sadr have to be dealt with.


11 posted on 06/26/2008 4:48:59 PM PDT by DCPatriot ("It aint what you don't know that kills you. It's what you know that aint so" Theodore Sturgeon))
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To: Uncle Ralph
under the protection of Iraq's Qods Force

I think Roggio meant Iran's Qods Force

12 posted on 06/26/2008 7:50:26 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: DCPatriot
If any of those killed have little brothers or young sons, you’re still losing ground.

If they were truly viewed as freedom fighters resisting the occupiers, you might have a point. However, once they are cleared out of an area, time after time the residents describe them as mafia style criminals. Like al Qaeda, they had no idea how to govern or rally people behind them. They kept control by terrible brute force and terror. The people are completely against them.

13 posted on 06/26/2008 8:17:54 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

You’re probably right.

I keep seeing this as an ideological tribal war...going from generation to generation.

I keep seeing fanatical Islamics meting out their idea of justice and revenge.


14 posted on 06/26/2008 8:25:55 PM PDT by DCPatriot ("It aint what you don't know that kills you. It's what you know that aint so" Theodore Sturgeon))
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