lets see... if they call btwn 8 and 5 weekdays, all the Republicans are at WORK!!!
Posted on 06/25/2008 5:40:03 PM PDT by keepitreal
A well-known Republican research firm argues that the voter pool tapped for the new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll was too skewed toward Democrats -- a challenge that causes the GOP strategists to question the double-digit lead the survey gave Barack Obama over John McCain.
The case against the poll, laid out in a memo sent out today by Public Opinion Strategies, in turn sparked a response from survey director Susan Pinkus, who stood by its methodology and findings.
(snip)
Pinkus, like most nonpartisan pollsters, rejects that notion. Discussing the current survey, she says, "The poll was weighted slightly, where necessary, to conform to the Census Bureau’s proportions of sex, race, ethnicity, age and national region. The poll was NOT weighted for party identification since party ID is a moving variable that changes from one election to another, or when one party may be favored more than the other."
As a result, the survey simply asked respondents their party affiliation or inclination, and came up with this breakdown: 39% Democratic, 22% Republican, 8% something else, 4% refused to say.
There's the rub, insists the memo from Bill McInturff, Liz Harrington and David Kanevsky. They write that these figures, and the 17 percentage-point gap between the two parties, are "greatly out of line with what most other surveys are reporting."
(Excerpt) Read more at latimesblogs.latimes.com ...
No one who knows what he's doing would say such a thing.
Then what are the 8% other? I figured they were the independents.
You forgetting about the graveyard dem voters?
lets see... if they call btwn 8 and 5 weekdays, all the Republicans are at WORK!!!
I have noticed a large percentage of those claiming to be independent are way to the left. They honestly believe they are independent is what is sad.
Noooooo. I’m shocked!
Gee, a skewed poll in the LA times. I am shocked.
I heard 55% were going for Obama, 50% were going for McCain and 8% were undecided....
Today Gallup has Obama & McCain tied, Rasmussen Obama +4. The polls showing Obama with such big leads make me wonder if they are not deliberately biased - people who are undecided often tend to go for the ‘winner’. They are trying to push people towards Obama. How biased our news media is towards Obama, will they ever get back to reporting news instead of forcing their opinions down our throats (they ‘know’ so much more than the rest of us).
See post 4.
Thanks. Yeah I saw that. They seem to be structuring their samples for a certain result. These polls with gigantic leads are just not believable.
P.S. - This ‘Lexington Project’ is exactly what McCain needs to get rolling! (see my ping)
Those are the "Super-Voters" who make sure that the outcome goes the "correct" way.
-PJ
Independents...
we were all over this the other day
the snoozeweek poll was just as bad
“No one who knows what he’s doing would say such a thing.”
Or they know what they are doing but count on the ignorance or inattention of other people.
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