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Too large a Democratic advantage in new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll?
LA Times Blog ^ | June 25, 2008 | Don Frederick

Posted on 06/25/2008 5:40:03 PM PDT by keepitreal

A well-known Republican research firm argues that the voter pool tapped for the new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll was too skewed toward Democrats -- a challenge that causes the GOP strategists to question the double-digit lead the survey gave Barack Obama over John McCain.

The case against the poll, laid out in a memo sent out today by Public Opinion Strategies, in turn sparked a response from survey director Susan Pinkus, who stood by its methodology and findings.

(snip)

Pinkus, like most nonpartisan pollsters, rejects that notion. Discussing the current survey, she says, "The poll was weighted slightly, where necessary, to conform to the Census Bureau’s proportions of sex, race, ethnicity, age and national region. The poll was NOT weighted for party identification since party ID is a moving variable that changes from one election to another, or when one party may be favored more than the other."

As a result, the survey simply asked respondents their party affiliation or inclination, and came up with this breakdown: 39% Democratic, 22% Republican, 8% something else, 4% refused to say.

There's the rub, insists the memo from Bill McInturff, Liz Harrington and David Kanevsky. They write that these figures, and the 17 percentage-point gap between the two parties, are "greatly out of line with what most other surveys are reporting."

(Excerpt) Read more at latimesblogs.latimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; lat; mediabias; partisanmedia; polls; propagandawingofdnc
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To: keepitreal
The poll was NOT weighted for party identification since party ID is a moving variable that changes from one election to another, or when one party may be favored more than the other.

No one who knows what he's doing would say such a thing.

21 posted on 06/25/2008 6:13:05 PM PDT by B Knotts (Calvin Coolidge Republican)
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To: keepitreal

Then what are the 8% other? I figured they were the independents.


22 posted on 06/25/2008 6:13:24 PM PDT by HeartlandOfAmerica (Don't blame me - I voted for Fred and am STILL a FredHead and will write him in!)
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To: HeartlandOfAmerica
Then what are the 8% other?

You forgetting about the graveyard dem voters?

23 posted on 06/25/2008 6:21:59 PM PDT by maine-iac7 (No trees were killed in sending this message but a large number of electrons were terrible agitated)
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To: keepitreal
lets see... if they call btwn 8 and 5 weekdays, all the Republicans are at WORK!!!
24 posted on 06/25/2008 6:22:52 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist ©® - CTHULHU/SHOGGOTH '08 = Nothing LESS!!!)
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To: HeartlandOfAmerica

I have noticed a large percentage of those claiming to be independent are way to the left. They honestly believe they are independent is what is sad.


25 posted on 06/25/2008 6:25:51 PM PDT by pas
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To: keepitreal

Noooooo. I’m shocked!


26 posted on 06/25/2008 6:36:24 PM PDT by TribalPrincess2U
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To: keepitreal

Gee, a skewed poll in the LA times. I am shocked.


27 posted on 06/25/2008 6:48:05 PM PDT by Uncle Hal
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To: keepitreal

I heard 55% were going for Obama, 50% were going for McCain and 8% were undecided....


28 posted on 06/25/2008 6:48:58 PM PDT by Tzimisce (How Would Mohammed Vote? Obama for President!)
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To: keepitreal

Today Gallup has Obama & McCain tied, Rasmussen Obama +4. The polls showing Obama with such big leads make me wonder if they are not deliberately biased - people who are undecided often tend to go for the ‘winner’. They are trying to push people towards Obama. How biased our news media is towards Obama, will they ever get back to reporting news instead of forcing their opinions down our throats (they ‘know’ so much more than the rest of us).


29 posted on 06/25/2008 6:59:33 PM PDT by kikia (Former member of the Democratic party)
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To: kikia

See post 4.


30 posted on 06/25/2008 7:21:19 PM PDT by telebob
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To: Perdogg

Thanks. Yeah I saw that. They seem to be structuring their samples for a certain result. These polls with gigantic leads are just not believable.

P.S. - This ‘Lexington Project’ is exactly what McCain needs to get rolling! (see my ping)


31 posted on 06/25/2008 8:10:43 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: driftdiver
Am I confused or are we still missing 27%?

Those are the "Super-Voters" who make sure that the outcome goes the "correct" way.

-PJ

32 posted on 06/25/2008 8:17:39 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (Repeal the 17th amendment -- it's the "Fairness Doctrine" for Congress!)
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To: driftdiver

Independents...
we were all over this the other day


33 posted on 06/25/2008 8:18:51 PM PDT by stylin19a
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To: keepitreal

the snoozeweek poll was just as bad


34 posted on 06/25/2008 8:21:34 PM PDT by stylin19a
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To: B Knotts

“No one who knows what he’s doing would say such a thing.”

Or they know what they are doing but count on the ignorance or inattention of other people.


35 posted on 06/26/2008 4:44:15 AM PDT by driftdiver
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