American Research Group, Inc: South Dakota, Hillary 60, Obama 34

ARG ^ | 6/2/08 | staff

[pissant]

Presidential Primary Preference:

South Dakota

Likely Democratic Primary Voters -- May 31-June 1

Clinton ---60% Obama ---34% Undecided --6%

About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in South Dakota (600 Democrats).

Sample Dates: May 31-June 1, 2008

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote - Clinton or Obama?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary?

[pissant]

Too many working class whities in SD, apparently.

[Cementjungle]

American Research Group is run by Vin Gupta, a longtime Clinton friend. This poll means absolutely nothing except for telling us what Clintons want us to hear.

[popdonnelly]

Obama’s on a roll, and it’s all downhill.

[pissant]

Except they nailed it in WV, I believe.

[Beagle8U]

I’ll bet all the early state RAT voters would like a do-over.

[right turn at the light]

The MSM doesn’t even bother with the primary results anymore, they just go to The Messiah and his speech after each state primary beating and pretend the massacre never happened.

The idiotic Obama is getting creamed regularly, I can’t remember anything like this happening in any presidential primary in my life time.

[Vigilanteman]

If these figures are accurate, it indicates Obama may actually be in more trouble than generally thought. Demographically, South Dakota is a near twin to North Dakota, which Obama won 61-37 on Super Tuesday. The black population is practically nil and most Dakotans, if they know a black person at all, it is the nice professor at the local college, the exchange student athelete on the football team or the clean-cut patriotic young man serving at the local air force base.

Racial tensions are about as near to zero as you can get. I grew up among these people. We can dismiss the rantings of Rev. Wright as mere theatrics. Some of us may have actually even caucused for Obama because we loathe the Clintons so much.

If Obama loses both South Dakota and Montana by big margins, is isn't going to make much of a difference in delegates, because they have so few. But it is going to undermine a key argument that he's bringing states into play where Democrats have been unable to compete.

[epluribus_2]

AMR is such a pro-Bill/Hill outfit they should get free credentials to write for the NYT.

[Miss Didi]

RUSH: Obama is a LYING IDIOT! Rush said he will be playing Barry's clips on not winning the surge every day now.

[prolifefirst]

Geraldo called the Puerto Rico landslide for what it was.

He had on an Obama shill from that island yesterday and 5 seconds into his Spiel about how Obama really did pretty well considering . . . Geraldo says:

Come on, he got killed better than 2 to 1!

[Miss Didi]

Perhaps they heard about Barry's gaffe at Mt. Rushmore:

From NRO: [Obama] did express curiosity about the filming of a chase scene in "North by Northwest," Alfred Hitchcock's 1959 classic starring Cary Grant and Eva Marie Saint that included a death-defying scramble over Rushmore's presidential faces.

"How did they get up there in the first place?" he asked ranger Wesley Jensen.

"They didn't. It was a movie set," Jensen told him.

[E. Cartman]

Too many working class whities in SD, apparently.

Plus they like big butts...which should have been Hillary's campaign song.

[VOR78]

You think there might be a little buyer’s remorse on the Dem side right about now?

It doesn’t matter how many times you tell them, they still won’t believe it. The country as a whole is simply far more conservative than the far-left wacko wing of the Democratic Party.

But Noooooo. They’re too dumb to figure this one out. Its pretty sad when you even have Republicans saying that they would vote for Hillary, of all people, before they’d vote for Obama.

The only way that Obama will get elected is if either McCain screws up royally, or if the media gives Obama a free pass and buries his agenda. Unfortunately for the rest of us, both are realistically possible.

[Fresh Wind]

How can this be? The Drive By Media told me this morning that Hillary didn’t stand a chance in South Dakota.

[prolifefirst]

I’m sorry I wasted a day at the average Mt. Rushmore and Badlands instead of devoting that time to Yellowstone, the most beautiful natural thing I’ve ever seen.

Could spend a month there!

[Aria]

"How did they get up there in the first place?" he asked ranger Wesley Jensen.

"They didn't. It was a movie set," Jensen told him.

Next question - How did he get into Harvard?

[popdonnelly]

I agree with what you’re saying about the media. Ignore the fact that he’s getting creamed regularly by hasn’t-got-a-chance Hillary. And I can’t recall another nominating race that was this close in the delegate count.

[philled]

A couple observations from the SD's largest city:

It seems that yard signs run about 65-35 Hillary. Ron Paul signs outnumber both.

Obama is spending a lot of money on media. Tom Daschle drones on about how Obama is "change we can believe in". Hillary's commercials tout her plan for fiscal responsibility, and how we "can't keep borrowing from the Chinese to pay the Saudis for oil". Both seem to be running against Bush as they cite him in their ads.

The city's paper apparently endorsed Hillary even though two weeks ago its editorial board was saying she should drop out.

[Beagle8U]

I doubt there is any way that Obama could win. I think even the RAT leadership know that but are afraid of losing the affirmative action voters.

[Miss Didi]

Yesterday on the Sunday Panel, Byron York said that Barry was losing altitude and Juan Williams said he was wheezing toward the finish line.