Posted on 06/01/2008 4:14:04 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
With the long and contentious Democratic nomination race finally winding down, the attention of media and the public is beginning to shift to the general election. In November, voters will face choice between two rather atypical presidential candidates. For the first time in over fifty years, the party that controls the White House will not be represented by either the incumbent president or the incumbent vice-president.
Instead, the Republican Party, which has seen its popularity and electoral fortunes plummet since 2004, will pin its hopes on John McCain - an individual who has frequently clashed with his own party's leadership. And McCain's Democratic opponent will be Barack Obama, the first African-American ever to receive a major party presidential nomination.
The unusual characteristics of the two major party candidates have led to considerable uncertainty among political observers about the outlook for the November election. While President Bush's low approval ratings and overwhelmingly negative perceptions of the economy suggest a very difficult political climate for Republicans, John McCain's reputation as a maverick and Barack Obama's problems uniting Democratic voters behind his candidacy have led some analysts to suggest that a Democratic victory in November is far from certain.
Polling data seem to support the conclusion that despite the unpopularity of his party, John McCain has a realistic chance of keeping the White House in Republican hands. McCain has been running neck-and-neck with Obama in most recent national polls. In the May 21st Gallup tracking poll, for example, Obama held a narrow 47 to 44 percent lead over McCain.
The problem with such early horserace polls, however, is that they are not very accurate predictors of the actual election results. Polls in the spring of 1988 showed Michael Dukakis with a comfortable lead over George H.W. Bush and polls in June of 1992.....
(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...
“For the record Kelly, you’ve been here long enough to know that I always capitalize the word Marines, so cheap shot accepted.”
I don’t “know” what you “always” do...
I haven’t read every post you have ever made.
And “I always capitalize the word Marines” is obviously not the case here now is it.
“cheap shot?”
call it what you like...you didn’t and I corrected you.
In November, the Democrats will wish it was Hillary as their candidate.
Don’t kid yourself. keep on believing those thoughts.
America will not let a militant muslim dhimmy along with his militant ungrateful hate-mongering racist witch near the WH.
In November, the Democrats will wish it was Hillary as their candidate.
I dont have time to respond to a lot of woulda, couldas & histrionics...
You don’t have time to reply to your candidates own record?
you are in denial
Correct. I'm denying that Obama is electable. I stand by that denial. There are plenty of thoughtless Americans who will vote for him, but there are not enough of those to elect him.
do we have a bet or not?
put your money where your mouth is...
gezzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
I agree with you, Obama is not going to win a single Southern state while Hillary would be competitive in several.
Yeah, I didn’t think you could.
I have a home in Montgomery County, and I'm saying right now that Obama may easily take Pa.
And that is dispositive to the entire “white people won't vote for him” theory.
They can and they will.
The new dynamic is no longer “anyone but Bush” its “anyone but any republican” and they would elect Castro himself to do it.
I don't think it's the Republican party, which pins its hopes on McCain, maybe the party elite and party bureaucrats, but no one else. Even McCain supporters make their case in terms of "they're worse". And McCain didn't clash with the party leadership, he's insulted, dissed and dismissed the party's base, it's grassroots.
McCain has a real chance at losing this election, because he can't rally Republicans. Some hopes for McCain.
The MSM just doesn't get it, Republican voters aren't Democrats and don't behave the same way.
Curiously enough, they are all the same ones that make me not like the Dems too...
Imagine that...
Exactly....People here in PA are furious with Republicans, over gas prices alone...
“The MSM just doesn’t get it, Republican voters aren’t Democrats and don’t behave the same way.”
There are several “conservatives” around here shilling for the creep that need to learn the same lesson.
And with all the conservatives of both parties.
Hey share some of those winnings!
I'm surrounded by democrats who will vote for Obama. I was even shocked to hear a man in my conservative church talk against Bush...I had assumed he was a Republican since the church is conservative and pro-life...The letters to the editor in the local paper are furious against Republicans...I'm just expecting a democrat landslide...
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