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A Democratic year?
American Thinker ^ | May 28, 2008 | Roy Lofquist

Posted on 05/30/2008 12:40:29 AM PDT by neverdem

letter to the editor:

I have been following politics for a while. Since 1952. I have never seen the conventional wisdom about an election more baseless.

Why Obama? Charisma, ideas, hope? None of these or any other reasons that have been bandied about. It's Obama because he is not Hillary.

The Clintons embarrassed the Democratic Party. Many, many Democrats were ashamed of their President. They do not want to see Billary in the White House ever again, even as visitors. Note that Obama won in the caucus states where the politically active determine the outcome.

A Democratic year? How do you figure? Because the New York Times says so? Look at 2006! Yes, let's look at it. In the preceding 6 midterm elections where the incumbent President's party lost seats the average loss in the Senate was 6.1, in the House 29.33. In 2006 the Republicans lost 7 in the Senate and 30 in the House. Pretty ho-hum.

Let's look at the Democratic Presidents.

JFK and Nixon tied in the popular vote, even though Nixon was extremely unlikeable.

LBJ beat Goldwater in 1964. Kennedy had been assassinated, we were in the middle of a war and Goldwater was a radical.

Carter beat Ford in 1976. Nixon had resigned because of Watergate and Ford was an appointed Vice President.

Clinton beat GHWB in 1992 with only 43% of the vote. Ross Perot got 19% which, arguably, was 60-70% Republicans.

It seems that Democrats only win in extreme circumstances.

In our history we have seen stretches where one party controlled Congress that average about 30 years with occasional one-term reversals. I'll go with history every time.

From where I'm sitting it doesn't look at all like a Democratic year.

Regards,

Roy Lofquist

Posted at 08:21 PM | Email |
Page Printed from: at May 30, 2008 - 03:27:16 AM EDT


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; mccain; obama
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1 posted on 05/30/2008 12:40:30 AM PDT by neverdem
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To: neverdem
Note that Obama won in the caucus states where the politically active determine the outcome

After the Rev. Wright fiasco, Obama might even lose Iowa.

2 posted on 05/30/2008 12:44:56 AM PDT by TheThinker (Capitalism is the natural result of a democratic government.)
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To: neverdem

Obama wins MA— the other 56 states he looses.


3 posted on 05/30/2008 12:49:21 AM PDT by Mark (Don't argue with my posts. I typed while under sniper fire..)
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To: TheThinker

Like I just stated on another post, the radicals who are planning on showing up at the Democratic Convention could cause Colorado to fall into McCain’s lap if they cause any major trouble (ala Chicago circa 1968).


4 posted on 05/30/2008 12:50:56 AM PDT by Stonewall Jackson (Accept the challenges so that you can feel the exhilaration of victory. - George Patton)
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To: TheThinker

Obama is losing steam and McCain is now ahead 1 to 5 points in the recent National polls. I think the messiah effect has run it’s course. Rasmussen Data released yesterday gives McCain 5 point advantage.


5 posted on 05/30/2008 12:53:59 AM PDT by 1035rep
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To: neverdem

I stick by the adage that you should never make predictions, especially about the future.


6 posted on 05/30/2008 1:06:51 AM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (Bomb Liechtenstein!)
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To: Mark

Hillary won the MA primary, even with the Kennedys backing Obama. Also, MA has its own version of Obama - Gov. Deval Patrick, he pretty much ran on the same platform of “hope”, “change” and “yes, we can” - I am hopeful that the people of MA have learned their lesson.....then again, that may be wishful thinking on my part.


7 posted on 05/30/2008 1:41:44 AM PDT by KEmom (Please send viable Republican candidates to Massachusetts!!)
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To: KEmom

that may be wishful thinking on my part.


yes...i believe it is.


8 posted on 05/30/2008 2:14:06 AM PDT by chasio649 (sick of it all)
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To: TheThinker

I talked to a friend of mine in Iowa and he says that if the news of Rev Wright had come out before their caucuses that Fauxbama would be a dead man. He is toast in Iowa now.


9 posted on 05/30/2008 3:02:09 AM PDT by DarthVader (Liberal Democrats are the party of EVIL whose time of judgement has come.)
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit
I stick by the adage that you should never make predictions, especially about the future.

I think you have it right.

That said, the current lineup of candidates is more gawd-awful than I can ever remember it being. Going back to Truman.

My plan?

Jump in the swamp
dig a hole
jump in the hole
pull the hole in after me

10 posted on 05/30/2008 3:29:12 AM PDT by backhoe
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

You owe me a keyboard!!


11 posted on 05/30/2008 3:37:54 AM PDT by lexusppd
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To: KEmom
If you live in MA can you tell me what Coupe Deval’s approval rating is currently? Last I heard from a friend up that way (6 months ago) it was in the 30’s.
12 posted on 05/30/2008 3:39:38 AM PDT by lexusppd
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To: lexusppd
You owe me a keyboard!!

Sorry, I don't get it.

13 posted on 05/30/2008 3:57:00 AM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (Bomb Liechtenstein!)
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To: 1035rep
The guy is a racist and belongs to a very racist church. That alone has been his undoing. We have not really even began addressing his extremely liberal positions or his inexperience. This guy is a bumbling empty suit who will resort to only playing the race card toward the end.

I am convinced God loves America. Only God could get McCain elected.

14 posted on 05/30/2008 4:01:19 AM PDT by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: normy
I can envision another tax that nobody will dare speak about unless or until Obama is firmly ensconced in the White House.

I'm firmly convinced that if Obama gets in with this radical Dem Congress there will be a push for Reparations Payments.

Don't believe me? Listen to the jackals in that abhorrent so-called church that he has attended for over 20 years.

I will hold my nose with both hands and push the McCain lever with my elbow.

15 posted on 05/30/2008 4:48:24 AM PDT by Yankee
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To: Yankee

Yeah this is the most brazen group of Communists to make a run at the White House.


16 posted on 05/30/2008 5:19:04 AM PDT by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: neverdem
Obama seemed like such a great catch to the Democrats.

Now we are learning that Obama is a malformed and contaminated fish who grew for 20 years in the scummy pond of Chicago's South Side politics.

Throw him back.

17 posted on 05/30/2008 5:20:04 AM PDT by syriacus (30,000 US deaths in Korea in 2 1/2 years, because Truman first withdrew troops from Korea in 1949.)
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To: Mark
Obama wins MA— the other 56 states he looses.

LOLOLOL!!!!!

18 posted on 05/30/2008 5:22:57 AM PDT by Tribune7 (How is inflicting pain and death on an innocent, helpless human being for profit, moral?)
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To: backhoe
Good plan.

I've been reading a few pro-Hillary blogs lately (Obama's are so syncophantic as to be nauseating), and if there's one tiny ray of hope in all this, it's a little lightbulb that I see going off in some Dems minds about socialism. Obama is the epitome of full-blown, no holds barred social redemption through collectivism, and they're not liking what they see. They don't understand that Hillary, and McCain for that matter, offer a more pragmatic, creeping version, but, in time, a very long and painful time, they just might make the connection.

Or not.

19 posted on 05/30/2008 5:48:18 AM PDT by browardchad ("We are all mavericks now." -- Rush Limbaugh)
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit
This is what you said that I replied to:

I stick by the adage that you should never make predictions, especially about the future.

In assumed this was meant to be humorous since it is impossible to make predictions about anything BUT the future.

It is a classic Yogi-ism. I will assume you are familiar with Yogi Berra and his many classic statements such as "When you come to a fork in the road, take it"

20 posted on 05/30/2008 7:08:52 AM PDT by lexusppd
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