Posted on 05/25/2008 12:50:48 PM PDT by The_Republican
Barack Obama’s run for the White House has already made history, and not merely because of his race. He came out of nowhere to upset the supposedly unbeatable Hillary Clinton. Now the nomination seems within his grasp.
Can he win in November? That may come down to whether he can win in Missouri.
Missouri is one of the nation’s leading bellwether states; it has picked the winner in every presidential contest since 1900 with the exception of 1956, when state voters went for Adlai Stevenson rather than President Eisenhower.
For Obama, taking Missouri will be tough, but not impossible.
The deep divisions that have appeared in the Democratic electorate in the Obama-Clinton battle were apparent in Missouri in February, when the state’s primary was conducted. Obama won by a single percentage point.
The question is whether the white, working-class Missouri Democrats who voted for Clinton will turn out for Obama in November. George Connor, acting head of the Political Science Department at Missouri State University, has his doubts.
“I don’t think everybody in outstate Missouri who voted for Clinton is automatically going to vote for Obama,” he said. “That will make it harder for him to carry the state.”
For Missouri Democrats, the key to victory in a statewide race is running up big totals in Kansas City and St. Louis, while diluting Republican margins in outstate counties. Thanks to the evenly balanced character of the state, decisive wins for either party are rare.
In 2002, former Republican Sen. Jim Talent beat incumbent Sen. Jean Carnahan, a Democrat. Margin of victory: a mere 21,000 votes.
Four years later, Claire McCaskill, a Democrat, unseated Talent in another squeaker. Margin of victory: 48,000 votes out of 2.1 million cast.
(Excerpt) Read more at kansascity.com ...
Osamabama takes Missouri if and only if there is fraud in StL and KC on an unprecedented scale.
Democratic split will dog Obama in Missouri
I SURE HOPE SO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Like fraud on an unprecedented scale in DNC politics would be a surprise, or something new?
It’s happened before. 2000 in St.louis.
When the dust settles barack curious george mcgovern will have been beaten so badly it will be useless to point to any one state as the place that cost him victory. Missouri will be just another loss.
How well I know it. My personal attorney was head of the StL Election Board that year. The stories out of that election, geez...
And MO has a 'Pubbie governor this time. Blunt takes no shjt from anyone, and I'd wager that includes Federal judges.
It would take an awful lot to be “unprecedented.”
Believe this, though. Any of these princincts turn up with some outrageous historical voter participation percentages, and Gov. Blunt won't wait until morning to file the appropriate federal suits. The race pimps are already screaming about his poll monitoring ideas...which, of course, means they are quite sound.
“For Obama, taking Missouri will be tough, but not impossible. “
wanna bet? He’ll get beat like a rented Missouri mule...
This attitude that those of us who do not live in kc or st louis are “outstate” it is like they think we are less than they are or just a bunch of country bumpkins this attitude should be talked about would make a nice rnc add if you do not live in big city you are outstate.
Obama will have the dead vote, the felon vote, the multiple-precinct vote, the late-night-because-a-judge-orders-it-vote, and the pet vote.
The Republican will have the patriot vote.
Yeah, I said it.
From your lips to God's ears.
Tell it to George Connor, the guy quoted in the article.
Sounds good. I had read that as a rule of thumb in a presidential election the Republican had to get a million more actual legitimate votes than the Democrat in order to break even in the official count. Maybe that number will be a little smaller this year.
.Check out this awesome video:
.
The same kind of terrorists who support Obama did this:
http://www.frugalsites.net/911/attack/
Never apologize for them.
Never appease them.
Never forget.
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