Posted on 05/21/2008 9:08:58 PM PDT by Red Steel
Barack Obama has opened a modest lead over John McCain in Colorado.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows Obama leading 48% to 42%. That six-point advantage is up from a three-point edge a month ago. The month before that, Obama and McCain were tied in the race for the Colorado’s Electoral College Votes.
Obama’s 48% level of support in the current poll is up two points from the 46% level of support he picked up in each of the three preceding polls. Over the last four months of polling, McCain’s support in Colorado has ranged from 39% to 46%.
Obama now attracts 77% of the vote from Democrats while McCain earns 79% support from Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, Obama leads by twenty-one percentage points. A month ago, Obama had a ten-point lead among unaffiliated voters.
Obama is viewed favorably by 55% of Colorado voters, up two points from a month ago. McCain is viewed favorably by 51%, down six points from a month ago.
Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given a 64.7 % chance of winning Colorado’s nine Electoral College votes this November. George W. Bush won the state by five percentage points in Election 2004 but Democrats consider it a prime target for switching parties in 2008. At the time this poll was released, Colorado was rated as a “Toss-Up” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.
The economy is the top issue for 41% of the state’s voters. Among this segment of the electorate, Obama leads 53% to 39%. The War in Iraq is the highest priority for 21% and those voters favor Obama by a 63% to 28% margin. Ten percent (10%) of Colorado voters say immigration is most important and among this group, McCain leads 72% to 20%.
By a 54% to 39% margin, Colorado voters say that bringing troops home from Iraq is more important than winning the War in that troubled country. These figures are similar to the national average.
Forty-four percent (44%) say the U.S. is likely to win the War if McCain is elected. Just 20% expect victory if Obama is the next President. However, 60% believe that Obama will bring the troops home during his first term while just 35% have such confidence in McCain.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of Colorado voters believe Obama would be a stronger general election candidate than Hillary Clinton against McCain. Thirty-seven percent (37%) hold the opposite view. Democrats in the state see Obama as the stronger candidate by a 64% to 30% margin. Republicans, by a 43% to 29% margin, see Clinton as the tougher general election challenge.
Fifty-three percent (53%) of Colorado Democrats say it’s time for Clinton to drop out of the race. Just 13% say Obama should withdraw. Most Colorado Republicans would like Clinton to remain in the race.
Colorado is one of the few states where Obama clearly outperforms Clinton in general election match-ups. In the unlikely event that Clinton were to win the Democratic nomination, she trails McCain 47% to 44% in the state. Over a week ago, a Rasmussen Reports analysis indicated that the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination is effectively over and Obama is likely to be the nominee.
Four years ago, George W. Bush won 52% of the vote in Colorado. Today, just 31% say he is doing a good or an excellent job. Most Colorado voters—51%--say the President is doing a poor job.
Democrats also have reason to smile about the latest polling results in the race to become Colorado’s next United States Senator.
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Obama is winning CO, PA, NM and all the big mid-western states. McCain is barely hanging on to Ohio and Florida. Who says a man named Hussein cannot be POTUS?
It’s a little early for this...
I do. Barry will lose Colorado by more than Kerry did in 2004.
I believe Obama is a more formidable opponent than some may think. He may put otherwise solid red states into play this year.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Hillary!
Romney as a running mate would help in toss-up states such as Nevada and Colorado that have a large Mormon population.
Check out the last few polls.
I live close to Boulder and I see liberal zombie idiots walking around everywhere. They don’t even realize they are idiots.
I don't think it is just Mormons, Romney does well in Western states as he seems more Mountain West than anywhere else. I think that Romney could appeal to many of the voters and regions that don't cotton to McCain.
McCain playing the tough talking no nonsense war hero covers the Jacksonian element (that can't stand Obama), Romney could appeal to women, Westerners, economic conservatives, etc., that McCain can't.
Of course, I'm a Romneybot, so maybe I overestimate Romney's appeal.
If he picks Palin that would give me a reason to actually support his ticket.
Colorado will go to McCain in the election.
Why?
Blowback from the trashing, rioting, anrachy and the general freak show called the Democratic National Convention that will take place in Denver.
Wow, are there that many idiots in Colorado?? I figured the Salazar thing was a fluke.
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