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DSCC Poll Shows Musgrove Leading In Miss. Senate Race
CBS News ^ | May 20, 2008 | Josh Kraushaar

Posted on 05/21/2008 4:52:23 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Just one week after Democrats picked up Sen. Roger Wicker's (R-Miss.) former House seat in northeast Mississippi, the party's Senate campaign committee released a new poll showing Wicker trailing former Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D) in November's special election Senate race.

The poll shows Musgrove leading Wicker 48 to 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup. Musgrove holds a 57 percent favorability rating, while 30 percent of voters view him unfavorably. Wicker also sports high approval ratings, but is less known throughout the state - which is partially attributable for his polling deficit.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: 110th; 2008; ms2008; musgrove; polls; wicker
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1 posted on 05/21/2008 4:52:23 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; Norman Bates; LdSentinal; Sybeck1; dixiechick2000; ...

This is a partisan poll, and thus an outlier to be taken with a grain of salt. But it still looks like this race will be more competitive than it was expected to be.


2 posted on 05/21/2008 4:54:22 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Karl Marx supported free trade. Does that make him a free market conservative?)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Who do I contact if I need to change my handle?


3 posted on 05/21/2008 4:55:31 PM PDT by Taking Congress back in 2010
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To: Taking Congress back in 2008

The Administrative Monitor may be able to help you, lol.


4 posted on 05/21/2008 4:59:24 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Karl Marx supported free trade. Does that make him a free market conservative?)
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To: Taking Congress back in 2008
Sheesh --- we could lose 5-8 Senate seats this year. NOT looking good.

I don't think we'll actually lose North Carolina, Texas or Mississippi, but the fact is, the polls just aren't looking good for us and all these seats should be safe.

5 posted on 05/21/2008 5:03:19 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Taking Congress back in 2008; Clintonfatigued

At this rate, you’d better change it to “Taking Congress back in 2080.”


6 posted on 05/21/2008 5:03:31 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Problem is, Musgrove has won statewide twice. He lost only the time he had an opponent far more popular than he. Wicker has won zero times statewide. This could end up as uncomfortable as when Congressman Mike Parker ran for Governor against Musgrove in 1999.


7 posted on 05/21/2008 5:06:02 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Alter Kaker

We could lose 11 seats:

Alaska - Stevens will lose if renominated
Colorado - Allard open, Moonbat Udall leading
Maine - Collins has a first tier Dem opponent
Minnesota - Coleman not out of the woods
Mississippi - Subject of this thread
New Hampshire - Sununu still trailing Shaheen
New Mexico - Another Udall likely to win
North Carolina - Dole’s challenger uncomfortably nearly tied with her
Oregon - Smith is weak in a moonbat state
Texas - Cornyn underpolling
Virginia - Mark Warner may waltz to victory over what should be a strong Republican

Even 3 others could potentially be a problem. In Kansas, Roberts is underpolling and in KY, McConnell may get a decent private-sector challenger who has money to spend. Nebraska has an open race that the rodents are going to try to grab, and sometimes races there are unpredictable and Dems have a nasty habit of performing in open seats far disproportionate to their numbers in the state.

We have a shot at precisely “1” rodent incumbent, and that’s Louisiana, and Landrieu is now leading Kennedy.

The Senate alone may end up a f’ing fiasco, and that’s before we even get to the House where I found at least 3 dozen+ seats at minimum that we could lose.


8 posted on 05/21/2008 5:16:11 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Clintonfatigued
If BHO is the nominee, Mississippi is probably lost to him and Musgrove. The big unseen here is the overwhelming and expanded black vote. It will sweep here and possibly Alabama and Florida.
9 posted on 05/21/2008 5:16:32 PM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

My guess is that Obama will help Musgrove in Mississippi. Obama’s obviously not going to win the state or even come particularly close, but Musgrove will win if he gets 90% of black and 20% of the white vote. Obama will drive black turnout much higher than it would otherwise be, and that will help downticket Dems like Musgrove.


10 posted on 05/21/2008 5:22:49 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: shrinkermd
In the 2003 gubernatorial, Haley Barbour beat Musgrove. Barbour got 77% of the white vote and Musgrove got 94% of the black vote. However, blacks only made up 30% of voters.

In 2008, my guess is blacks turning out for Obama will make up 40% of the electorate and that spells trouble for Wicker.

11 posted on 05/21/2008 5:27:22 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Alter Kaker
I don't think ol' toe-sucker Musgrove has much of a chance. He might make it close, but he has got a lot of baggage to overcome
12 posted on 05/21/2008 6:17:16 PM PDT by grandpa jones (Responding To The Epic Threat)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
The party is just plain out of touch. in the last election they should of figured out that they had there backs to the wall. But, of course they didn't. Wee need to change. we need to find a message that is right for the time.One that unites the conservative base with moderate independents. One that we can believe in and commit to enacting.
13 posted on 05/21/2008 6:30:17 PM PDT by bilhosty
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To: bilhosty; NewRomeTacitus; wardaddy; Clintonfatigued; Impy; darkangel82; Clemenza; JohnnyZ; ...

And we need to stop pandering to the left and show some balls. The gutlessness of this party has reached epic proportions. As I asked awhile ago, where are our truth squads following the rodent leadership around every time they open their lying mouths ? When’s the last time we frequently saw Boehner and Roy Blunt going on the offensive on tv or elsewhere ? I NEVER see them at all. Leadership is AWOL. They need to be replaced completely until we find someone willing to stand up and fight and say, “This is what WE believe in, and we’re not compromising our values.”

GOP = Gutless Old Pussies.


14 posted on 05/21/2008 6:43:52 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

We’re not going to keep Maine and Oregon, with the Godawful RINOs we’re running there.


15 posted on 05/21/2008 7:14:25 PM PDT by darkangel82 (If you're not part of the solution, you are part of the problem. (Say no to RINOs))
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Problem is, Musgrove has won statewide twice. He lost only the time he had an opponent far more popular than he.

True, but even his intital gubernatorial victory was by only about 9,000 votes, and much of that came out of northern Mississippi, where Roger Wicker used to represent. In a presidential year, one would think Musgrove would have to climb more uphill to win. I don't even know what his appeal there is. You barely win the first time (for governor) and get beat for re-election, how is he even close to an incumbent Republican for a federal office?
16 posted on 05/21/2008 7:47:16 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief (Groundchuck Hagel and Lindsey Grahamcracker are undesirable menu items in 2008. Make new choices!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

With supposedly safe Senate seats becoming competitive, I nominate Mark Sanford to be Veep. Sanford could inspire Southern whites to come out for Republicans.


17 posted on 05/21/2008 8:09:58 PM PDT by yongin
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To: Galactic Overlord-In-Chief

Well, the incumbent is still only an appointee. Musgrove lost reelection for Governor because he was running against a proverbial GOP rock star in Haley Barbour. He’s going to be able to exploit the current problems (the anti-GOP mood) to mount a very strong candidacy. We shouldn’t have lost Wicker’s seat, and if we could lose that, we can lose the Senate seat. It’s astonishing how much this year is starting to have the stench of 1958 (and in a situation without historic precedence, we could win the Presidency all the while suffering those potentially massive losses, most acutely in the Senate).


18 posted on 05/21/2008 8:10:19 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: yongin

Sanford should be the #1 choice for VP, regardless (frankly, he ought to be the choice for President).


19 posted on 05/21/2008 8:11:45 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

“We have a shot at precisely “1” rodent incumbent, and that’s Louisiana, and Landrieu is now leading Kennedy.”

That’s not entirely true. We have an outside shot in New Jersey, whre Frank Lautenburg is polling low approval ratings.


20 posted on 05/21/2008 8:24:13 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Karl Marx supported free trade. Does that make him a free market conservative?)
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