To: Clintonfatigued
If BHO is the nominee, Mississippi is probably lost to him and Musgrove. The big unseen here is the overwhelming and expanded black vote. It will sweep here and possibly Alabama and Florida.
To: shrinkermd
My guess is that Obama will help Musgrove in Mississippi. Obama’s obviously not going to win the state or even come particularly close, but Musgrove will win if he gets 90% of black and 20% of the white vote. Obama will drive black turnout much higher than it would otherwise be, and that will help downticket Dems like Musgrove.
10 posted on
05/21/2008 5:22:49 PM PDT by
Alter Kaker
(Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
To: shrinkermd
In the 2003 gubernatorial, Haley Barbour beat Musgrove. Barbour got 77% of the white vote and Musgrove got 94% of the black vote. However, blacks only made up 30% of voters.
In 2008, my guess is blacks turning out for Obama will make up 40% of the electorate and that spells trouble for Wicker.
11 posted on
05/21/2008 5:27:22 PM PDT by
Alter Kaker
(Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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