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WE'RE DOOMED!!!!! no wait.
1 posted on 05/16/2008 5:46:29 AM PDT by abb
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To: abb

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/economic-report-housing-starts-surge/story.aspx?guid={C706F371-4307-423D-891C-A27FF53E6737}&dist=hplatest

Housing starts surge on apartment construction
Single-family starts continue decline to 17-year low
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch
Last update: 8:30 a.m. EDT May 16, 2008

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - U.S. home builders broke ground on 8.2% more homes in April, led by a 36% increase in multi-family units, the Commerce Department estimated Friday.
Housing starts rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.032 million, far more than the 954,000 estimated for March or the 939,000 expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch. It was the third increase in the past four months.

Starts of single-family homes declined for the 12th straight month, falling 1.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 692,000, the lowest since January 1991.
The increase is certain to bolster the argument of those who see a bottom in the housing slump. Others say that market suffers from a severe oversupply of homes and the last thing the market needs is new construction.

snip


2 posted on 05/16/2008 5:49:09 AM PDT by abb (Organized Journalism: Marxist-style collectivism applied to information sharing)
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To: abb
Once again Spring, magical Spring works her wonders on the construction industry.
/s
3 posted on 05/16/2008 5:50:51 AM PDT by metesky ("Brethren, leave us go amongst them." Rev. Capt. Samuel Johnston Clayton - Ward Bond- The Searchers)
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To: abb

“March’s revised reading of 954,000 but 30.6% lower than April of 2007”

The only part of the article that matters.

I think we need a financial press version of Newsbusters. The spin that seeps out of the financial MSM is pure sewage.


5 posted on 05/16/2008 5:55:51 AM PDT by skipper18
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To: abb
It's only anecdotal but I live in a golfing community in central NJ and within 3 blocks of my home there are presently 16 homes in various stages of construction. The reason IMO is the developer (Lennar) has slashed prices tremendously and people are reacting. WE only moved in in Feb and we enjoyed almost an $88,000 reduction (about 17%) off previous prices which until mid 2007 were not being discounted at all in this community.

As soon as the masses trying to sell their present homes wake up to the reality their place isn't worth what they think it's worth but only what someone will pay them for it, the next housing market cycle will begin. Also, given the depth of this housing pull back I expect when the market turns it will climb sharply due to the "compressed spring" phenomenon that says when a market is pushed down sharply and quickly the rebound is just as quick. And while I do not expect housing prices to immediately climb to 2004-5 levels I do believe they will be much higher in 2 years then they are today.

I don't think there has ever been a better time to buy a new home then now with prices heavily discounted and mortgage rates as low as they are.

6 posted on 05/16/2008 6:01:47 AM PDT by lexusppd
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To: abb

But...but....the BUBBLE! WHERE’S MY BUBBLE?.........


8 posted on 05/16/2008 6:23:09 AM PDT by Red Badger ( We don't have science, but we do have consensus.......)
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To: abb

Bottoming out or dead cat bounce?


9 posted on 05/16/2008 6:38:39 AM PDT by taxcontrol
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To: abb

Breaking news??


11 posted on 05/16/2008 6:48:42 AM PDT by Buffalo Head (Illigitimi non carborundum)
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To: abb
Construction of new single-family homes, however, was at a rate of 692,000 in April, or 1.7% below March's number. That is the lowest reading of that measure since January 1991. Single-family homes are considered the core of the housing market.
12 posted on 05/16/2008 6:51:27 AM PDT by am452 (In order to ensure the quality of your patriotism, your conversation may be monitored.)
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To: abb

IMO, This increase reflects local, independent builders taking advantage of the vacuum left by the national volume builders (tract builders) who pulled out of many regional markets.

The tract builders sell off their remaining lots at a discount when they pull out. The local guys build a better, custom quality home that makes the tract guy’s houses look like shipping crates.

In a nicely situated subdivision, which house do you think a buyer would prefer to purchase given that each home was in the buyer’s price range?


15 posted on 05/16/2008 7:06:16 AM PDT by Rebelbase (McCain: The Third Bush Term ?)
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To: abb

This is not a good thing. Right we need to burn off the housing inventory before prices can start to rise again. Building new homes in a declining market only adds to the inventory supply and works to lower prices further.


19 posted on 05/16/2008 7:37:51 AM PDT by Thoreau
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To: abb

baffling. One would expect the “old” homes to be sold first, but what do I know and good news are good news.


20 posted on 05/16/2008 7:39:02 AM PDT by old-and-old
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To: abb

For a variety of reasons, including political bias, ignorance of economics, and a lack of basic analytical/statistical skills, the press has a three to six month lag on major economic issues.

The U.S. economy decidedly turned positive in the first quarter of 2008, even though GDP only grew by 0.6%.

Growth is improving in the current (second) quarter, and absent the usual “stupid human tricks” by the Fed and politicians, the third and fourth quarters could be very, very, good.

However, you won’t see any economic good news in the press until the second Wednesday of November at the earliest, and then only if a dim is elected President.


21 posted on 05/16/2008 8:27:14 AM PDT by Natty Bumppo@frontier.net ("The facts of life are conservative!" Margaret Thatcher)
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To: All

“Total housing starts got a boost from multi-family homes” SIngle-family was at lowest level since 1991. This is not good news.


25 posted on 05/16/2008 10:19:20 AM PDT by PghBaldy (Michelle O's handlers: "Get me white people...!!!")
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To: abb

Just moved into a new tract in Bakersfield, Ca. Empty lots are being filled in short order. I’m stuned, I tell ya!


33 posted on 05/16/2008 10:40:19 PM PDT by jamndad5 ("I ask, sir, what is the militia? It is the whole people, except for a few public officials.")
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