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Obama backer predicts victory in Hill war - Battle for Super Delegates may be over
Politico ^ | April 30th, 2008 | AMIE PARNES & JOSEPHINE HEARN

Posted on 04/30/2008 9:16:55 AM PDT by The_Republican

Capitol Hill insiders say the battle for congressional superdelegates is over, and one Senate supporter of Barack Obama is hinting strongly that he has prevailed over Hillary Rodham Clinton.

While more than 80 Democrats in the House and Senate have yet to state their preferences in the race for the Democratic nomination, sources said Tuesday that most of them have already made up their minds and have told the campaigns where they stand.

“The majority of superdelegates I’ve talked to are committed, but it is a matter of timing,” said Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.). “They’re just preferring to make their decision public after the primaries are over. ... They would like someone else to act for them before they talk about it in the cold light of day.”

Obama currently holds an 18-13 lead among committed superdelegates in the Senate, while Clinton holds a 77-74 lead in the House. Asked which way the committed-but-unannounced superdelegates are leaning, McCaskill — who has endorsed Obama — said: “James Brown would say, ‘I Feel Good.’”

Not so fast, said Clinton spokesman Phil Singer.

“Considering the rough patch Sen. Obama is going through, it’s understandable that Sen. McCaskill would want to change the subject, but her observations don’t jibe with what automatic delegates are actually saying,” he said. “Most are concerned about Sen. Obama’s electability and are impressed by the fact that Sen. Clinton is winning the states that Democrats must carry if we are to be successful in November.”

Still, supporters of both Clinton and Obama say that the lobbying for congressional superdelegates seems to have decreased in recent weeks.

McCaskill said that the campaigns have all but given up on lobbying her Senate colleagues because they know their minds are made up.

Clinton backer Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) acknowledged that the lobbying is no longer as aggressive as it once was. “I think there’s a different touch now,” he said. “We’re staying engaged. Right now, it’s about making sure everyone still feels loved and wanted.”

Montana Sen. Jon Tester — one of the Democrats who has yet to commit publicly — said the campaigns “haven’t applied much pressure” of late. “I haven’t heard much, and it’s been a few weeks,” he said.

“All the low-hanging fruit has already been picked,” said one Democratic Senate aide. “The rest are waiting to see who the winner is or are doing what’s in their best interests. Most of the people that are remaining just don’t want to pick the wrong side.”

Uncommitted superdelegates have many reasons for waiting to announce their support publicly, but chief among them is a desire to preserve their options should their favored candidate suddenly tank.

Some of the uncommitted superdelegates are in tenuous electoral situations themselves, and they fear that they might lose a reelection fight if they miscalculate the presidential race. Still, these delegates follow the contest with the same enthusiasm of committed delegates, and they want to let their chosen campaigns know of their support. They will often place a courtesy call to the opposing campaign, a move that helps preserve a relationship while also ensuring that they won’t be lobbied further.

Sen. Carl Levin (D-Mich.) said Tuesday that he plans to remain uncommitted because of the fight to seat the Michigan delegates. He insisted that he’s still trying to decide who has “the best chance of winning” in November and that he honestly doesn’t know the answer yet.

Three weeks before his state votes in its primary, Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) said he will remain on the sidelines in order to convince the candidates to take a harder look at his health care proposal.

Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) is also uncommitted. He said that he has received numerous letters criticizing his neutrality but that he and other House Democratic leaders decided early on to avoid taking sides in the potentially divisive contest.

“I’m doing what I think is in the best interest of the caucus,” he said.

Clyburn spoke to Politico just before Obama held a press conference Tuesday in which he repudiated comments his former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made earlier this week. Clyburn did not downplay the dilemma the Wright episode has posed for Obama, but he said the candidate was “capable of meeting it.”

“Rev. Wright ought to be providing shoulders to stand on,” Clyburn said, “not be a part of any kneecapping operation that is taking place.”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: demprimary; hillary; obama; superdelegates
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Hildabeast most likely angling for 2012.
1 posted on 04/30/2008 9:16:56 AM PDT by The_Republican
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To: The_Republican
Hildabeast most likely angling for 2012.

That seems likely, as it would tie in with the apocalypse predicted by the Mayan calendar.

2 posted on 04/30/2008 9:19:04 AM PDT by agere_contra
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To: The_Republican

Can someone explain why Hillary would be a front-runner for 2012 if she doesn’t make it this time? After all the negativity of this campaign, and the open dislike of many Democrats for the Clintons that has come out, is Hillary really likely to be the front runner in 2012, if McCain wins the general election this year?


3 posted on 04/30/2008 9:20:23 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: The_Republican

Can someone explain why Hillary would be a front-runner for 2012 if she doesn’t make it this time? After all the negativity of this campaign, and the open dislike of many Democrats for the Clintons that has come out, is Hillary really likely to be the front runner in 2012, if McCain wins the general election this year?


4 posted on 04/30/2008 9:20:38 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: The_Republican

It is all over but the shouting really. Barring divine intervention, or should I say SATANIC intervention. Osama Obama will be the Dims poster child — and what a spectacle — what a candidate for President -— God Save America.


5 posted on 04/30/2008 9:20:53 AM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: agere_contra

LOL! Too funny!


6 posted on 04/30/2008 9:20:54 AM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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To: The_Republican

I just don’t see her as viable in 2012. Who knows what shape Bill will be in by then. I think it’s now or never for her. I don’t think she wants to go back to the Senate a “loser”. Besides, I’m sure there are many other, more qualified democrats looking on thinking: “if these two are the best the party can do, I’m in for 2012.


7 posted on 04/30/2008 9:24:14 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: EagleUSA

The Real Obama Story Exposed! Part II
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/search?m=all;o=time;q=quick;s=The%20Real%20Obama%20Story%20Exposed%21

Has anyone verified this story, if they have why haven’t we heard about it?


8 posted on 04/30/2008 9:24:14 AM PDT by LJayne (If we falter and lose our freedoms, it will be because of us, not outsiders.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

I think the Klinton calculation is that they have damaged Obama to the point where he is un-electable. They are right about that.

Then they see 72 year old John McCain inheriting worst possible problems on every front - War, WOT, Economy, Housing, Healthcare and other Socialist Programs. They also know and see that he would also be inheriting dispirited and split Republican party, and VICIOUS and MERCILESS Demcorat Majorities in Congress. So not only Democrats would do everything in their Power to make sure he is a failed President, his own base would be doing everything in their power to trip him up.

None of the problems would be solved in that enviorment and can only get worse.

Here come the Klintons on their White Horse (paid for Chicomss) to rescue the Nation. They would couple of best sellers - “Nostalgia” and “I Told You SOs”.

My best guess.


9 posted on 04/30/2008 9:25:13 AM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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To: The_Republican

****All the low-hanging fruit has already been picked,” said one Democratic Senate aide****

Now there’s a sound byte and a really pretty visual;)


10 posted on 04/30/2008 9:25:51 AM PDT by sodpoodle (Despair - man's surrender. Laughter - God's redemption.)
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To: sodpoodle

This is far from over...the media is in the tank for Obama...and this is an attempt to get Hillary out by June. KEEP FIGHTING HILLARY!


11 posted on 04/30/2008 9:27:41 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: agere_contra; The_Republican
"Hildabeast most likely angling for 2012."

Do you really think so? LOL!


12 posted on 04/30/2008 9:28:36 AM PDT by Spunky (You are free to make choices, but not free from the consequences)
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To: The_Republican
If the Democrats nominate Barack over Hillary after yesterdays lame attempt to distance himself from Reverend Wright, then they have a death wish.

I don't think they are that dumb.

And if you think Hillary looks like nurse Wratchet now, guess what she'll be in 2012....unelectable, thats what!

These Politico writers are in the tank for Obama...

13 posted on 04/30/2008 9:29:16 AM PDT by HardStarboard (Take No Prisoners - We're Out Of Qurans)
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To: Blue Turtle

No way. Majority of the uncommitted of the remaining 298 Super Delegates are from Obama States. She would need 76% of the remaining Supers to surpass him. He would ONLY be 100 or so short.

Unless Reverend Wright has some tape of Obama where he is spouting Black Liberation Theology, Obama is going to be the Nominee of Democrat Party.


14 posted on 04/30/2008 9:32:06 AM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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To: Dilbert San Diego
Can someone explain why Hillary would be a front-runner for 2012 if she doesn’t make it this time?

Well first and foremost she is entitled to it. Next, Obama's extreme liberalism and the revelation that he is not a new politician but cut from the same straw indicates he goes down crashing and burning in November (barring McCain just keeping his mouth shut). However, if he pulls a Carter and actually wins, the country will go down in flames and the Clinton comes back on the New Democrat horse slashing lefties in the party as she rides in.

15 posted on 04/30/2008 9:32:42 AM PDT by 11th Commandment (McCain makes me crazy- Obama scares the cr*p out of me.)
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To: The_Republican

Coronate Obama already. He will lose 40+ states on November 4.


16 posted on 04/30/2008 9:33:19 AM PDT by montag813
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To: The_Republican
Here come the Klintons on their White Horse ..

not a bad analysis at all. Very possible.

I take a small exception:
they have damaged Obama to the point where he is un-electable. They are right about that.

I am not at all sure about that.
McCain, for better or worse, is a weak candidate to put forth, he is going to be outspent by magnitudes, the MSM will continue in its unabashed role as the democrat's 5th column, and I do not have any real faith in the intellect of the average American voter. - Not at all, but he has one thing:

A decent chance. - and one that will be increased or diminished by the VP choice on either side.
That will be interesting.

17 posted on 04/30/2008 9:35:24 AM PDT by bill1952 (I will vote for McCain if he resigns his Senate seat before this election.)
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To: Blue Turtle

Obama will be the destruction of the Demo party, the extreme leftest, the all knowing elitest ... they will be the only ones remaining in the demo party.
Reagan Demo’s will flock to McCain in mass.
In a perfect world it would be a McCain/Hillary ticket,
but the hard core Hillary haters could never comprehend the value of such a ticket. As a woman I hope that Hillary has enough insight as to never run on a ticket with Obama because his eventual loss will be blamed on her, and the marxist will save face.


18 posted on 04/30/2008 9:40:37 AM PDT by nightmarewhileawake
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To: The_Republican

That may be....but she ain’t gettin’ out.


19 posted on 04/30/2008 9:46:45 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: Spunky
OMG! I would SOOOOO hit that!


20 posted on 04/30/2008 9:53:28 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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