Posted on 04/10/2008 11:12:55 AM PDT by SmithL
Republican Sen. John McCain has erased Sen. Barack Obama's 10-point advantage in a head-to-head matchup, leaving him essentially tied with both Democratic candidates in an Associated Press-Ipsos national poll released Thursday.
The survey showed the extended Democratic primary campaign creating divisions among supporters of Obama and rival Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and suggests a tight race for the presidency in November no matter which Democrat becomes the nominee.
McCain is benefiting from a bounce since he clinched the GOP nomination a month ago. The four-term Arizona senator has moved up in matchups with each of the Democratic candidates, particularly Obama.
An AP-Ipsos poll taken in late February had Obama leading McCain 51-41 percent. The current survey, conducted April 7-9, had them at 45 percent each. McCain leads Obama among men, whites, Southerners, married women and independents.
Clinton led McCain, 48-43 percent, in February. The latest survey showed the New York senator with 48 percent support to McCain's 45 percent. Factoring in the poll's margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, Clinton and McCain are statistically tied.
The last month has been challenging for Obama. The Illinois senator suffered high-profile losses in Texas and Ohio that encouraged Clinton, who pushed on even harder against him. Obama's campaign also suffered a blow with scrutiny of incendiary sermons delivered by his longtime pastor. The candidate responded by delivering perhaps the biggest speech of his campaign to call for racial understanding.
Obama is also facing almost daily critiques from Clinton and McCain, questioning whether the freshman lawmaker has the experience to be a wartime leader.
(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...
This honeymoon will erode, as the MSM and his liberal friends hang him out to dry.
Adults, not "likely voters" or even "registered voters" or "legal residents". Also it's an AP/IPSOS poll -- so McCain may really be ahead, well, he may really be light years ahead.
Whatever McCain is not doing, he should keep not doing it.
As Tom Sowell said:
McCain cannot convince me to vote for McCain, but Hillary and Obama can.
RCP has Obama in a steady lead in spite of all the recent hype.
Give the media time, after the Democrats have their candidate. The wailing of tears from the McManiacs will float the Titanic.
The GOP simply cannot survive a McCain win anyway if they hope to get the majority back in 2010 or 2012. McCain will set Conservatives back decades in the eyes of the public.
My rule of thumb, take the quoted margin of error and multiply it by 5 to get a polls true margin of error.
True maybe. But anything is better than the beast and Obambi O’Baloney.
I don’t think there’s a change of Hussein Ophony winning the general election.
If by weird chance he does, I’m moving to France into Alec Baldwins old house, etc.
Democrats — the only good reason to vote for Republicans.
If you think a McCain loss would be preferable, you need a cold shower.
Assuming for the sake of argument that McCain wins the presidency, he will have a democrat Congress to deal with. Given the 'rat-pack's proclivity for overplaying their hand, and not only the low esteem in which Congress is held but their very incompetence, the possibility of a return to the majority for republicans in 2010 or 2012 would be very real. It is useful to bear in mind that the GOP won Congress with a democrat in the White House, and only a weak ex-presidential candidate licking his wounds somewhere. It all depends on the GOP generating someone besides McCain who can supply leadership, as Gingrich did in 1994. That person has yet to be identified, but he's out there somewhere.
Obama has the Wright stuff. He will McGovern the election.
Isn't that the truth.
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