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Obama Collapse in Final Contests May Be Clinton's Best Hope
International Herald Tribune ^ | March 24, 2008 | Adam Nagourney

Posted on 03/24/2008 4:21:14 PM PDT by kellynla

WASHINGTON: To listen to some of the discussion about the Democratic presidential contest these days, one would think that Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton should have spent Easter weekend at her home in Chappaqua, New York, writing her withdrawal speech and preparing for her return to the Senate.

Make no mistake about it; Clinton's task in trying to overtake Senator Barack Obama of Illinois is daunting. And it grew even tougher last week, when the collapse of efforts to redo the Florida and Michigan primaries almost certainly ended her hope of narrowing Obama's lead in pledged delegates and being able to claim a majority of the popular vote when the voting is done.

But it is still not impossible. There remains at least one scenario where Clinton could win. It is an increasingly unlikely one and one that could traumatize the Democratic Party. Still, it gives succor to her supporters, and presumably Clinton herself, and is something to keep in mind watching the two of them head toward the endgame of their contest.

The electorate that matters most now are not the voters waiting to go to the polls in the 10 nominating contests that remain between now and June. Instead, it is the superdelegates - the elected officials and party leaders who have automatic status as uncommitted delegates and whose votes are needed to put either Obama or Clinton over the top.

There are about 800 of them and they are going be weighing two main arguments: Obama's contention that the Democratic rank-and-file has expressed its will and superdelegates should not overturn it, and Clinton's brief that she offers the party the best chance to defeat Senator John McCain, the Arizona Republican, this fall.

(Excerpt) Read more at iht.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: clinton; election; hillary; obama; superdelegates
Obama wins the Primary and loses the General election. The only way McCain loses is if he's caught in bed with a live boy or a dead girl.
1 posted on 03/24/2008 4:21:15 PM PDT by kellynla
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To: kellynla; South40
Paging South40: your Costanza popcorn machine is needed in this thread, STAT!


2 posted on 03/24/2008 4:27:59 PM PDT by Viking2002 (I hope the AG pounds the Mann Act up Spitzer's ass with a sharp stick.)
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To: kellynla
The only way McCain loses is if he's caught in bed with a live boy or a dead girl.

Queeg has a short temper and when he loses it he goes bonkers. Once the dem nominee crawls out of the ashes of Denver and brushes himherself off, the MSM will pressure McCain day after day with this n that story about how horrible he is. I have no confidence at all that McCain will withstand the pressure without a meltdown. Whether or not that meltdown causes him to lose to the hapless dem nominee is the big question.

3 posted on 03/24/2008 4:28:29 PM PDT by HerrBlucher
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To: kellynla

**Obama Collapse in Final Contests May Be Clinton’s Best Hope**

Let’s home so. I think Clinton will be easier to beat in the General Election than ‘Bama.


4 posted on 03/24/2008 4:32:28 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: kellynla

Keep Chaos alive!


5 posted on 03/24/2008 4:35:11 PM PDT by clintonh8r (An Obamanation would be an abomination...."A typical white person.")
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To: Salvation
The only way McCain loses is if he's caught in bed with a live boy and a dead girl.
6 posted on 03/24/2008 4:35:54 PM PDT by Wally_Kalbacken (Seldom right but never in doubt)
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To: kellynla
It is an increasingly unlikely one and one that could traumatize the Democratic Party.

She'll do it.

7 posted on 03/24/2008 4:37:04 PM PDT by Libloather (March is Liberal Awareness Month.)
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To: Salvation

I was afraid that I was the only one who thought that. I don’t feel so lonely now.


8 posted on 03/24/2008 4:41:30 PM PDT by whatshotandwhatsnot
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To: Salvation
. I think Clinton will be easier to beat in the General Election than ‘Bama.

I think Obama would be easier to beat than Hill. Should the Rats take the presidency, Hill would be less awful than "Bar."

9 posted on 03/24/2008 4:49:12 PM PDT by Veto! (Opinions freely dispensed as advice)
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To: Viking2002
Paging South40: your Costanza popcorn machine is needed in this thread, STAT!

Better still:

Photobucket

10 posted on 03/24/2008 4:52:58 PM PDT by tx_eggman (Privatizing profits and socializing losses is no way to run an economy.)
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To: Viking2002
Jerry! Look! They're might be an Obama collapse!


11 posted on 03/24/2008 4:54:23 PM PDT by O Neill (Aye, Katie Scarlett, the ONLY thing that lasts is the land...)
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To: HerrBlucher

Whether or not that meltdown causes him to lose to the hapless dem nominee is the big question.

It is possible that a rightous show of anger directed at a badgering press would just endear him to the electorate.

While Ooby and Hilly pull hair and call names, McC is out visiting foreign capitals and looking Presidential, still
we know the media and once the game is joined neutrality will go by the board.


12 posted on 03/24/2008 4:58:07 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: kellynla

“The only way McCain loses is if he’s caught in bed with a live boy or a dead girl.”

You under estimate the appeal either of those things would have with centrist democrats and independents. Might offset the losses.


13 posted on 03/24/2008 5:15:03 PM PDT by DugwayDuke (A true patriot will do anything to keep a Democrat out of the White House.)
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To: kellynla
Obama wins the Primary and loses the General election.

Although the upside to Hillary stealing the nomination would be that an entire generation of youthful impressionable idiots as well as the dronish D voting "Black Caucus" would become disenchanted with the D party...

Also, when the inevitable riots break out, I can send the wife and kids out of the city and the kids won't miss any school before civil unrest is quelled.

14 posted on 03/24/2008 5:21:52 PM PDT by End Times Sentinel (In Memory of my Dear Friend Henry Lee II)
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To: HerrBlucher

The one thing I can guarantee you about McCain’s temper is that he will never lose it at a democrat. He only abuses his own and is nothing but nicey-nice to libs.


15 posted on 03/24/2008 5:31:06 PM PDT by sinanju
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To: HerrBlucher

McCain is so drugged he couldn’t lose his temper if someone slapped his face. His voice is dull and monotone. There is no shine in his eyes.

I suspect, no fire in his belly....because of the medication.

Just my opinion. Anyone else noticed it?


16 posted on 03/24/2008 9:50:15 PM PDT by jch10
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