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Reality Check (Weekly Standard on Obama)
Weekly Standard ^ | March 19, 2008 | by Michael Goldfarb

Posted on 03/19/2008 7:24:33 AM PDT by jdm

What if I told you in 2004 that the Democratic party would run an African American candidate for president in 2008? I tell you National Journal will officially label this candidate the most liberal member of the United States Senate. This candidate will also have served less than three years in that Senate, with no executive, foreign policy, or military experience. Then I tell you that this candidate will lose the party's primaries in Texas, California, New York, Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. Oh, and his minister sounds like Louis Farrakhan, and actually pals around and gives awards to Farrakhan.

This is the situation the Democratic party finds itself in, and not only that, but the presumptive Republican nominee has the highest favorability rating of any candidate Gallup's tracked in the last eight years. It's a recipe for disaster in a year when the Democratic party could only defeat itself. But that's the Democrats' specialty.

Glenn Greenwald writes today under the headline, "Obama's faith in the reasoning abilities of the American public." Seriously? After almost eight years of whining about how stupid Americans are, that's where Democrats want to put their faith? His opening graph:

I haven't written about the Obama speech yet (video here) because I spent much of the day reading the instantaneous reactions of virtually everyone else, and because the issues raised by the speech are complex and my views about it are somewhat ambiguous. Personally, I found the speech riveting, provocative, insightful, thoughtful and courageous -- courageous because it eschewed almost completely all cliches, pandering and condescension, the first time I can recall a political figure of any significance doing so when addressing a controversial matter.

Mere mortals, and we can now count Obama among them, don't get elected to national office by eschewing cliches, pandering and condescension. I did a show last night on New England Cable News with a black preacher from Boston and a black Obama supporter. Both thought the speech was magnificent because Obama spoke the truth, and the woman thought that Obama had finally laid to rest her fears that Obama didn't see himself as part of the civil rights struggle.

Geez, I can't think of a worse outcome for the first "post-racial" candidate. And as far as the truth, again, nobody ever won an election by telling hard truths to the American people. That's just not how politics works (and by the way, the only hard truth Obama needed to tell last night was that his connection to Wright was one of political necessity and nothing more).

Meanwhile, back on planet earth, the Republican party is elated:

Now, with the emergence of the notorious video portraying Rev. Jeremiah Wright damning the country, criticizing Israel, faulting U.S. policy for the attacks of Sept. 11 and generally lashing out against white America, GOP strategists believe they’ve finally found an antidote to Obamamania.

In their view, the inflammatory sermons by Obama’s pastor offer the party a pathway to victory if Obama emerges as the Democratic nominee. Not only will the video clips enable some elements of the party to define him as unpatriotic, they will also serve as a powerful motivating force for the conservative base.

And that is the ultimate truth of all this. Obama has been fatally wounded, and yet the Democratic party superdelegates, who exist solely to prevent such a catastrophe in a close primary battle, can do nothing about it. If they hand the nomination to Clinton, the party loses the black vote, and Clinton cannot win without those votes.

Just a few month after all the worry on the right about Democratic turnout, the fracturing of the Republican coalition, the lack of exciting Republican candidates...it turns out the Democrats intend to commit collective suicide with a final nod to the "reasoning abilities of the American public."


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: jeremiahwright; nobama; obama; realitycheck
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1 posted on 03/19/2008 7:24:34 AM PDT by jdm
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To: jdm
The only way Hillary can retrieve the situation is to amass more popular votes and delegates than Obama. Either way, the Democratic party faces the unappetizing choice of throwing black voters under the bus or losing the white vote. Its not a place the super delegates want to find themselves in Denver.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

2 posted on 03/19/2008 7:28:40 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: jdm
Obama has been fatally wounded, and yet the Democratic party superdelegates, who exist solely to prevent such a catastrophe in a close primary battle, can do nothing about it. If they hand the nomination to Clinton, the party loses the black vote, and Clinton cannot win without those votes.

So we could have nominated Duncan Hunter, and still had a shot...

3 posted on 03/19/2008 7:29:16 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: jdm
"...I found the speech riveting, provocative, insightful, thoughtful and courageous..."

Yeah, throwing his white grandma under the bus is soooooo "riveting, provocative, insightful, thoughtful and courageous..."


5 posted on 03/19/2008 7:32:29 AM PDT by avacado
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To: F15Eagle
Not all Black Democrats support Obama, but the American people (moonbats excluded) aren’t going to vote for Obama after this.

We're months from the general election, but I think this is going to linger. There was a collective gasp of horror at Wright's "G-damn America" and the other hateful racist screeds that will take a long time to fade.

6 posted on 03/19/2008 7:33:25 AM PDT by hsalaw
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To: F15Eagle

“Not all Black Democrats support Obama”

While blacks are voting at a 90% clip for Obama, it’s the BLACK LEADERSHIP that’s not supporting him...

The Black Overseer’s are terrified that the gravy-train they have been living on for years ends if Obama gets elected. They’ve made a damned good living off of race-baiting, and don’t want to lose those mansions...


7 posted on 03/19/2008 7:34:26 AM PDT by tcrlaf (VOTE DEMOCRAT-You'll look great in a Burka!)
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To: goldstategop
Its not a place the super delegates want to find themselves in Denver.

The author is correct, and it is a bad place.

The WHOLE POINT of "superdelegates" is to "correct" the voters if they make the "wrong" choice. But if the voters choose O'bama, and the superdelegates swing it to Hillary, fire insurance will get expensive real fast.

If the voters choose O'bama, and the superdelegates let him have it, they prove their own uselessness, and go down in flames in November.

Their only hope is for H to win more elected delegates than O'bama.

8 posted on 03/19/2008 7:34:47 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: Izzy Dunne
That's right. The Democrats' strategy of race baiting has come back to haunt them. To stay competitive in November - they must get 90% of the black vote. If large number of blacks stay home in key states, the Dems are looking at an Electoral College rout. That's not the scenario they were envisaging this year. McCain after all is a very weak Republican candidate and if they can't beat him in a year when all the stars are aligning for them - let's just say its its dream turned into a nightmare.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

9 posted on 03/19/2008 7:35:00 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: avacado

Comparing what she said to what his pastor said is beyond rephensible. Period.

I actually liked the guy before yesterday and defended him here, but his speech shows he has no class.


11 posted on 03/19/2008 7:38:00 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (Truth : Liberals :: Kryptonite : Superman)
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To: jdm

It’s a long way to November.


12 posted on 03/19/2008 7:38:39 AM PDT by GVnana ("They're still analyzing the first guy. What do I have to worry about?" - GWB)
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To: tcrlaf
While blacks are voting at a 90% clip for Obama, it’s the BLACK LEADERSHIP that’s not supporting him...

Not so. Many are circling the wagons around him. Here is a list of super delegates supporting Obama, many of the them black. I suspect that many of the black undecided and Hillary supporter superdelegates will shift to Obama as the issue becomes more racially charged.

13 posted on 03/19/2008 7:40:50 AM PDT by kabar
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To: jdm
And that is the ultimate truth of all this. Obama has been fatally wounded, and yet the Democratic party superdelegates, who exist solely to prevent such a catastrophe in a close primary battle, can do nothing about it.

Never doubt the Democrat's ability to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat, especially with the help of the adoring left-wing MSM. And never doubt the ability of Pubbies to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, especially with McCain's "high-road" approach and lapses of memory like his accusation yesterday of Iran exporting Al Qaeda terrorists to Iraq versus them exporting their own brand of Shite terrorists.

14 posted on 03/19/2008 7:41:47 AM PDT by CedarDave (John, When will you treat conservatives the way you do fellow senators John, Hillary and Barack?)
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To: goldstategop
For me, I want Obama to win the most delegates (not overwhelmingly, but clearly); for Hillary to steal the nomination from him; for Obama to go to court citing Bush v. Gore to block Hillary's attempt to sneak in delegates from FL and MI; and for blacks to stay home in record numbers.

To me, that is the overall best outcome.

15 posted on 03/19/2008 7:44:39 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: F15Eagle

Apparently you didn’t see the talk shows this morning. Obama “did a great job.” Put “race on the table.” PEGGY NOONAN said he had a good speech. The “American people” aren’t even going to know this reverend’s name by November.


16 posted on 03/19/2008 7:45:43 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: jdm
Obama’s candidacy proves that the Americans can get past race.
His speech proves that Obama cannot.
17 posted on 03/19/2008 7:47:46 AM PDT by genetic drift
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To: goldstategop
That's right. The Democrats' strategy of race baiting has come back to haunt them

As Malcolm X and Rev. Wright, were fond of saying, "The chickens have come home to roost!"

18 posted on 03/19/2008 7:50:46 AM PDT by dawn53
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

To: jdm

In our time, a black candidate who America will accept will have to come from the Republican party. There is no way a black candidate will ever be successful attacking from the democrat party’s bastions of liberalism, socialism, and JesseJacksonism.


20 posted on 03/19/2008 7:55:10 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain -- Those denying the War was Necessary Do NOT Support the Troops!)
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