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The Smell of Fear: Is a Bottom Near? (Stock Market)
Barron's ^ | 17 March 2008 | KOPIN TAN

Posted on 03/15/2008 5:38:06 PM PDT by shrinkermd

STARTLED BY A RAPIDLY WORSENING liquidity crunch at Bear Stearns, the stock market fell Friday in a broad wave of selling as investors worried anew about the severity and spread of the credit rot.

The crisis of confidence at the nation's fifth-largest investment bank, where customers were demanding their money back, mirrored the crippling anxiety spreading through the markets: The cost of protecting investment banks' debt against defaults increased. Shares of merger targets slipped further below offer prices amid fear about the unwinding of arbitrage positions. Emerging-market assets skidded. Investors rushed to hedge in the option market.

That the New York Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase (ticker: JPM) were devising ways to bail out Bear Stearns (BSC) raises the specter of a bank too big to be allowed to fail, and the prospect of such a failure -- and others that could still come -- frightened investors in markets across the globe.

That distinctive smell of fear also egged on traders who counted off increasing signs that a stock-market bottom, if not yet here, might at least be near: a venerable Wall Street giant teetering on the brink of collapse, frantic government intervention, the whiff of panic everywhere you turn. The bargain hunting that ensued lifted the Dow Jones Industrial Average 118 points off its intraday low Friday afternoon, providing a wee bit of reprieve heading into the weekend

(Excerpt) Read more at online.barrons.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: economy; market; stock; stockmarket; wallsteet
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The CBOE market volatility has risen above thirty and the weekly % bull advisors has fallen to 34.

Both of these are contrary indicators auguring for a bounce back rally. But like all statistics its the exceptions to these rules that destroy your nest egg.

1 posted on 03/15/2008 5:38:08 PM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

I wouldn’t be a big buyer right now. Even if you wait until the S&P 500 moves back above it’s 50 day moving average, you won’t miss out on too much upside, if things are about to start roaring back.


2 posted on 03/15/2008 5:48:23 PM PDT by aynrandfreak (The Left hates America)
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To: shrinkermd
Is a Bottom Near?



Is this near enough?

3 posted on 03/15/2008 5:50:42 PM PDT by jdm (Contrary to popular belief, the search function works just fine.)
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To: jdm

Thats unbelievable.


4 posted on 03/15/2008 5:53:36 PM PDT by golfisnr1 (Democrats are like roaches - hard to get rid of.)
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To: shrinkermd

Pat Dorsey, one of the most calm and patient investor, he makes regular appearances on Fox’s “Bulls & Bears”.....he said this is time to BUY.

Too bad Jim Rogers doesn’t come to Cavuto’s show......I guess he is too buys making money on the COMMODITIES, that he was championing for years and even wrote a book......he was RIGHT about HOUSING MARKET......about Dollar......and about Commodities........

I wish we can get a confirmation from him.........if he says GO - GO.


5 posted on 03/15/2008 5:53:53 PM PDT by The_Republican (You know why Chelsea Clinton is so Ugly? Because Janet Reno is her Father! LOL! - Mac is Back!)
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To: jdm

Doctored?


6 posted on 03/15/2008 5:54:38 PM PDT by The_Republican (You know why Chelsea Clinton is so Ugly? Because Janet Reno is her Father! LOL! - Mac is Back!)
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To: shrinkermd

Go out there and Spend some money!


7 posted on 03/15/2008 5:54:41 PM PDT by divine_moment_of_facts
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To: jdm

Not Guilty.


8 posted on 03/15/2008 5:54:44 PM PDT by ItisaReligionofPeace
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To: jdm

why wasn’t I pinged?


9 posted on 03/15/2008 5:55:36 PM PDT by Perdogg (Reagan would have never said "She's my girl")
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To: jdm

Mercy!


10 posted on 03/15/2008 5:57:09 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: shrinkermd

....one more thing....Jim Rogers was putting his money in Nuclear Energy as well.....and Natural Gas.......he believes future is in Nuclear Energy.....and he is right.....

Even a Liberal like Quentin Hardy said today that Nuclear Energy is a viable option......

Its the CHEAPEST and if you protect the waste properly....also the CLEANEST.....

ITS CRAZY THAT EVEN TODAY WE ARE BURNING FOSSIL FUEL TO GET I THINK 40-50% OUR ENERGY (not talking about gas for cars, that’s a small percent of overall fuel consumption).


11 posted on 03/15/2008 5:57:37 PM PDT by The_Republican (You know why Chelsea Clinton is so Ugly? Because Janet Reno is her Father! LOL! - Mac is Back!)
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To: jdm

I don’t know, can you smell it? It isn’t close enough if you can’t smell it; see the title to this thread.


12 posted on 03/15/2008 5:59:18 PM PDT by coloradan (The US is becoming a banana republic, except without the bananas - or the republic.)
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To: Perdogg
why wasn’t I pinged?

Sorry, I thought you'd be out partying right now.

13 posted on 03/15/2008 6:00:10 PM PDT by jdm (Contrary to popular belief, the search function works just fine.)
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To: jdm

Now, that is a bottom!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


14 posted on 03/15/2008 6:08:09 PM PDT by RAY (God Bless the USA!)
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To: divine_moment_of_facts
Go out there and Spend some money!

I am! Went more aggressive on my mutual funds mix when the DOW was at 12,400. Should have waited a month.

15 posted on 03/15/2008 6:12:32 PM PDT by Cobra64 (www.BulletBras.net)
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To: jdm

“Baby’s got back”!


16 posted on 03/15/2008 6:12:36 PM PDT by dynachrome (Immigration without assimilation means the death of this nation~Captainpaintball)
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To: jdm

THAT is a bottom!


17 posted on 03/15/2008 6:13:39 PM PDT by Travis McGee (---www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com---)
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To: shrinkermd

bump


18 posted on 03/15/2008 6:15:39 PM PDT by VOA
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To: The_Republican

There is more and more talk and pressure to open ANWR. We MUST start pressing congress.


19 posted on 03/15/2008 6:16:57 PM PDT by dbacks (Taglines for sale or rent.)
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To: The_Republican
There is an exchange traded fund (ETF) for nuclear energy. Symbol is NLR. I have traded in and out a couple of times for a 10-12% gain in fairly short order. I'm waiting right now for it to come down near $30.50 or so to buy back in, for the pop back up to $33.50-$34.00.
20 posted on 03/15/2008 6:40:01 PM PDT by jsh3180
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