Posted on 02/19/2008 12:44:08 PM PST by gridlock
Also running even with Clinton among core Democrats
PRINCETON, NJ -- The momentum in the Democratic nomination race has clearly swung toward Barack Obama. Not only has he won all of the post-Super Tuesday contests, but he has steadily gained in Gallup Poll Daily tracking to the point where he has overtaken Clinton as the national leader for the first time, holding a statistically significant lead in each of the last three tracking poll results.
(snip)
Obama's standing has improved among most Democratic subgroups over the past several days. But one of the more substantial shifts has been the changing preferences of middle-aged Democratic voters, who have moved away from Clinton and toward Obama in the past week. Obama has also made gains among three other groups that have favored Clinton throughout much of the campaign -- women, Hispanics, and self-identified Democrats. Obama and Clinton are now running even among these three key groups in the most recent Gallup tracking data.
(snip>
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Hillary's has lost the lead in the middle aged age group and her support is eroding with seniors. This is the last bastion of support for Clinton.
The ‘rats are jumping off the SS Clinton, which suffered from the label of being declared “unsinkable” last year. Getting that tag is the kiss of death, as any survivor of the Titanic, Bismarck or Yamato would attest.
Nobody likes to be told they have no choice. Witness all the howling over the presumptive nomination of John McCain by Republicans. Of course, they have a point...
“Obama Gaining Among Middle-Aged, Women, Hippies”
Well, that’s what I thought it read at first glance!
I have to wonder what she’ll say tonight after/if she loses Wisconsin. What’ll she say now?
I think he’s had the hippie vote wrapped up for a couple years now. That’s his base.
She won't say anything. Like she did in El Paso, she will hold a midnight rally somewhere in Ohio touting her "35 years of experience", just as Obama gives his victory speech.
Don’tlook now Hillary, your demographics are leaking!
Hillary: Proles, hispanics, cocktail waitresses, (female) divorcees, LGBTs.
But this was the tracking poll as of two days ago. Check this out:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/104437/Gallup-Daily-Tracking-Election-2008.aspx
Not to mention the Maine or the Lisutania.
Good news for all of us determined to Stop Her Now — but let’s wait and see the results from Wisconsin tonight. If Obama wins the popular vote there (even if he and Hillary more or less split the delegates 50/50), it will add some more momentum for Obama going into Texas, where a recent poll has Obama and Hillary tied.
I’m writing off Ohio as safe for Hillary, since Obama has about a 15-point deficit to overcome. If he cuts that by 2/3 by election day, that will be quite an achievement.
Interesting poll results from Gallup. I attribute Hillary’s comeback among national Democrats to “buyer’s remose” among older Democrats uneasy about Obama and whether he could turn out to be another McGovern this November. Fortunately for those of us determined to Stop Her Now, Obama is attracting great support from independents, so maybe it doesn’t matter so much what only the party rank and file think!
uh, make that “buyer’s remorse.”
If Hillary loses Ohio, she’s finished.
And after Larry Sinclair, he’ll gain among the drug addicts and gays.
"Yoo-hoo! Did someone call us?"
It is indeed interesting, but it could just be statistical noise. We’ll have a better idea after the results come in from Wisconsin.
I think the best possible result would be for the two of them to go neck and neck until the convention, and then have Hillary “muscle” her way into the nomination. A lot of the idealistic but clueless young voters will be turned off and just tune out.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.