Posted on 02/11/2008 2:05:16 PM PST by PlainOleAmerican
Written by JB Williams ©2008 USA
Whether the RNC is trying to destroy the GOP or not, it’s clear that they couldn’t do a better job of destroying it, no matter how hard they try. Making John McCain the RNC nominee is the most certain way to lose the 2008 election. But even if McCain could actually win in November, almost a numerical impossibility by the way, many conservatives have already predicted that even a McCain victory would be the end of the GOP as we know it. What’s the RNC thinking?
Can McCain Win?
While MSM polling data aims to make McCain look like the best the RNC can do, the real numbers say something quite different.
As of this writing, the RNC has completed 30 state primaries. Our “leader” John McCain, has lost 19 of the 30. A little over 16.5 million votes have been cast in Republican primaries so far, only 4.9 million of those for McCain, 30.9%. - with 69.1% of all Republican voters having voted against McCain.
Obama carried his home state of Illinois with 65% of the vote. Clinton carried her adopted home state of New York with 57% of the vote. McCain won his home state too, but with only 47% of the vote, less than half of his constituents. The only states McCain broke above 50% in are liberal stronghold states, Connecticut, New Jersey and New York and in all three cases, both Clinton and Obama defeat him in these states by more than a 2 to 1 margin…
28 states have completed both RNC and DNC primaries thus far. By popular vote, Obama won 14, Clinton 10 and McCain only 4. McCain lost the RNC primary in 3 of those 4 states, averaging only 14% support from Republican primary voters in each. He is at best secure in only 2 of the 4 states, Alaska and Iowa. In the general election, he can indeed lose both Arizona and Nevada.
This is the “winner” RNC heads think they can defeat Democrats with in the fall? How???
The National Popular Vote
All Republicans combined have garnered 16.5 million primary votes in 30 primaries. Democrats Clinton and Obama alone have garnered 17.6 million primary votes in only 28 primaries, 1.1 million more than all Republicans combined. If McCain could unite 100% of Republican voters behind his campaign, and Clinton – Obama only keep their 78% of the Democrat votes, McCain still loses by over 1 million votes… and he can’t unite 100% of Republican voters, no way – no how!
Of more than 22.5 million primary votes cast and counted to date, Clinton has 40% of those votes while Obama has 38% and McCain has but 22%. McCain is not even in striking distance of either Clinton or Obama. Who can McCain invite to share his ticket that will unite GOP voters and deliver the kind of excitement currently found across the political aisle? Only Jesus Christ has such powers… I can think of no other.
If this is the RNC’s idea of choosing a winning candidate, I’d like to see their idea of a losing candidate? Even Bob Dole was a better bet in 1996.
Where can McCain win?
At the moment, it appears that McCain can’t win anywhere but Alaska and Iowa, both of which he lost miserably in the RNC primary, but both of which are SO Republican that even a Republican loser can defeat a Democrat there. He’s not close to winning anywhere else at the moment and unless he finds a way to unite and ignite GOP voters, that’s not likely to change.
How do you elect any candidate with 22% of the popular vote and 30.9% support in his own party? The math simply won’t work.
Clinton – Obama to unite for Proletariat Party Unity
For almost two years now, I have been warning of this eventuality and until Super Tuesday, everyone said I was nuts. Now most political strategists are saying the same thing and here’s why.
Clinton and Obama are in a dead heat right now. Clinton and Obama share 78% of the DNC primary voters, leaving only 22% on the table, most of whom will happily unite behind either candidate by convention time. Clinton currently has 40% of those voters while Obama has 38%.
The two “I’m more socialist than you” candidates are also in a dead heat in the delegate race, Clinton with 1148 and Obama with 1121, both of them flying to North Carolina to negotiate with John Edwards for his 26 delegates. We’re talking a photo finish here for these two.
Obama has won 14 states to Hillary’s 10, but Hillary’s are bigger. If Obama is going to sneak ahead of Clinton to become the DNC nominee, he’s got to do it soon or it will become a numerical impossibility.
A few facts make an Obama nomination plausible, even if unlikely.
• He has no resume, so no BIG negatives like Hillary • He has charisma and momentum – she’s a negative nagging bitch • He has the youth vote for change – she’s crusty old bad news • He’s raising money and she’s out of money
Still, due to a massive well trained Clinton war machine, Hillary remains out front and the woman to beat in this race. Assuming she hangs on until the photo finish and the numbers simply won’t work for Obama to become the clear front-runner, both have a problem that can only be solved by uniting on a single ticket in the general election.
Remember that liberals are nothing if not symbolism over substance. Neither of these two candidates is in any way qualified to become Commander-in-Chief. But that has not had any impact on their voters thus far and it won’t.
That’s because liberals smell an opportunity to make history by putting the first female and first black in the White House in one shot. If you’re a liberal, no matter what this means for the demise of your country, this is a symbolic opportunity you just can’t pass up…
And, if you’re Hillary looking for a sure win in November, you don’t take any chances. You unite 78+% the party in one move by bringing Obama onto your side in the general. Liberals get exactly what they want, two socialists for the price of one and a whole chapter in history that can be written no other way. Republicans are facing the perfect political storm…
If you’re Obama and the numbers just aren’t there, you take a 2nd place finish and run as an incumbent Vice President in four or eight years. He’s young. The ink on his driver’s license isn’t even dry yet… The first black Vice President is HUGE! It makes for great symbolism, even if disastrous for our national future at the same time.
How can McCain compete with that?
Two words – he can’t! If you think he can, check these numbers…
McCain is the worst possible Republican candidate to compete in this election with such historical implications in play. He represents the past, not the future. He’s unpopular with both Democrats and Republicans. There aren’t enough Independents in the world to carry this “Maverick” to victory.
This was either the greatest strategic blunder in the worldwide history of politics, or it was an intentional deathblow to the GOP, delivered at the hands of RNC powerbrokers hell-bent on destroying the conservative party for good. You decide…
Conservatives Golden Parachute
Conservatives have only two bailout options left on the table. Mike Huckabee and the U.S. Senate.
Huckabee is highly unlikely to defeat the MSM golden boy McCain and even if he did, there is little reason to think he would be any better than McCain in the general election or the Oval Office.
So, the Senate is where conservatives must now turn their attention in a BIG way!
Taking back control of the Senate, which must confirm all Supreme Court nominees and pass all legislation, must now become job #1 for all conservatives. The House is not realistically in play, but the closely divided Senate is…
Use the energy and money you were prepared to put into Thompson, Huckabee, Paul, Hunter, Tancredo, Romney, Giuliani or any other Republican, to make certain that a conservative is sitting in your Senate seat after November.
If you can’t put a conservative in your Senate seat this year, take a look at other Senate races where you can help other states pick up a conservative seat in the Senate and put your resources to work there. We’re talking saving a nation here…
Whether Clinton, Obama or McCain sit in the Oval Office for the next four years, who controls the U.S. Senate will be vital to protecting and preserving conservative values and principles for the next ten or twenty years. If conservatives can’t unite around this one, they deserve what they get!
* Real McCain support numbers - http://jb-williams.com/mccain-2008.htm
Well, the article is wrong about IA. It is no Republican stronghold at all. Ask Tom Harkin?
I’ll read it later....but right off the top of my head I’d say
No. But, the RNC is only concerned about keeping politicians in the Swamp. Any politician is okay, ones with R’s next to them give the RNC money.
Well, the article is wrong about IA. It is no Republican stronghold at all. Ask Tom Harkin?
I stopped at the beginning. The premise that the RNC is “making John McCain the nominee” is preposterous. I’m sorry, but in light of a year long campaign, constant changes in front runners, continuing caucuses and primaries across the nation, and the failure of other candidates - this myth of an RNC conspiracy or even ability to pick the nominee approaches the level of a 9/11 denial. Folks, we have watched this process and it wasn’t engineered by any RNC.
The RNC didn’t make McCain the leading nominee, the voters did.
I think many of us have suspected this since before the 2006 mid term elections, when Ken Mehlman was in charge.
The media is to blame for McCain. They have managed to keep the sheeple ignorant, fat and happy.
They pick the schmucks & we've always voted for them because they have an R after their names.
I think they are running into a brick wall this time!!
We're just not playing that game anymore.
Every time I get donation requests from the RNC, I send them a well written short note. Nothing profane, just to the point. They still don’t get it. My guess is since there’s no check in the envelope, they don’t even read the letter. I got another one the other day. I’m sending them a “McCain buck”.
Now I just have to find a picture of one to print out.
I agree with what this person wrote, even to supporting Republican Senators that would be running. Don’t lose sight of that when I tell you that the idea the United States Senate is going to save the conservative’s bacon, goes to show just out screwed we are right now.
The United States Senate is one of the most screwed up bodies in the world as it relates to conservatism. Even when we have majorities there, we get nowhere.
I’ll support the idea, but I do have to view the effort in light of what the Senate always seems to have always been and seems like it will always be.
Then explain how Democrats got little if any support in their primary there?
Excuse me, the party of Whiners is across the street, in the sewer, called DU or something like that. I try not to go there because of the filth.
What is it with all these crybabies? On what planet do they write? It can’t be Earth or the US, it must be some fantasy world where a secret cabal of people determine who is presidential candidate. Because it certainly ignores nine million people who cast their vote and actually /did/ make the selection, as horrid as it be.
But, hey, what am I saying? This is the world of blame. We must blame someone, so we blame the RNC while our neighbors vote for the likes of John McCain.
Word to the author: Get off your rump and go recruit some conservatives to run for office, and some conservatives to help support them into office, and participate.
The GOP is done, and they did it to themselves. If the media helped, the GOP handed them the sword.
The RNC didn’t make McCain the leading nominee, the voters did.
This writer summed it up exactly...McCain is gonna get clobbered
McCain YOUR “front-runner” has LOST 19 of 30 primaries, has only 30.9% “Republican” support in those primaries and only 22% of the national primary votes thus far....
So, HOW did he become the “front-runner” if he wasn’t positioned by the RNC (who is behind him against all conservatives) and the MSM (who is actually for Democrats and have chosen who they will run against by shaping the headlines)?
You can’t be serious! LOL
That's sure true:
the RNC couldn't find their butts with both hands!
What voters? Conervatives? Life-long Republicans? Or RINOs, Democrats who register Republican for primaries but vote Democrat in the generals, or Independent voters?
What voters?
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