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Solar Activity Diminishes; Researchers Predict Another Ice Age
dailytech.com ^ | February 9, 2008 | Michael Asher

Posted on 02/09/2008 12:25:57 PM PST by neverdem

Global Cooling comes back in a big way

Dr. Kenneth Tapping is worried about the sun. Solar activity comes in regular cycles, but the latest one is refusing to start. Sunspots have all but vanished, and activity is suspiciously quiet. The last time this happened was 400 years ago -- and it signaled a solar event known as a "Maunder Minimum," along with the start of what we now call the "Little Ice Age."

Tapping, a solar researcher and project director for Canada's National Research Council, says it may be happening again. Overseeing a giant radio telescope he calls a "stethoscope for the sun," Tapping says, if the pattern doesn't change quickly, the earth is in for some very chilly weather.

During the Little Ice Age, global temperatures dropped sharply. New York Harbor froze hard enough to allow people to walk from Manhattan to Staten Island, and in Britain, people reported sighting eskimos paddling canoes off the coast. Glaciers in Norway grew up to 100 meters a year, destroying farms and villages.

But will it happen again?

In 2005, Russian astronomer Khabibullo Abdusamatov predicted the sun would soon peak, triggering a rapid decline in world temperatures. Only last month, the view was echoed by Dr. Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences. who advised the world to "stock up on fur coats." Sorokhtin, who calls man's contribution to climate change "a drop in the bucket," predicts the solar minimum to occur by the year 2040, with icy weather lasting till 2100 or beyond.

Observational data seems to support the claims -- or doesn't contradict it, at least. According to data from Britain's Met Office, the earth has cooled very slightly since 1998. The Met Office says global warming "will pick up again shortly." Others aren't so sure.

Researcher Dr. Timothy Patterson, director of the Geoscience Center at Carleton University, shares the concern. Patterson is finding "excellent correlations" between solar fluctuations, a relationship that historically, he says doesn't exist between CO2 and past climate changes. According to Patterson. we shouldn't be surprised by a solar link. "The sun [is] the ultimate source of energy on this planet," he says.

Such research dates back to 1991, when the Danish Meteorological Institute released a study showing that world temperatures over the past several centuries correlated very closely with solar cycles. A 2004 study by the Max Planck Institute found a similar correlation, but concluded the timing was only coincidental, as the solar variance seemed too small to explain temperature changes.

However, researchers at DMI continued to work, eventually discovering what they believe to be the link. The key factor isn't changes in solar output, but rather changes in the sun's magnetosphere A stronger field shields the earth more from cosmic rays, which act as "seeds" for cloud formation. The result is less cloud cover, and a warming planet. When the field weakens, clouds increases, reflecting more light back to space, and the earth cools off.

Recently, lead researcher Henrik Svensmark was able to experimentally verify the link between cosmic rays and cloud formation, in a cloud chamber experiment called "SKY" at the Danish National Space Center. CERN plans a similar experiment this year.

A few years ago, Stanford University's Hoover Institution also reported finding a correlation between the sun and climate. Hoover

Even NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Studies -- long the nation's most ardent champion of anthropogenic global warming -- is getting in on the act. Drew Shindell, a researcher at GISS, says there are some "interesting relationships we don't fully understand" between solar activity and climate.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; catastrophism; climatechange; globalwarming; maunderminimum; notmanmade; solar; solaractivity; sunspots; thecomingiceage
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To: Red_Devil 232

flair

flare

filleter (quickly = filayer ~flare)


81 posted on 02/09/2008 2:54:55 PM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain -- Those denying the War was Necessary Do NOT Support the Troops!)
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To: Gene Eric
"It’s obvious the CO2 is escaping through the ozone hole and extinguishing the solar flairs." I think you're on to something here. LOL!!! Temps hit record lows in Alaska today. It must be due to the lack of sunspots, or because I didn't drive my SUV yesterday.
82 posted on 02/09/2008 2:55:27 PM PST by SiVisPacemParaBellum (Peace through superior firepower!)
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To: Gene Eric
It’s obvious the CO2 is escaping through the ozone hole and extinguishing the solar flairs.

That is the only clear answer to what is happening, very insightful, Thanks. :^)

I think you may have spelled it that way on purpose, LOL

83 posted on 02/09/2008 2:55:42 PM PST by eyedigress
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To: neverdem

Don't see any sunspots. Can't remember the last time I went to Spaceweather.com and didn't see any.

84 posted on 02/09/2008 2:55:57 PM PST by dirtboy
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To: neverdem
Global Cooling comes back in a big way

Well of course...and Al "the boob" Gore will take credit because of his efforts and ability to control earth's climate. Now, if we just get him to tackle that pesky continental drift problem.

85 posted on 02/09/2008 2:56:01 PM PST by MosesKnows (Love many, Trust few, and always paddle your own canoe)
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To: neverdem
The Marxists/Anarchists like Gore will find another ploy when this fails.

86 posted on 02/09/2008 2:58:41 PM PST by Uri’el-2012 (you shall know that I, YHvH, your Savior, and your Redeemer, am the Elohim of Ya'aqob. Isaiah 60:16)
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To: Michael Knight
[The Russians] already had communism, so they don't need to lie about global warming to scare the sheeple into embracing socialism. Thats just for us.

I like your theory. That does explain a lot of behavior. The Russians want to get further out from under the crushing burden of communism, while the western leftists want us to become a tyrannical dictatorship and they will use GW to achieve it.

87 posted on 02/09/2008 2:59:54 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Will88

See post 3!


88 posted on 02/09/2008 3:00:27 PM PST by Balding_Eagle (If America falls, darkness will cover the face of the earth for a thousand years.)
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To: neverdem

It is worth remembering as we read this that the Danish Meteorological group is far outside of what most other groups conclude is happening.


89 posted on 02/09/2008 3:00:51 PM PST by gondramB (Preach the Gospel at all times, and when necessary, use words.)
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To: neverdem

We are currently at the bottom of an 11 year solar cycle, so that is no surprise.

However, the depth of this cycle has been a surprise. The sun has been nearly completely clear for many more months than expected. Those who follow this sort of thing noticed this a couple of years ago.

It would be interesting if this were to pan-out, scientifically.


90 posted on 02/09/2008 3:02:59 PM PST by Wiseghy ("You want to break this army? Then break your word to it.")
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To: Tennessee Nana
Country gal time on the front porch

Go ahead. Rub it in. I can take it....

6 more inches coming tonight - I may not get my car loose 'til April - My brother just found it from the last one...


91 posted on 02/09/2008 3:05:51 PM PST by maine-iac7 (",,,but you can't fool all of the people all the time" LINCOLN)
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To: neverdem

So research indicates that climate will change, perhaps in an unpredictable manner. I’d love to see the grant for that study.


92 posted on 02/09/2008 3:05:52 PM PST by redpoll
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To: neverdem

Increase Global Warming or we’re all going to die!!!!!!!!


93 posted on 02/09/2008 3:06:15 PM PST by Gator113 (America just traded away the possibility of a dream, for what is certain to be a nightmare.)
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To: Gator113

The coal-burning fire-place industry may be headed for an up-tick. -


94 posted on 02/09/2008 3:08:25 PM PST by eyedigress
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To: XeniaSt
Like burning his GW deniers at the stake on huge bonfires to keep him and his disciples warm!
95 posted on 02/09/2008 3:09:12 PM PST by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: Myrddin
It's +40 F today. My global warming residue is getting smaller. There is black asphalt visible on the street again (instead of buried under 6 inches of solid ice plus a few inches of snow). I didn't even need a jacket today.

Yeah - well, my post #91 goes for you too!


96 posted on 02/09/2008 3:10:02 PM PST by maine-iac7 (",,,but you can't fool all of the people all the time" LINCOLN)
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To: neverdem

Oh no! How will Al Gore survive! Ah yes! global freezing. .


97 posted on 02/09/2008 3:14:34 PM PST by ronnie raygun (Id rather be hunting with dick than driving with ted)
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To: LiberConservative
I remember as a kid growing up in the 60's reading about the coming ice age in my Weekly Reader. Then we had years of global warming tripe. Now we are looking at another ice age again. IN ONE LIFETIME?????? Nobody knows. Everyone's full of sh*t.

Being that Since 1998 it hasn't warmed or cooled it looks like we entered an even more dangerous period.....

[insert scary music]

GLOBAL CLIMATE STASIS

We must immediately spend billions of tax payers dollars to study and implement massive socialist programs on how to combat GLOBAL CLIMATE STASIS. We only got 20 10 no just 5 years before we reach the no turning back point of GLOBAL CLIMATE STASIS.

98 posted on 02/09/2008 3:16:40 PM PST by qam1 (There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
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To: WildcatClan
Well, until monkeys, Panda Bears or something got around to inventing SUV’s.

It'll be the monkeys and their bananamobiles.

99 posted on 02/09/2008 3:22:29 PM PST by Yardstick
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To: Abathar

Goodness! Ain’t he the Dick for Dolly ... or maybe not.


100 posted on 02/09/2008 3:25:22 PM PST by RobinOfKingston (Man, that's stupid ... even by congressional standards.)
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