I just hope it means a quiet 2008 hurricane season.
Well, I didn’t really move north in the hope that tropical temps and accompanying increased property values would soon follow...
Indeed, everything is occurring in a manner I have predicted for a few years now, based on a personal theory of a 34-year (+/-1) cycle. If I’m right, we have been in a cooling trend since about 1995 which will bottom out with the winter of 2012-13 (if you remember 1978-79, you know what I’m talking about, and it’s Not Scottish).
By 2015 I would expect to see the “next Ice Age” scare stories begin to reappear. Too late, however, as we will already be on the next upward slope.
prisoner6
Weather happens. It’s been happening a lot this winter and I’m sick of it.
Oh Boo Hoo, Oh Boo Hoo Hoo!!!!!!!!
“What are the implications for experiencing an extended La Niña during a low sunspot solar cycle period ? “
Generally La Nina’s occur during low sunspot part of the cycle....see the charts and graph below
Changes to the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)[blue numbers = la nina]
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml
Sunspot cycle
http://www.icsu-fags.org/ps11sidc.htm
NASA iad in the beginning of January Cycle 24 had started...of course they also said that in August 2006! So far alsomost nothing happening... http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Last January, the NOAA predicted just a 1% chance of a La Nina developing and they predicted that El Nino conditions would continue. A measly 1%.
10 days later, the El Nino pattern flipped off and we went straight into a La Nina pattern. Global temperatures started declining on January 15th, 2007 and have declined by 0.6C over the past year.
The NOAA cannot forecast the ENSO. Nobody seems to able to.
Good job. Thanks.
See how easy it is to explain it?
Mat 16:2
He answered and said unto them, When it is evening, ye say, [It will be] fair weather: for the sky is red.
Mat 16:3
And in the morning, [It will be] foul weather to day: for the sky is red and lowring. O [ye] hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky; but can ye not [discern] the signs of the times?
bump,,for later read
It has been a very tough Winter here in the West. Snoqualmie Pass has a 157” base of snow this morning. Normal is 71”. The story below says 10 feet, which is a major understament. Some areas has 20 feet with 30 foot drifts.
Record Cascade snow could mean extreme spring avalanche danger
MOUNT PILCHUCK, Wash. Experts are warning that record snowfall this season has built up the potential for huge spring avalanches with the power to cause extensive damage to mountain hillsides, roads and bridges.
Nearly 10 feet of winter snow has accumulated already in parts of the Cascades, including near Stevens Pass. If a massive slab of snow were to break off and conditions are in place for this type of avalanche to occur it could ravage the landscape, destroying timber stands, homes, roads and whatever else is in the avalanche’s path.
“There’s the potential for something really big,” said Mark Moore, director of the Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center.
This winter already is the worst avalanche season in Washington in modern history. Since December, three Snohomish County residents are among the nine people from Washington who have died in avalanches.
Now, officials fear the death toll could rise and the potential for other damage from rushing walls of snow is high.
http://www.usatoday.com/weather/news/2008-01-22-cascade-avalanche_N.htm
I thought we had La nina last summer. Here in RI it was one of the worst summers I remember. Sprinkled only twice, and every damned day was 85 and sunny. Disgusting.
If I wanted to live in hell I’d move to California.