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2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/4/2008
InTrade ^ | Monday, February 4, 2008 | Momaw Nadon

Posted on 02/04/2008 10:45:28 AM PST by Momaw Nadon



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008election; election; electionpresident; elections; electoral; electoralvotes; intrade; presidential; projected; votes
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To: proudpapa

A few states to watch:

MI, OH, MO, NH - could all wind up in the (R) column depnding on who the nominee is.


21 posted on 02/04/2008 11:54:23 AM PST by teddyballgame (red man in a blue state)
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To: Azzurri
A Romney candidacy gets Michigan and maybe Massachusetts?

No way. There's a reason Romney is a one-term governor who didn't dare run for re-election.

22 posted on 02/04/2008 11:59:12 AM PST by SpringheelJack
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To: proudpapa
Are you sure you want to go that far out on a limb?

Yeah, why not, I like to live life on the edge.

BTW, I'll give you 2:1 odds that the Giants beat the Pats - I'll even give you 2 points.

23 posted on 02/04/2008 12:04:18 PM PST by Ancesthntr (An ex-citizen of the Frederation trying to stop Monica's Ex-Boyfriend's Wife from becoming President)
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To: proudpapa
Jim Talent would probably be the better choice. Loss to McCaskill aside, he's also young and a proven conservative. And he might make a difference in Missouri and Iowa.

If Pawlenty is all that popular he'd be better used trying to help Coleman save his senate seat.

24 posted on 02/04/2008 12:12:52 PM PST by Non-Sequitur (Save Fredericksburg. Support CVBT.)
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To: Azzurri
A Romney candidacy gets Michigan and maybe Massachusetts?

He likely loses North Carolina, Virginia, Tennessee, and Arkansas. He would be lucky to lose only those states in the South once the commercials start with his 2002-2005 stances in his own words start to play.

25 posted on 02/04/2008 12:14:55 PM PST by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: Momaw Nadon

I think this map drifts toward blue if McCain is the GOP nominee.


26 posted on 02/04/2008 12:16:49 PM PST by Drago
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To: Ancesthntr

Ditto

(And ditto on the tagline!)


27 posted on 02/04/2008 12:19:57 PM PST by bpjam (I'll crawl over broken glass to vote against McCain (or the Huck))
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To: Ingtar

Your both wrong:

The dems will not win in the south an Mitt will not win Massachusetts.

He might make Michigan competitive.

Well have a much better idea after tomorrow.


28 posted on 02/04/2008 12:27:38 PM PST by proudpapa (May God Bless Our Troops.)
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To: Ingtar

Your both wrong:

The dems will not win in the south an Mitt will not win Massachusetts.

He might make Michigan competitive.

Well have a much better idea after tomorrow.


29 posted on 02/04/2008 12:29:04 PM PST by proudpapa (May God Bless Our Troops.)
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To: Momaw Nadon

Republican Presidential Nomination
Republican Delegate Count

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample McCain Romney Huckabee Paul Spread
RCP Average 01/30 - 02/03 - 42.8 24.5 17.9 6.0 McCain +18.3
CNN 02/01 - 02/03 412 RV 44 29 18 6 McCain +15.0
Cook/RT Strategies 01/31 - 02/02 308 RV 39 24 18 6 McCain +15.0
Pew Research 01/30 - 02/02 513 RV 42 22 20 5 McCain +20.0
USA Today/Gallup 01/30 - 02/02 867 LV 42 24 18 5 McCain +18.0
CBS News 01/30 - 02/02 325 LV 46 23 12 9 McCain +23.0
ABC/Wash Post 01/30 - 02/01 LV 48 24 16 7 McCain +24.0
FOX News 01/30 - 01/31 297 RV 48 20 19 5 McCain +28.0
Rasmussen (Mon) 4 Day Tracking 800 LV 33 30 22 5 McCain +3.0

Intrade Political ‘Securities’ Percentage US$ Traded

John McCain to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 87.2% $2.3M
Mitt Romney to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 9.1% $1.6M
Mike Huckabee to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 1.0% $1.6M
Ron Paul to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 1.0% $1.1M


30 posted on 02/04/2008 12:30:43 PM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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To: OPS4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-192.html#market


31 posted on 02/04/2008 12:31:11 PM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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To: proudpapa

The Dims won in the South 12 years ago with an unpopular Clinton on the ticket due to the choice of Republican candidate. 2008 looks to be a repeat of that experience.


32 posted on 02/04/2008 12:31:53 PM PST by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: teddyballgame

WI and PA are also in the mix.


33 posted on 02/04/2008 12:34:36 PM PST by kabar
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To: Momaw Nadon
Fantasy politics
34 posted on 02/04/2008 12:45:33 PM PST by wolfcreek (The Status Quo Sucks!)
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To: Ingtar

In a three way race. The dems will win.

The question is where will the Ron Paul supporters go after tuesday when he calls it quits?


35 posted on 02/04/2008 12:57:20 PM PST by proudpapa (May God Bless Our Troops.)
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To: Ancesthntr

“I’m just shocked that there’s a 3.7% chance the Republican wins Washington DC. I thought that would be zero.”

“”Well, no, it couldn’t be zero...she could be caught red-handed on film buying cocaine and that would...

Oh, nevermind! “”

WAY too funny!! Mostly because it’s true.

Only Republican candidates get held accountable for their actions. Dems just “apologize” and then demand you immediately forgive them.


36 posted on 02/04/2008 1:06:31 PM PST by CCGuy (USAF (Ret.))
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To: Momaw Nadon

Colorado and Missouri are winnable.
Then The GOP needs to add either Ohio, or Michigan, or Minnesota+Iowa to make an electoral vote majority.
Michigan should be in play if native son Mitt Romney heads the ticket.


37 posted on 02/04/2008 2:24:34 PM PST by devere
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To: Non-Sequitur; All

http://youdecide08.foxnews.com/2008/02/05/minnesota-gov-pawlenty-going-to-germany-with-mccain/

McCain-Pawlenty in ‘08.

You heard it here first.

I’m less than thrilled with this ticket. But it’s slightly better than what the dems are offering.


38 posted on 02/05/2008 5:42:18 PM PST by proudpapa (May God Bless Our Troops.)
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