Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research Poll: McCain +8 in Tennessee

Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research ^ | 1-31-08 | Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research

[GraniteStateConservative]

Candidate	Total	Age 18-29	Age 30-44	Age 45-64	Age 65+	White	Black	Other	GOP	Dem	Ind
McCain	33.0	29.8	26.8	29.4	46.4	32.0	50.0	61.6	35.7	34.3	13.3
Huckabee	25.0	40.4	17.7	28.9	20.2	24.1	50.0	5.3	24.2	10.6	33.0
Romney	18.0	14.3	11.6	22.1	20.2	18.5	.0	.0	17.3	17.1	20.3

13% Undecided. 11% Ron Paul + Other.

[GraniteStateConservative]

I noticed on my last thread you have a ping list on McCain, so here’s your FYI.

[DannyTN]

I hate to see McCain go above Huckaby, but I sure am glad to see Romney take a beating. I hope Super Tuesday is enough to convince Romney he can’t win outside of the liberal northeast.

[Resolute Conservative]

I hate to see any of them do well and lend credence to their RINO ways.

None of them should win in a area of conservatives.

[businessprofessor]

I suppose you are elated that Juan McAmnesty will be nominee. The Huckster should drop out. However, I understand that many Huckster supporters would board the McAmnesty navy. This election cycle will be dreadful. I cannot imagine the rats even contemplating someone who works against the base of the party.

[DannyTN]

Romney is the one that should drop out. Huckster is going to beat Romney soundly on Super Tuesday.

[gitmogrunt]

"None of them should win in a area of conservatives.

I agree, and include the preachy fella named Huckabee.

[Resolute Conservative]

And you think that is a good thing?

[DannyTN]

"And you think that is a good thing?"

Romney losing is a very good thing.

[CPT Clay]

Just Damn!

[Norman Bates]

The McCain List.

This is a Super Tuesday state (Feb. 5th).

[Norman Bates]

Thank you, FRiend. I appreciate the heads up.

[whatisthetruth]

I hate to see McCain go above Romney, but I sure am glad to see Huckabee take a beating. I hope Super Tuesday is enough to convince him he can’t win outside of the State of Arkansas.

[meandog]

Any other super tuesday state polling...how’s Mac doing in the South, West against Mittwitt and Huck?

[Recovering_Democrat]

We are really getting set for a Democrat administration. Even if McLame is in the Oval Office, we'll have Democrats in charge. Just like in California. Don't complain about tax hikes, encouraged infanticide, and the coming Terrorists Bill of Rights. Because that is what we'll get: with McCain or Hitlery or Hussein in the White House.

[Lib-Lickers 2]

amen

[DannyTN]

We’d get the same with Romney too. Huckabee is our only hope.

[Fishrrman]

In poll after poll after poll, we don’t often see Romney pull more than 15-20%.

The fact is that - nationally - Romney is a loser.

- John
(who may even VOTE FOR Romney on primary day, just as a vote against McCain)

[GraniteStateConservative]

The big problem for Mitt is that he can’t seem to get any support in the South, the foundation for all presidential campaigns for the GOP.

[Norman Bates]

I’m about to post a NJ poll with McCain having a significant lead. For the South, the polls I’ve already pinged show him leading in Tennessee (this one), Alabama, and Georgia. Arkansas will go to Huck, but McCain will likely come in second there and get a few delegates. Massachusetts will go to Romney, McCain in second. Romney will win Utah, winner take all (although the governor backs Mac).

Mac’s leading in Illinois, Oklahoma, Minnesota, and of course in Arizona, NY, and Connecticut (the last three are winner take all). Some poll shows him ahead in Missouri, which would be a coup because it is WTA and Romney has the support of the governor and ex-Senator Talent. I’d imagine Mac’s leading in Delaware (WTA) but I have no polling to confirm that. Romney was up in Colorado by 19 in a pre-Florida poll, a non-WTA state. That may tighten some and Mac can grab some delegates there.

Alaska, N.Dakota, and Montana are anyone’s guess. If I had to go with my gut I’d say McCain wins W.Va. but I have no current polling to back that up.

All in all, I think we will be in fine shape on Tuesday.

After that it’s more states that are favorable to McCain: Louisiana, Washington, and Kansas on the 9th (I think he’ll win first two but maybe all three). Then our primary day, Maryland, DC, and Virginia (Va. is WTA) on the 12th (my bet is McCain will sweep). Then Wisconsin on the 19th, again I’d bet McCain will win. Then March 4th is another likely favorable day: Vermont (WTA), Rhode Island, Ohio, and Texas. Mississippi is on March 10th and Romney has not caught on in the South - another win. I think it’s moot by then however. John may likely be the undisputed nominee on this next Wednesday morning if he does well enough.