That being said, most national elections over the past 10-12 years, and many state elections, have been decided by only 1-3%. So, this vote appears to fall right into that mold.
Of course, the liberals and “independents” who voted for McCain to steal the GOP nomination today can’t vote for him and Obama/Hillary in November. They’ll go back to voting democrat for that election.
Isn’t the NYT holding a scandal story of McCain?
My response:
If they are, they will hold onto it as a safeguard. If McLame wins the nomination, you can count on the media turning on him in a heartbeat, led by the NYSlimes. Endorsement or no endorsement, if it comes down to McLame vs. Hitlery or McLame vs Saint Barack, you can bet they will use every liberal tactic to destroy McLame.
I posted this in another thread, but it's worth repeating, McCain is bound to lose 1-3% of the Republican vote (and I think I'm being conservative here) from the conservative base that refuses to vote for him. I know that he thinks we're all lunatics and that he can win without us, but considering that the elections have been within the 1-3% differential you mentioned, McCain would be toast.
If either Hillary or Obama get the nod, they will have the liberal base locked up and will only have to fight for the mushy independent vote--which pretty much splits 50%-50% between the parties. In McCain's case, he has to win over BOTH the independents and the conservative base. He loses the election right there.