I posted this in another thread, but it's worth repeating, McCain is bound to lose 1-3% of the Republican vote (and I think I'm being conservative here) from the conservative base that refuses to vote for him. I know that he thinks we're all lunatics and that he can win without us, but considering that the elections have been within the 1-3% differential you mentioned, McCain would be toast.
If either Hillary or Obama get the nod, they will have the liberal base locked up and will only have to fight for the mushy independent vote--which pretty much splits 50%-50% between the parties. In McCain's case, he has to win over BOTH the independents and the conservative base. He loses the election right there.
McCain is feeling very well this evening. I often wondered what sleazy politicians did for recreation.
McCain according to Dick Morris, has the best chance to beat the democratic candidate.
McCain’s buddies are democrats not republicans.
CONSERVATISM, SO LONG FOR FOUR YEARS
Your analysis is dead on!
My feeling is that the Huckster has been in this game for the VP slot. He know’s he’s splitting the social conservatives and taking votes from Romney which give McAmnesty the edge. Huck’s dream is the bottom of the ticket. (McCain/Huckabee) But is Rudy doing the same by endorsing McAmnesty? A fight for the VP slot.
I was a “Fred-Head” but I’ve switched to Romney because he’s the most conservative left in the race. He’s also NOT a DC insider which gives him an edge over Mrs. Bill Clinton and B. Hussein Obama.
Hopefully the Rudy voters will turn out to be fiscal conservatives (the only “conservatives” Rudy was getting) and swing toward Romney in spite of the endorsement.
As I’ve posted before, I will NOT vote for McCain under pretty much ANY circumstance. (Maybe if Hunter or Thompson is the VP....McCain had cancer and is pretty old. He may not serve his full term.)
Thanks for the good insight!