I get that all the time from FReepers when the results are not to their liking. But the fact is that the polls have good predictive value. Not perfect, but a hell of a lot better than individual instincts.
A lot of it is name recognition
Sometimes, but the fact remains that Mitt has plenty of name recognition. Look how well he was known in NH, much of which gets Boston TV. Yet he did not do well there.
alot of it is the pollsters wanting to shape opinion, not just reflect it.
If that were the case, the polls would not correspond to each other so well. All the pollsters would not want to shape opinion the same way. Some have R clients, some D clients and personal agendas differ too.
I agree that Mitt is extremely smart and scandal-free, and I really like Ann. But I don't want him as the nominee because I find his sudden conservatism phony and have no confidence that he can win.
If he is nominated, I will support him. I will support the GOP nominee, whoever he is.
“May I be the first to call you President Kerry”
So much for the accuracy of polls.
Pray for W and Our Troops
I have limited confidence in these polls regardless whether I am inclined to like or not like what they are saying.