Posted on 01/22/2008 7:34:09 PM PST by Rumierules
POLL: ARG Florida Primary
A new American Research Group Florida survey (conducted 1/20 through 1/21) finds:
29 McCain 22 Romney 17 Huckabee 16 Giuliani 6 Thompson 6 Paul 1 Keyes 3 Undecided
(Excerpt) Read more at pollster.com ...
Come on people, when will you learn that ARG is at the bottom of the reliability scale for polling?
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Does anyone have a snapshot of the various polls on the day of the respective primaries? (Iowa, NH, Michigan, South Carolina, and Nevada).
Who knows, maybe Giuliani will send Pat Robertson down to FL to convince Huckabee voters to move to Rudy.
Well, atleast Giuliani is tanking. That’s a silver-lining.
ARG was correct about Iowa and NH. ARG was wrong about MI and SC. However, ARG’s tracking polls did show Huckabee gaining ground in SC and Mitt Romney gaining ground in MI. So use ARG as a method to detect trends.
I don’t see any reasonably large state on Super Tuesday that is more favorable for Romney than Florida. So, Romney better win Florida. Otherwise, he will just be hoping to finish second almost everywhere and to prevent McCain from grabbing enough delegates to win it outright.
This same polling group was way off in South Carolina.
Romney, He’s an Eight Year Man (‘Henry the Eighth I Am’ by Herman’s Hermits)
Rom-eny, he’s an eight year man… Eight year man says Coulter’s clan…
He’s goanna run for a second term more, Al gore’s hopin’ he’ll be gone in four...
And everyone is for Rom-eny… Never wanted Giuli or McCain…
They’re all waitin’ savior Rom-eny… Rom-eny he owns the reign!
Second verse, only gets worse!
Rom-eny, has an ‘eight year plan’… Four years more will he demand!
We’re gonna vote ‘em for a second term more, unless he gets us into war…
Then we’ll go down with ol’ Rom-eny… every GOP’r will be done…
They’ll be hatin’ us for eternity… “Rom-eny n Bush are one!”
McCain and Hillary are so much alike they could be running mates.
Alan Keyes is still in the race?? With a percentage??
"POLL: AAAAAARRRRRGGGHHHH!!!!!! Florida Primary (McCain leads by 7)"
One can hope.
It looks like ARG has been booted from the RCP Average .
Well said.
A choice in the general election between McCain and Hillary is like a choice between eating dog crap and cat crap...
Some folks had already voted before he pulled out.
I wonder if Rudi’s going to be the next to drop out. I have been very surprised by his strategy of putting all of his efforts into Florida. (But Fred was the candidate who was ‘lazy’.)
When I walked from my apt. to the park here where I live I used to see a few Rudy 2008 signs, but they’ve all been taken down.
The good news here is that ARG polls are notoriously crappy.
OTOH, if Rudy fades too much it will probably help McCain.
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