Posted on 01/20/2008 9:56:56 AM PST by Checkers
That's the RCP Delegate Count:
Romney 59
Huckabee 38
McCain 32
Thompson 5
Giuliani 1
CNN has Romney with 66, Huckabee 38, and McCain 26, but you get the picture.
In terms of total votes cast in primaries and caucuses to date (excluding Wyoming, for which I don't have a total):
Romney 530,162
McCain 510,132
Huckabee 339,824
Thompson 103,553
Giuliani 59,312
Romney has a decisive lead among Republican votes cast to date as McCain's numbers reflect the large majority of Independents' votes he rolled up in New Hampshire, Michigan and South Carolina.
Florida is open only to Republicans and voting has been underway for weeks. It is a dead heat between Romney, McCain, Huckabee and Giuliani. Voters in Florida are in for the most interesting 10 day campaign in recent political history. It is an elimination round in which at least one and possibly two of the would-be nominees will be sent to the sidelines. There is no front-runner, and there is no "momentum" though Romney has three state wins, McCain two and Huck one. What is said and done by the candidates over the next few days will decide Florida and nothing else. Even as they focus on this confused picture, the issues dominating the debate are changing rapidly to elevate the economy over immigration and the war. That has to favor Romney, and McCain is still burdened by the antipathy of many Reagan conservatives.
If the Florida electorate reflects the general opinion of Republicans who have voted thus far, Romney will win in the Sunshine State.
The GOP is at a crossroads, and because it is, so is the country. In ten days, Florida Republicans will have a huge say in setting its course for the next decade, and Florida's Reagan Republicans the
(Excerpt) Read more at hughhewitt.townhall.com ...
I'm beginning to think that Mitt is the only candidate (including the Dems and dropouts) that is going to be able to tackle the economic issue, and he has the real world resume to back that up.
The real question becomes is the economic issue going to get bad enough to move to high priority on people's voting lists.
Thanks Checkers for the information as to where we currently stand.
I will support Romney in the Colorado caucas. I was a strong Thompson supporter but it looks like the end of the road for him. McCain has little support among Republicans. He will not win any closed primaries.
hillary MUST be denied the WH for the sake of our country.
My sentiments exactly. It would be difficult for me to vote for McCain, but I'll do anything to keep that Clinton-monster out of the White House.
I'm disappointed that Thompson and Hunter didn't generate more enthusiasm, but I'll go with what there is.
Likely the lesser of two evils.
Again.
McCain(1st), Huckabee(2nd), Romney (4th), and Giuliani(6th), but not a damn word about Fred Thompson(3rd).
Same with FOX. Right now Rooty has been on live for about 11 minutes. This morning CNN had Rooty on live for about 30 minutes. I have been sitting here at work watching the FOX and CNN monitors and today, ALL DAY, there has been less than 3 minutes TOTAL for Fred Thompson on the two COMBINED.
Tell you the truth I have royally had it with the media, my observations of it here clearly indicate that there is an agenda to blackout Fred and Promote the liberal RINO's
BTW, all the time I have been typing this, CNN STILL has Julie-Annie on live in FL. It has been about 18 minutes now.
If this nation sinks because of a thinly-veiled communist Presidency we can look squarely to the liberal DBM.
McCain is polling well in Florida despite its closed primary. The polls were pretty accurate in South Carolina.
I wish your prediction were true.
His past personal life has problems and would likely be used against him by the Clinton slime machine.
He'll probably win the split Florida winner take all primary with 25 % or so, and then do well on super tuesday
Its flukey, but this heretic is the odds on favorite to win the nomination
THAT IS WHAT IS CRAZY, PEOPLE, IT IS PLUMB NUTS!
There is a lot of guesswork with this stuff. They are projecting 3 delegates for Fred Thompson, from Nevada, based on the percentage of support he got yesterday, in the straw poll, at the caucuses. What really counts is delegates going to the county conventions, who will elect delegates to the state convention, who will elect delegates to the national convention, and nobody knows who these county delegates support, at this point. Though most of them, doubtless, support Romney.
I am a delegate to my county convention, and will support Fred, if he is still running when we have our county convention.
A deadlocked convention presents all kinds of interesting possibilities.
Getting the Republican nominee late, could actually be an advantage in the general election. Whoever we nominate will be a target for all of the dirt that the MSM and Democrats can find or fake, but they will have to spread their efforts considerably, if they don't know who they have to hit until two months before the election.
Good post.
I agree with your analysis.
If Fred is still running in my state I will vote for him. If he’s dropped out, it will be Mitt.
If nobody is pulling out now, I fear nobodt will pull out after Florida either. I fear nobody will EVER pull out.
Probably after Romney is elected President, because then there won’t be a reason for Hugh to write them any more.
He’s from Michigan.
I don't know if I'd be comfortable with a Mormon president.
We will nominate a conservative, and we will WIN in November.
I’ll give you a week to get over the pain of the past few days, but then we are going to drop the negative stuff, and put the plan into action to win the White House.
Two or Three Supreme Court justices lie in the balance. We will NOT lay down and cry simply because the first choice of the movement can’t win the votes.
IO WY NH MI NV SC Ave Romney 2 1 2 1 1 4 1.83 McCain 4 6 1 2 3 1 2.83 Huck 1 5 3 3 4 2 3.00 Fred 3 2 6 5 5 3 4.00 Paul 5 7 5 4 2 5 4.67 Rudy 6 4 4 6 6 6 5.33
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