The only problem with the RCP average is that they do not take into consideration last minute leanings or surges. It is clear that Fred has some momentum. Don’t know how much, but it is there. My read is that there were still lots of people who had not fully made up their minds. I am confident that he will do well enough to “buy a ticket” to FL and beyond, but only time will tell.
South Carolina | ||
Republicans | Jan 15-16 | Jan 17-18 |
Giuliani | 4% | 3% |
Huckabee | 23% | 33% |
Hunter | 1% | 1% |
Keyes | 2% | 1% |
McCain | 33% | 26% |
Paul | 1% | 2% |
Romney | 20% | 9% |
Thompson | 13% | 21% |
Undecided | 3% | 4% |
That would be about 41% of the Republican voters in SC, according to a story I read this morning. That's a LOT of wiggle room for the polls.