Posted on 01/07/2008 3:29:17 PM PST by Richard Poe
| by Richard Lawrence Poe Monday, January 7, 2008 |
Permanent Link Past Columns |
FORGET IOWA. Forget New Hampshire. Forget the Democratic primaries altogether. The fix is in for Hillary Clinton. When Democrats convene this August in Denver, they will nominate Hillary as their candidate for President of the United States.
The day after Hillary’s loss in Iowa last Thursday, her campaign chief Terry McAuliffe told reporters, “Listen, Hillary is going to be the nominee. There’s no question.”
McAuliffe was not indulging in wishful thinking. He was stating a fact. He knows things the rest of us do not.
One thing McAuliffe knows is that Hillary controls a decisive majority of the Democratic Party superdelegates. The superdelegates control 42 percent of the votes needed to nominate Hillary. They may vote for whomever they wish, for any reason, and may change their minds at will. In August, they will nominate Hillary.
Democrats started the superdelegate system in 1984, to give party leaders tighter control over the nominating process.
This was partly in response to the catastrophic defeat of George McGovern, the radical, anti-war demagogue who, in 1972, lost every state in the union except Massachusetts to Richard Nixon.
To prevent such maverick candidates from winning the nomination in future, party leaders rigged the system. State delegates were no longer permitted to nominate presidential candidates on their own. Henceforth party-approved superdelegates would also cast votes.
Superdelegates are party stalwarts, Democrat officials whose loyalties favor party over state. Their number varies from one election to the next. Currently there are 852 superdelegates, including 29 state governors, 232 congressmen, 49 senators, two “shadow” or non-voting senators from the District of Columbia, and 540 Democratic Party leaders and officials of various sorts.
At this year’s Democratic Convention, 4,049 delegates will vote. Hillary must get 2,025 votes to win the nomination. This is the so-called "magic number". The 852 superdelegates total 42 percent of the magic number. In a close race, their votes could prove decisive.
At this writing, CNN reports that 257 superdelegates have already pledged their votes: of them, 154 (60 percent) have pledged for Hillary; 50 (19 percent) for Barack Obama; and 33 (13 percent) for John Edwards.
Should Hillary falter in the primaries, the superdelegates will likely come to her rescue and nominate her anyway.
The Web site 2008 Democratic Convention Watch offers updated lists of superdelegates who have and have not pledged their votes.
Of course, Hillary cannot win from superdelegate votes alone. She must get a sizeable number of state delegates as well. This presents no problem for Hillary. Her political machine is deeply entrenched in America’s urban centers. These crowded cities can overwhelm rural voters, bringing entire states into Hillary’s camp, with large numbers of delegates.
The decisive date will be February 5, dubbed Super Duper Tuesday by political pundits. Twenty-four states will hold their primaries that day.
"These states include some of our largest and most delegate-rich states, such as California, New York, Illinois, Georgia, New Jersey and others," notes Steven Hill, political reform director for the leftwing New America Foundation. "Together these two dozen states hold enough delegates to nearly decide the presidential nomination all by themselves."
Hillary is counting on that. As Steven Hill explains, "Having a single primary day with so many states... gives great advantage to those candidates with the most campaign cash and name recognition... It creates a virtual wealth primary in which new presidential faces will be quickly eliminated."
In any contest of wealth, Hillary has the advantage. Her blue-chip backers include the likes of Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild, wife of Sir Evelyn de Rothschild of the famed Rothschild banking dynasty.
“I'm always doing everything I possibly can for Hillary Clinton…”, Her Ladyship told Portfolio magazine. “I have been waiting for this since Bill Clinton left office, frankly.”
Married November 30, 2000, Lady de Rothschild spent her wedding night in the Clinton White House.
OpenSecrets.org reports that Hillary has raised $90.9 million, only slightly higher than Obama’s $80.3 million.
However, most of Hillary’s money is off the books. No one knows how many millions Hillary has laundered through George Soros’ “Shadow Party”, a network of Democrat front groups masquerading as non-partisan charities. These include Fund for America, the Democracy Alliance, America Votes and Media Matters for America, among others.
Republicans need to stop gloating over Hillary's every misstep and see the big picture. Hillary has the money, the machine, and the support of global financial elites. Unless we can muster a counterforce of similar strength, Hillary will win the nomination and the presidency.
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Richard Lawrence Poe is a contributing editor to Newsmax, an award-winning journalist and a New York Times bestselling author. His latest book is The Shadow Party: How George Soros, Hillary Clinton and Sixties Radicals Siezed Control of the Democratic Party, co-written with David Horowitz. |
BUMP
As is much of the current Executive Branch of the U.S. government.
If Hillary hasn’t narrowed the gap by the day after Super Duper Tuesday, there is no one who can save her, no party delegate scheme. No one likes the Clintons. They tolerate them. You give the Democrat operatives a chance to have good reason to shun her, and they will seize it. Your idea of Hillary stealing the nomination would be just fine as far as reasons go. The Clintons would be persona non grata.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
“Spade work”.
The “cry”.
The forthcoming attack ads.
This is a well thought-out, multi-faceted, strategic assault.
I heard Rush give a clip on Andrea Mitchell saying that Hillary had “packed the crowd” in both Iowa and NH. Someone said, “go check the parking lot - the plates are from Massachusetts” and then in NH alot of people were from New York. Everything this witch does is planned! Democrats have NO IDEA how screwed they are with the Clintons...
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Democratic civil war meltdown.
Mrs Greenspan also described the pall surrounding the clintbilly, oops, clinton loss in Iowa.
Clinton arranges a hit on Obama, blames white supremacists, and stirs the black vote to "retaliate."
Easy stuff really.
I dont see Hillary getting her arse handed to her state after state and then waiting until the end in hopes that she gets the nomination in Denver. Just dont see that happening at all.
If Obama win's the primaries decisively and loses the nomination then Hillary would be doomed in Novemeber.
The dems don't want that.
BUMP
McQueeg has the same advantage in the Pubbie race, although I understand there less total Republican superdelegates. Is that true?
A coronation of Hillary after she lost the primaries to Obama would GUARANTEE a Republican win in November! We can only pray for such an outcome at the RATS convention!
Like the Democrat Party of today isn't some weird unrecognizable party? I'm definitely on board with the agonizing death part, though.
The Clinton’s have always done this. But the DBM is blowing the whistle on Hillary which they never did to Bill.
As someone famously once said, “Bill Clinton drives through the car wash with the top down and everyone else gets wet.”
Well, if it is the latter, then she’ll be one hearbeat from the Presidency if they’re elected. I wouldn’t want to be the President in that case.
The only thing standing in Obummers way is a scandal on the campaign trail, in which he is caught in flagrante delecto with a blond, buxom California Cheer Leader, in South Carolina, just before the primary vote there.
Buh-bye Oprah endorsement. Oprah has a way of flip flopping BTW, and turning against her so called champions.
One wonders what skull-duggery is being machined within the Clinton Camp.
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