Posted on 01/06/2008 9:11:44 AM PST by Rudder
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire shows Barack Obama earning 39% of the vote while Hillary Clinton attracts 27%. The survey was conducted on Friday night and Saturday afternoon. All interviews were conducted after the Iowa caucuses and before last nights debate.
Obama is seen as the most electable Democratic candidate. Eighty-seven percent (87%) believe he would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Clinton and 75% think Edwards would have a chance. Fifty-one percent (51%) of the Likely Democratic Primary Voters believe Obama would be Very Likely to win. Just 38% have such confidence in Clinton.
Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Barack Obama is currently favored to win in New Hampshire. Current prices imply that Obama has a 79.3 % chance of winning while Clinton has a 22.5 % chance. Numbers in this paragraph reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll. RasmussenMarkets.com is a futures market that harnesses competitive passions to becomes a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the markets correctly projected both Obama and Huckabee as the winners in Iowa.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Yeah, but: they are running out of options, her base (party regulars/centrists) has been going over to Obama and while the momentum is rapidly growing, it's bi-directional---forward for him and backward for her.
Her supporters are like the groom who takes his new bride out to a dinner club and discovers the whole band knows her name.
I think you're right.
But on the other hand, unless they're indited, I would expect Hill'n Bill to undermine his campaign. She's not going to want to risk a possible eight years of a Dim in the White house.
Worst case scenario: he's elected. How much clout will he have up there?
Yes, he's charismatic alright, but he's got obstacles. I think it all hinges on how things go in Iraq.
Do the Clintons have something on CNN? We know the network caved for Saddam Hussein.
She sure hasn’t done anything for Upstate New York except funnel money to the Dem “monopoly” in the disgusting City of Rochester?
Then the Hill lights up the Gilford, NH Meeting with her charm and energy!
If that happens, he will go on to do the same thing down in South Carolina, which has a large black population that - until a few days ago - may have been uncertain as to whether to vote for Obama (the vote in their hearts) or to vote for Hillary (which the NAACP "plantation" has been pushing on them).
If Obama can score decisive victories against Clinton in both New Hampshire and South Carolina, that is going to shake up even the big "northern" states that [up until Iowa] were considered her strongest territory.
But those big northern states have large black voting cohorts, too - who will be eager to stampede towards Obama.
Granted, Obama looks dangerous in the general election, but I will be happy to see the Clintons finished off once and for all as a force in American politics. And I don't care how that's done.
- John
Michigan also has a large African-American population. And a fairly sizable college population. Barack Hussein Obama has a shot in Michigan.
I feel the same way. I don't want to take a chance on having her win the nomination on the assumption that the Republicans will then defeat her in the general election. Too many things could go wrong, and the Klintons will still have a lot of dirty tricks up their sleeve. The sooner she is defeated, the better. If she were to be the nominee, and lose in the general election, she would be well positioned for another try in 2012. If she never makes it out of the primaries, it will be very difficult to make a case for her in 2012. Besides, if her own party rejects her, she can't use the "Vast Right Wing Conspiracy" excuse.
No. Hillary is more beatable than Obama. I’d like to see the machine go down. But let’s wait till November so we can be sure that a new machine doesn’t rise.
Depending on who the Repub nom is, it would come down to whether America is ready for a Black president with, umm, a Muslim background.
All I know is he’s NOT Hillary and may be more malleable.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Rochester is my hometown. I live in the suburbs now. I’ve watched the Dems take it to a new low. It was a great city at one time. It’s personal I guess.
Dump the Witch ! . . . *BUMP*!
She’s got a week after New Hampshire to destroy Obama before Michigan...
Then the Hill lights up the Gilford, NH Meeting with her charm and energy!
Obama will ask her to be his VP in a mili-second if he happens to pull this off.
“Barack Hussein Obama has a shot in Michigan.”
He isn’t on the ballot and neither is Edwards. They can’t even be wrote in.
Hillary currently has more than twice the delegates that Obama has. See Super delegates
I’ve said this too many times, but we can NEVER underestimate the evil of the Clintons. They are never done, and they will destroy Obama soon with whatever torpedo they undoubtedly possess. And after they do that, Obama will of course throw his support to the Clinton machine, choosing life, liberty and the pursuit of breath rather than thinking about taking on the Clintons again before 2016.
And John McPerot will answer the Clinton clarion call and launch his own 3rd party torpedo to sink whatever pub gets nominated—thereby allowing Hillary to sneak in to the Oval Office like Bill did, under 44%.
And I hate to say it, but we will probably all look back at this silly Iowa caucus and think “how nice it felt to believe we might be rid of the Clintons soon!”.
Kinda like how we felt on December 20, 1998.
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