Iowa Predictions

01/02/08 | ASB

[Rudder]

Clinton finishes 3rd for the dems.

[bluebeak]

I’m just bitter and jealous because the election is always over by the time the primary comes around in my state! :>)

I would love to go to the Iowa caucus ... especially to mess with the Ron Paul supporters! I’d be telling them I thought he dropped out of the race ... and I thought some of the other campaigns were telling me about that and I thought I got a few phone calls to that effect. :>)

With the poor turnout, Ron Paul support will be exaggerated, imo. I don’t know though ... I think the Paul and Obama supporters are most likely to stay home or “forget” about the caucus.

[bluebeak]

My guess ...

Democrats:

Edwards: 37
Clinton: 34
Obama: 29

Republicans:

Romney: 28%
Huckabee: 22%
Thompson: 18%
McCain: 12%
Paul: 10%
Guilani: 8%
Hunter: 2%

[JohnnyZ]

Huckabee 28
Romney 25 (53)
Thompson 14 (67)
McCain 14 (81)
Paul 11 (92)
Giuliani 4 (96)
Hunter 2 (98)
Keyes <1
Others 1

Ugh, my numbers look a lot like Zogbysauce.

[Republic Rocker]

RePubs:

Huckster 27%
Romster 26%
McPainMe 17%
FRed 9%
Rudes 9%
RuPaul 5%
Hunter 4%
TTanc. 3%

Dims:

Osama 30%
Shrill 28%
Deadward 23%
BRich. 10%
JBlowden 4%
Corncobs the rest %

[RachelFaith]

OK... Take note... cause you heard it hear first....

UNCONVENTIONAL WISDOM AND ON THE GROUND ACTIVITY:

Huckabee 20,783
Romney 19,937
Paul 17,840

---

McCain 11,288
Giuliani 8,971
Thompson 7,326

---

Hunter 1,087
Keyes 784

Flame On....

= )

[WFTR]

Romney 30%
Huckabee 25%
Thompson 20%
Paul 10%
McCain 5%
Giuliani 5%
Hunter 5%

[Just mythoughts]

Hillary will win and nobody else matters!! It will be a ‘miracle’!!! /s

[38special]

GOP:
Huckster 31%
Romney 20%
Fred 18%

Rats:
The Devil 35%
Magic Negroe 30%
Ambulance Chaser 20%

[MinnesotaLibertarian]

I also predict this exact order.

[RachelFaith]

Come on!! Don’t be shy... Put up yer numbers !!

[Fabozz]

"Fred Thompson will do better than expected as people realize that competence at campaigning doesn’t translate into competence at governing."

Fred got a big chunk of cash from me the day he announced, so I'd love for you to be right, but I see no reason to believe that after 55 previous Presidential elections, suddenly this one is when people finally reach that conclusion.

I predict the worse possible result for the country: Huck, McCain, Romney, Rudy, Thompson on one side, and Edwards, Obama, Hillary on the other.

[trumandogz]

GOP-

Huckabee

Romney

McCain

Thompson

Dem-

Edwards

Clinton

Obama

[HAL9000]

Ugh, my numbers look a lot like Zogbysauce.

The results are in - 95.5% of them anyway - and your predictions were the most accurate. I salute your skills as a political prognosticator.

Any predictions for New Hampshire?

[JohnnyZ]

Neat!

We actually have a thread up already on New Hampshire:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1948348/posts

It's kind of early to make picks since NH is going to be in turmoil the next couple days with attacks and debates, but I went out on a limb anyway.

McCain 35
Romney 18
Huckabee 16
Paul 15
Rudy 8
Fred 4
Hunter 4

Apparently McCain and Huckabee are working together to knock Romney out of the race. MORE POPCORN!

[HAL9000]

That looks reasonable.

In my prediction, I would exchange Paul and Rudy's placement.