Posted on 12/18/2007 3:55:20 PM PST by JCEccles
Poll of 418 highly likely voters conducted 12/16 and 12/17:
Romney 28%
Huckabee 25.1%
Thompson 10.8%
McCain 6.9%
Paul 5.5%
Giuliani 5.1%
Tancredo 3.7%
Hunter .5%
Undecided 14.4%
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Latest poll also shows Romney and Huckabee tied in South Carolina. The Huckabee bubble may have burst. Good timing for Romney.
Bump!
Way to go, Mitt!
Thompson is third, which shows promise for him still being in the running. I had thought he had missed his chance, but hopefully I was wrong.
Hunter: 0.5%
Ouch
Ouch, I agree. Hunter is a fine, fine man.
The only strength that Huck has is his pro-life stance.
The rest of him is all lib.
Actually, you can make a case for this being too early. Front runners are getting hammered.
But the difference now would be no more debates. It’s all just professional campaigning now. Paid staff keeping the name out there with positions and endorsements and appearances and Big Media Buys.
If Huckabee loses his Iowa lead, he will go off the radar screen faster than a UFO.
Third doesn’t do it for Thompson. The expectations game doesn’t play to potential donors. He faces New Hampshire obscurity just 5 days later and a full 7 days while the press talks about New Hampshire from Grand Rapids in Michigan, as Romney campaigns there vs Guilliani (with Huckabee in freefall). Then another 5 days burning money before Nevada has its caucuses and SC its primary. Odds are credibly good that he is out of oxygen by then — and today’s Rasmussen shows him a distant 3rd in SC anyway vs Huckabee and Romney tied for the lead.
I read in NRO that Thompson is the second choice of many Huckabee voters in Iowa. If that’s true, any slippage away from Huckabee will benefit Thompson (plus some of the other candidates).
Huck made a good first impression, but it quickly faded. Mitt has never faded, hopefully, he will continue to grow stronger as people realize that Rudy has too messy of a private life.
There is a lot more than just immigration that you should consider about the Huckster. The Huckster is a sure loser in a national election. His Baptist preaching will be a turnoff to independent voters. His naive foreign policy ideas are a joke. His compassionate conservatism would be much worse than Bush. The Huckster will be a disaster on taxes, spending, entitlements, and immigration.
Hunter is at the top of my list, but at the bottom of this poll. Even Ron Paul is doing better. What’s wrong with Hunter?
Do you mean Thompson is in 3rd in South Carolina? That could change fast. If Huckabee disappears, which could happen after New Hampshire, Thompson could shoot to second place in SC. But who knows? Guiliani could win New Hampshire, and then what will happen?
Yeah, I'm starting to think that. Personally, I'd like to see Hunter or Thompson win, but I'd be happy with anyone but Ron Paul. I'd even vote for McCain over Clinton or Obama. I'd have to hold my nose while doing it, though. :-)
What’s wrong with Hunter?
The man came to the table with solid positions on issues, with a history of legislative commitment, and with no idea how to run a national campaign.
All of which did not destroy him. What destroyed him was he didn’t know anyone with those skills and had done nothing to secure support of colleagues across the nation — who could have helped his fund raising.
This is the kind of candidate the primary process does a very good job of eliminating. Why is it good to eliminate a good man? Because he has no idea how to run a campaign, and therefore is a guaranteed loser in November. We can sympathize with his principles, but I have no regrets that a campaign incompetent is not nominated.
Good grief, this isn’t New Hampshire, it’s Iowa.
I need a break.
If Huckabee finishes less than first his numbers will collapse across the country and Thompson will be become the alternative to Romney heading into SC.
Also, if Huckabee implodes in Iowa, Thompson will pick up most ex-Huck voters and probably finish second.
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