Posted on 12/17/2007 11:43:27 AM PST by dangus
In 2000, when scientists declared that the Earth's temperature was rising, much anxiety ensued, even though the increase was only half of a degree over sixty years. In just the past year, however, the Earth's temperature has reversed, yielding back one-half of that increase.
The past month's (November's) global oceanic data from the National Climatic Data Center has now been released, and the Earth's oceans surface is .2548 degrees warmer than the 1880-2007 average. That's down from .5250 last year and .5597 roughly a decade ago.
There have been drops of roughly a couple tenths of a degree previously, in spite of the general warming trend. But such drops, blamed on "La Ninas," have occured immediately following temperature spikes. What makes this current La Nina unusual is that the current temperature drop follows an imperceptibly small temperature spike.
As a result, the cold snap is pulling down even the six-year running average of temperatures.
This does not mean that the warming trend has necessarily reversed itself; there have, indeed been declines in running averages even longer than that during this decline. In fact, a cooling trend lasted from the 1940s through the 1970s.
However, unable to justify drastic temperatures with fears of the temperature rising a single degree or less next century, the global-warming doomsday-preachers have been asserting that the surge in global warming in the late 1990s indicated an acceleration of global warming.
The notion of such an acceleration seems difficult to reconcile with the new data: The world's oceans were warmer during warm spells of the 1940s.
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/anomalies/monthly.ocean.90S.90N.df_1901-2000mean.dat
Algore will be deeply saddened, of course.
Dang global cooling!
It’s a new iceage.
We are all going to die.
Isn't it all about the Polar Bears?
Accelerating growth leads to exponential curves which leads to very scary computer models. Fear-mongers have been using the power of exponential growth curves to scare the masses for centuries.
Prolly not. They don't go by global warming anymore, it won't work and they know it. Now the point out "climate change". This is a change. They are always right under this scenario.
Regards
Just try to get him to admit it!
Can it still be called a "spike" if it is "imperceptibly small"?
It appears to me that such a minor change might be well within the normal measuring error. Too many variables to control to get a repeatable reading?
What do you think?
*I* have long been saying that we are in global cooling. Why has no one listened and sent me on a first class trip to exotic Bali for a few weeks so as to hear me out? The world is crazy!
I wonder about the accuracy of the 1880 “global” ocean surface temperature... and the comparability of that number to one measured today.
As I remember, the “global” satellite monitoring system then was a little less mature than today.
However, I’m sure that they have some pretty good assurance to call it down to 0.2548 degrees... either Fahrenheit or Celsius!
Coggie -
Care to comment?
They’re able to measure temperature to ten-thousandths of a degree precision?? I’d really like to see the thermometer that generated these numbers. (Yes, I know, these numbers are undoubtedly the result of averaging across a huge number of different thermometers. They’ve probably also applied ‘correction factors’ to the raw readings.)
Oh please! If you trust this, you’d have trusted Hitler!
Iz that cuz itz winture outsid?
It’s Bush’s fault.
I think this is much closer to occurring given historic trends and data. Probably within 100+ years if the 100,000 year cycle holds true.
Temps plunge? So what, it’s irrelevent. It’s not global warming it’s climate change. Haven’t you been paying attention? /s/
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