Posted on 12/11/2007 6:01:08 PM PST by saganite
The Politico) GOP state Del. Rob Wittman is heading to a landslide victory over Iraq war veteran Phil Forgit (D) in today's Virginia special election to succeed the late Rep. Jo Ann Davis (R-Va).
With 67 percent of precincts reporting, Wittman has won 63 percent of the vote, while Forgit has only tallied 35 percent. Most of the outstanding vote is from Republican-heavy parts of the district, making it all-but-impossible for Forgit to close the gap.
Neither party’s congressional campaign committee spent much money in the district, but the NRCC had spent money to produce a campaign ad, which they never aired. Instead, all the attention has been in northwest Ohio, where a much-closer special election also took place today.
The district has been reliably Republican, giving President Bush 60 percent of the vote in 2004. But even conservative parts of the Old Dominion have trended in a Democratic direction recently, and Gov. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) and former governor Mark Warner campaigned alongside Forgit over the last week.
Meanwhile, House Minority Leader John Boehner said that, if Wittman was elected, he would work to secure him a spot on the coveted House Armed Services Committee.
63%? Needs to be at least 98% before the rats won’t claim it was stolen from them.
According to an article I just read that district reliably runs +10 for the Republican so it’s good news so far. There was some speculation of a Dem pickup there and the Kos kids were all atwitter over the prospect. Could you report more results as they come in?
Yup, now 55.7 - 44 and a third party type 0.2. GOP ahead. No data on what precincts counted.
The DNC and RNC put some money into this race. It was supposed to be meaningful. The DNC thought they could pick it up.
I just found the site myself and there’s a little note that says 53% of precincts reporting.
Wrong state. This is Virginia, The Old Dominion...those two clowns are from that other state with Virginia in it's name.
Looks like about half of the vote is in in Ohio.
Precincts Reporting: 54.05%
|
U.S. Representative District 5 |
||
| Candidate / Issue | % of Votes | Number Of Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Latta, Robert (R) | 56.67% | 27,111 |
| Weirauch, Robin (D) | 43.15% | 20,643 |
| Green, John (WI) | 0.19% | 90 |
Good. I found 221K votes total in the 2006 race. Talk was of 20% turnout. That would be 44K and the total already exceeds that, so the 20% number will prove off by a factor of 2.
The streaming results still say 55.7% - 44%. If that’s 50+% precincts reported, good.
Looks like better than +10 for the Republican candidate so far. A major part of his campaign was getting tough on illegal immigration. Looks like the issue has some legs.
Excellent. The lead is growing.
That 221K would have been a percentage of registered voters (say 50% for example) so you can’t make the calculation based on that.
55.94%-43.88% with 73.79% of the precincts in. Lead still expanding. This one’s in the bag.
Votes are coming in fast - almost 75% of the precincts in - the Repub lead is still healthy. about 56-44 % with a fraction for the third party guy.
74% of precincts reporting and it’s a 12% lead. Wonder what’s going on over in KOS land?
It doesn't look that much closer, unless the remaining precincts are democrat hold backs.
The remaining counties are small, and none of them appear to be major swing counties. One of them is Putnam County, where Bush got 76% of the vote in 2004. The Republican could end up padding his lead even more.
Yup, you’re right, and the number of RVs have changed, but I had no other data 15 mins ago but to look up how many voted in 2006.
I see about 74K total votes now and the lead is
55.9% GOP
43.8% Dem
Yep, I read polls showed it to be within 3%. That’s well within the margin of error for polling in these kinds of races. Looks like it’s going to be a blowout though unless the remaining 25% of precincts is heavily Dem.
Of course...my bad.
You guys have better data. Time for me to be quiet. 70+% precincts and 12% sounds safe.
No surprise here.
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