Posted on 11/16/2007 5:30:40 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
According to Real Clear Politics, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to enjoy a solid double digit lead in both Iowa and New Hampshire. He also holds a more narrow lead in South Carolina and Michigan and appears to be in a statistical tie in Nevada.
This suggests to me that if he is able to hold on and win the Iowa caucuses his path to the nomination seems clear and direct, for a number of straightforward reasons.
First, other than Mike Huckabee, Romney is the only candidate with momentum in Iowa. Guiliani is not a factor here, Fred Thompson has been fading, and John McCain continues to lack traction.
Dick Morris correctly points out that Mike Huckabee appears to have generated some enthusiasm but he seems to have stalled in the mid-teens and will be vulnerable should Ron Paul's million dollar plus media buy in the state generate any considerable support for the Texas Congressman.
Should Romney win Iowa, even narrowly, he will almost certainly sweep through New Hampshire. And should that happen the likelihood is very high he will take the next three states easily.
Should Romney win 5 of the first 5 states, or even 4 or the first 5 states the attention he will generate and the support he will win cannot be overestimated.
It is hard to imagine Rudy Guiliani maintaining his support in the large states that come thereafter like Florida, California, and Illinois.
To be sure, none of this is locked in stone, but given the transformative effect Iowa had on the Democratic side in 2004, I wouldn't bet against Mitt Romney.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Bump.
He ships the stuff to TV stations in boxcars....
i like mitt
i like mitt too.
He could wind up winning this thing.
Romney works hard and Americans love a hard worker. He has lots of energy, youth and can communicate. His family will stand in stark contrast to the Klintoons. His is going to be the GOP’s compromise between Rudy and Fred.
Mitt could win this thing ping!
“He is going to be the GOP’s compromise between Rudy and Fred.”
Hmmm... that’s an interesting take on things. I’d never thought of Mitt in that light before.
“He is going to be the GOP’s compromise between Rudy and Fred.”
Yes, I’ve thought of Mitt as between Rudy and Fred. This article seems a little gushing and betting a lot on momentum. We shall see. That’s why we have primaries.
He’s not everything I would like but I think he’s the best of the lot. ANd I think his conservative instincts are genuine, though I think he’s prone to compromise them for expediency.
Pretty well says it all, run the man my gal can beat!
Mitt is the one!
Will Mitt imitate Oprah and buy us all a new car? I’d like an Alfa Romeo, please. Can you pass that order on to Team Mitt? Oh, and a Ruth’s Chris gift certificate would be nice.
Agreed. I lived in Massachusetts while he was governor, and I just like the guy.
Yes he has his liberal bent, but he is an honest leader, and there won't be any scandals or personal embarrassments in his presidency.
Beware GOP candidates that Dems like.
There is nothing wrong with money. If you haven’t anything to sell you simply wont’t get the money. As Romney rises, he will get even more money.
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