Note that Romney does better among women than any other Republican. This is true in other polls as well. Romney is especially well suited to take on Hiliary, for this and other reasons.
Posted on 11/14/2007 6:54:33 AM PST by teddyballgame
Even as he continues to hold a convincing lead in the national race, Rudy Giuliani may be riding for a big fall in Iowa and the other early state primaries. Mitt Romney, despite his anemic national showing, could sweep Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan, a trifecta that could give him such momentum as to sweep him to the nomination.
The numbers are scary for Giuliani (and since Mitt doesn't have a prayer in hell of beating Hillary in a general election, scary for us all). While he holds a lead in the national polls (Giuliani 30, Thompson 17, McCain 15, Romney 12, Huckabee 9 -- all data is from the average of the past five polls posted on www.realclearpolitics.com), he is trailing badly in all the early states.
In Iowa, the first caucus, it's Romney 29, Huckabee 15, Giuliani 13, Thompson 12, McCain 8. And New Hampshire isn't much better. There it's Romney also in the lead with 32 percent, Rudy a distant second at 21 percent, McCain at 16 percent, Huckabee at 7 percent and Thompson at 5 percent. And Michigan, which might be just a few days after New Hampshire, shows Romney also in the lead at 25 percent with Rudy at 20 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Neither Mitt nor Rooty can win their own state... Thompson can.
Can't really say about Mass......after all they keep electing Teddy.......
Note that Romney does better among women than any other Republican. This is true in other polls as well. Romney is especially well suited to take on Hiliary, for this and other reasons.
And Maine, which used to be a Bellweather, but if we assume that we have a election map similar to 2004, ME and NH don’t equal to say Arkansas, New Mexico and Arizona.
And that is the trade off that would lose the election for Republicans in 2008, winning NJ may offset Ohio, but not those other states.
“A Republican hasn’t won in the NE since maybe GHWB.”
It’s true, the landscape in politics have shifted quite a bit in the last century. Reagan once won Massachusetts and before that the South use to vote Democratic. Now the only Northeast state a Republican has a chance of winning is NH. MA, NY, NJ, RI, CT, VT will all go (D) no matter who is the nominee.
I seriously doubt Romney puts Mass. in play in a presidential election. There is one possibility. Romney is very handsome. It’s just possible some of the Hilary female supporters will vote for his looks.
Based on what?
MI has become so Democrat I just don’t think a Republican can pull it out this cycle, the days of John Engler are in the rear view mirror, the R’s in MI behaved like the R’s in Ohio at the state legislature level.
If it comes down to looks, I doubt they will pull the lever for Hil........
:-)
Because conservatives, for the most part, won't vote for the guy, anymore than they will vote for Rudy. Rudy is starting to look bad so Rudy supporters are swinging to Mitt, but the majority of conservatives want someone else. If Rudy, for example, has a 30 percent share, that means 70 percent(I know, it is a no brainer but some people can't understand it)don't want him. Same with Mitt or any of the other candidates, including Duncan and Fred. If anyone but a conservative is nominated, and that means if anyone other than Fred or Duncan is nominated, then the republicans will lose the 2008 WH vote, no matter who the Dems run as a candidate.
It is time for the RNC to start to realize that and to go back to strong conservative values in a candidate instead of backing Rinos such as Rudy and Mitt.
Lots of support has come to Romney from strong religious conservatives, so don't write him off with the Baptists yet.
I should have clarified my previous remarks.
I wasn’t thinking in terms of what states Giuliani could win that would offset a loss somewhere else.
I was thinking only in terms of what states Guiliani could win that a GOP candidate might not necessarily count on.
I would expect that Guiliani could win Arkansas, New Mexico and Arizona - although NM seems to be the least favorable of the three.
Not quite so finished as that teddyballgame, the Republican challenger who came the closest to winning in 06 was in NJ against Bob Melendez in NJ.
So it may still be possible, and NY as well, but both just for Jooles, that name recognition up there is worth millions in Ad money already.
IMO, that is one of the reasons that some RNC types have their hearts set on Jooles, he may keep the Republican party in the NE from going extinct.
The toe-sucker wants Hillary to win to keep him employed as the ‘All things Hillary’ expert.
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