And Maine, which used to be a Bellweather, but if we assume that we have a election map similar to 2004, ME and NH don’t equal to say Arkansas, New Mexico and Arizona.
And that is the trade off that would lose the election for Republicans in 2008, winning NJ may offset Ohio, but not those other states.
I should have clarified my previous remarks.
I wasn’t thinking in terms of what states Giuliani could win that would offset a loss somewhere else.
I was thinking only in terms of what states Guiliani could win that a GOP candidate might not necessarily count on.
I would expect that Guiliani could win Arkansas, New Mexico and Arizona - although NM seems to be the least favorable of the three.