Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Rasmussen ^ | November 12, 2007 | Rasmussen

[eastsider]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Rudy Giuliani with a thirteen-point lead and Mitt Romney tied for second in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Rudy Giuliani attracts 27% support from Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson are tied for second at 14% with John McCain a point behind at 13%. Mike Huckabee is now the top pick for 10% while Ron Paul's support remains at 6%. No other Republican tops 1% (see recent daily numbers).

[eastsider]

Fred's 14% today is better than yesterday's 12% ...

[codercpc]

Looks like race for 2nd place is tightening up. They are all virtually tied, with Rudy now by himself in first place with 27%.

[Red Badger]

Ron Paul holding steady..............

[freespirited]

Romney is now seen as the most conservative Republican candidate

@#$!&%$#!!@^%

[jonathanmo]

Big lead for Giuliani...the most interesting thing I think is that Romney is now considered the most conservative Republican...I wonder what is driving that? Did Thompson’s rejection of the Human Life Amendment and Gay Marriage Amendment finally take its toll?

[eastsider]

I didn’t get the memo either.

[ClarenceThomasfan]

It’s the Pat Robertson bump. We’ll have to see if it holds. It appears that the Kerik thing hasn’t made a dent in Guiliani’s support.

On a side note,I noticed that Obama was mentioning Mitt Romney alot in his Iowa speech. He was almost trying to promote Mitt’s candidacy. The Democrats want to run against Romney in the general. They think he is the most weak.

[philsfan24]

“Romney is now seen as the most conservative Republican candidate”

if thats the case, he either really pulled a good one on america or theres really alot of stupid people out there.

[tompster76]

The stage has been set. Guliani will hold his national lead, but it is up to the states. Most likely, the nominee is known after NH (or SC at the latest). Given that Guliani/Romney/Thompson are practically tied in SC the one who has the momentum from NH wins there and closes the deal.

If Fred has a strong showing (e.g. close 2nd) in Iowa followed by a good result in NH, he has a good chance of winning the nomination. If Romney wins Iowa and NH the race is over. If Guliani has decent result in Iowa and he wins NH, he gets the nomination.

[TLI]

Romney is now seen as the most conservative Republican candidate

Boy, that is enough to make you gag.

[Spiff]

• Send FReep Mail to Unmarked Package to get [ON] or [OFF] the Mitt Romney Ping List •

Romney passes Thompson by a point over the weekend (for the first time) ending up tied with him today. Thompson sees his lowest point since Rasmussen started tracking him in their daily polls. Thompson's support has slipped 40% since his announcement in September. McCain's numbers are slightly down and Huckabee pays a brief and soon to be repeated visit back down into the single digits. The real concern is that Giuliani has recovered some of his support, achieving a level he's not Giuliani's closest business associate/partner and former chief of police, Bernard Kerik, was indicted for corruption on Friday.

[TitansAFC]

Weekend poll, but still good news.

Now it’s time to take the gloves off and go right after Rudy911 - using Rudy911’s own words against him.

Mitt is slowly moving to become the alternative to Rudy911. It just might work.

[eastsider]

I don't agree with the South Carolina scenario. I say Thompson wins SC irrespective of his showing in IA and NH.

We're headed for a brokered convention.

[Spiff]

Mitt tops Fred

The Washington Times
Stephan Dinan
12 November 2007

A new Rasmussen poll finds that voters see Mitt Romney as a conservative candidate more than Fred Thompson — the first time Thompson has not led on that measure.

In the last month the number of Republicans viewing Romney as conservative has jumped 10 points, to 46 percent, while Thompson has fallen 11 points, to 40 percent.

The conservative label holds obvious importance for a Republican primary.

Mike Huckabee is moving up fast on the scale, with 38 percent seeing him as conservative. Scott Rasmussen, the pollster, said Huckabee is being held back more by name recognition than anything else. While nearly 80 percent of voters had an opinion of Romney's leanings and more than 90 percent had a sense for Rudy Giuliani, only 64 percent had an opinion on Huckabee's politics.

Here's the conservative rating for the top six Republican candidates:

Romney 46 percent
Thompson 40 percent
Huckabee 38 percent
McCain 28 percent
Giuliani 21 percent
Paul 16 percent

— Stephen Dinan, national political reporter, The Washington Times

[Grunthor]

Can’t it be both?

[tompster76]

“I don’t agree with the South Carolina scenario. I say Thompson wins SC irrespective of his showing in IA and NH.”

I think every race in the last 100 years has followed the same pattern. Whoever has the momentum (e.g. early wins) ends up winning.

Your theory would be more credible if Fred were now leading strongly in SC. The reality is that Romney is leading (followed by Guliani) in SC and there is about zero chance of him losing support there if he trounces opponents in Iowa and NH (even if most Guliani supporters move to Fred’s camp) The system just does not work that way. Early losers do not gain votes.
Wouldn’t it be ironic if Fred’s hope in SC depends on attracting all those Guliani supporters in the race against Romney. Rudy supporters may have long memory..

[Verginius Rufus]

As Lincoln said, “You can fool some of the people all of the time.”

[FastCoyote]

“if thats the case, he either really pulled a good one on america or theres really alot of stupid people out there.”

If Romney gets the nod, there will be a trail of tears for the next 9 years.

[JCEccles]

if thats the case, he either really pulled a good one on america or theres really alot of stupid people out there.

On the contrary. The closer people look, they more they come to the conclusion that Mitt IS the most conservative candidate.

Unlike Fred, Mitt doesn't waffle on gay marriage or abortion (Fred has tried to hide his waffling behind a federalism fig leaf, but he's not succeeding very well).

[eastsider]

The impact of Fred’s TV ads in SC cannot be overstimated, and they start running next week. A month from now, Thompson will be in the lead in SC, and Romney will never get it back.