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Slippery Hillary loses her aura of inevitability
The Sunday Times (of London) ^ | November 4, 2007 | Andrew Sullivan

Posted on 11/03/2007 5:53:27 PM PDT by Aristotelian

The old conventional wisdom: she’s inevitable. The new conventional wisdom: not so much.

The press loves a narrative. It drives our reporting and analysis, and the story for the better part of the past six months is that you might as well take a long nap between now and the moment that Hillary Clinton is sworn in as the next president of the United States.

If you were betting your life savings, you’d still be shrewd to put your money on the prevaricator, wherever she happens to be campaigning that day. But nothing is certain in politics; and the Clinton candidacy has been much less formidable so far than you have been led to believe.

The turning point, if it turns out to be one, was last Tuesday night in yet another Democratic debate. The hype was that Barack Obama was finally going to get tough with his main opponent.

But Obama seems unable to do such a thing. He sails elegantly above the fray, with complete paragraphs fluidly tripping off his tongue, his voice rarely rising above the even-tem-pered basso profundo of a college don. He has a quick grin, but not a rapier wit. He would have done rather poorly at the Oxford Union. Given several opportunities for a quick rhetorical kill against the frontrunner, he balked.

It was left to third-place John Edwards to keep hammering at Clinton’s core vulnerability: “The American people . . . deserve a president of the United States that they know will tell them the truth and won’t say one thing one time and something different at a different time.” You think?

It was up to another candidate, Senator Christopher Dodd, to remind Democrats that almost half the country have told pollsters they would never vote for Clinton. Shouldn’t that be a factor in the Democrats’ decision on their candidate for next year?

Edwards even sounded a little like a Republican Hillary-hater at times. “Will she be the person who brings about the change in this country? You know, I believe in Santa Claus. I believe in the tooth fairy,” he said. “But I don’t think that’s going to happen.”

The next day, Clinton’s slightly rattled machine played the gender card, describing the way she’d been piled into by her rivals as a classic case of six men attacking a woman. She sent out a fundraising letter complaining about the “pile-on”. Yes, Clinton is a feminist until she gets into trouble and then she plays the wounded woman card. It’s not a new schtick, of course. She was a feminist until she had the chance to run for office in the 1980s and chose to coopt political power via her husband first.

She was a feminist until her husband was sued for sexual harassment in the 1990s, and she had to smear his accusers. And she’s still a feminist until she turns in a poor debate performance.

Her pollster, Mark Penn, reassured nervous donors the next day that female voters were saying: “Senator Clinton needs our support now more than ever if we’re going to see this six-on-one to try to bring her down.” Can you imagine a real feminist – like, say, Margaret Thatcher – ever using that kind of excuse after a rough prime minister’s questions?

What actually happened last week is that, finally, the real Clinton was exposed. Since last year, she has very successfully Photoshopped all the rough edges off her real persona and launched a campaign as a “new Hillary”. She glowed. Her hair was fixed into one style, as feminine and yet as authoritative as it could get. She smiled and smiled and smiled.

She was much better at public speaking. She even road-tested a new laugh on a few Sunday morning talk shows – a laugh that subsequently disappeared from her repertoire after too many people heard what they thought was a cackle. (She had also practised it so well that it came off identically on every programme – the kind of thing you can no longer get away with in a YouTube political culture.)

Every detail of every programme was in place. She had nuanced her pro-Iraq-war vote into a melange that somehow managed to satisfy the liberal base of her party without making her vulnerable to a gung-ho Republican next year. She even presented a new, less statist healthcare plan to erase the miserable memory of her last attempt in 1994. The press lapped it up, and Democrats increasingly leant her way as the safe bet.

But the flipside of her carefully calibrated new image and her meticulously balanced positions was that she increasingly came off as the completely calculating and untrustworthy pure politician that she actually is. The mirage of benign Evita-style womanhood worked so long as she could maintain the generous aura of an inevitable elder stateswoman.

Behind the scenes, of course, it was the usual story: sleazy, relentless fundraising, brutal pressure on any Democratic party figure not beholden to her and her husband, and polls, polls, polls. But somehow, the Bush-Cheney era worked like some electro-convulsive therapy on many Americans, instantly erasing any bad memories of the Clinton sleaze of the 1990s and wiping the reality of Hillary’s true nature from the national psyche.

Her discipline in keeping this new image afloat is extraordinary. But every now and again, the mask slips. An unsavoury Chinatown fundraising link emerged. And then she did something really stupid: she supported a Senate amendment sponsored by hard-right Republican John Kyl and neoconservative Democrat Joe Lieber-man, designating Iran’s Revolutionary Guard as a terrorist organisation and giving the Bush administration a green light to launch a possible air-strike against it. To a Democratic base already suspicious of Clinton for her vote for the Iraq war, this was unnerv-ingly close to Bush.

And then last Tuesday came her debate debacle. She kept trying to have it both ways on almost every question – and suddenly, everyone could see the old Clinton casuistry. YouTube only echoed her two-faced posture. Her answers seemed always designed not to express her real views – if, after all these years of positioning, she can be said to have any real views left – but pure calculation. She did this to herself. Probably tired, a little cranky and more than a little overconfident, the veil fell and the old “say anything to get or keep power” Clinton emerged into the stage-light.

It is enough to give Democrats pause before her coronation. Is it enough to derail her? I don’t know. I do know that in Iowa, the one state where voters have really engaged with the candidates and broken through the national advertising and PR machine, she is faltering. There, she is running neck and neck with Obama, and Edwards is fading. The problem with a campaign built on inevitability is that the minute the inevitability aura is punctured, much can unravel. If she wins Iowa, it’s probably over for Obama. But if she loses there, her strongest argument – that she can win – will crumple. And Obama will still have the money and organisation to fight on.

The good thing for the Democrats and for America is that the real Clinton is now running for office. She has abilities and policies worth weighing in their own right – rather than crowning her as Miss Inevitability. Obama, moreover, has yet to make the sale to many Democrats worried by his somewhat detached persona. He didn’t win last week’s debate. She lost it.

This isn’t over. In many ways, it has just started.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: hillary; hillaryscandals; marxistmedusa
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1 posted on 11/03/2007 5:53:28 PM PDT by Aristotelian
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To: Aristotelian

thanks.


2 posted on 11/03/2007 5:58:18 PM PDT by ken21 ( people die + you never hear from them again.)
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To: Aristotelian

I’m not an Andrew Sullivan fan, but good for him writing this.


3 posted on 11/03/2007 6:00:06 PM PDT by tips up
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To: Aristotelian

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/us_elections/article2801000.ece

And another interesting article. Same subject. I just posted on another thread here that they are ready to slime anyone who gets in the way.


4 posted on 11/03/2007 6:00:28 PM PDT by casino66 ( If I vote Dem I'll get everything 'free')
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To: Aristotelian
This is all so scripted, anyone with a half a brain cell can put 2 and 2 together.

This is Hillary's "low" point, just like Bubba with the Gennifer Flowers thingy. Then Hillary will make a proposal or go do an interview, and then the MSM will be kissing (blech!) her ring and the other candidates will concede defeat and line up for cabinet positions.

5 posted on 11/03/2007 6:01:58 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: Aristotelian
If Hillary cracks this badly when under this minuscule pressure from a DNC lapdog like Russert, how in the world can anyone believe she could handle being President?
6 posted on 11/03/2007 6:03:10 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Pacifism is not moral. True morality requires evil be opposed, not appeased)
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To: Aristotelian
About time the MSM... saw through the bitch's invisible new clothes!

Whoa! Now that's a sight... I don't want to even imagine!

7 posted on 11/03/2007 6:03:18 PM PDT by Bender2 ("I've got a twisted sense of humor, and everything amuses me." RAH Beyond this Horizon)
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To: Aristotelian
The Borg Queen has spent her life hiding behind press handlers, focus groups, and choreographed softballs lobbed by willing Fourth Estate co-conspirators. Now that this election is a different bag of marbles, she's going to have to swim with the sharks coming from both wings, and she's showing that she's can't tread the depths too well without her water wings.


8 posted on 11/03/2007 6:05:00 PM PDT by Viking2002 (Fred in '08. Deal with it.)
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To: Viking2002

Excellent points, as usual.


9 posted on 11/03/2007 6:08:38 PM PDT by doc1019 (Fred Thompson '08)
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To: Aristotelian

I really cannot see from here, any scenario where Hillary does not win a year from now.

We are all screwed.


10 posted on 11/03/2007 6:09:33 PM PDT by Radix (When I became a man, I put away childish things)
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To: tips up
She fools everyone, she must be defeated and she and her alleged husband sent to hell.
11 posted on 11/03/2007 6:10:05 PM PDT by boomop1 (there you go again)
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To: Aristotelian
Slippery Hillary loses her aura of inevitability

open a "hell hath no fury" file on hil. She may start to bare her teeth now. Sharpen up pencils for the body count.

12 posted on 11/03/2007 6:10:46 PM PDT by the invisib1e hand (keep the heat on the hillary.)
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To: doc1019
Danke schoen, mein freund.


13 posted on 11/03/2007 6:10:50 PM PDT by Viking2002 (Fred in '08. Deal with it.)
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To: ken21

It looks like Hillary can throw a punch but she can’t be put in an arena where she has to take one. She throws her punch and then holds out her “I’m a girl you can’t hit me” card. I cannot imagine this in the White House.


14 posted on 11/03/2007 6:11:06 PM PDT by Plains Drifter (If guns kill people, wouldn't there be a lot of dead people at gun shows?)
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To: Viking2002

Agreed!!!!!!!!!


15 posted on 11/03/2007 6:12:28 PM PDT by Plains Drifter (If guns kill people, wouldn't there be a lot of dead people at gun shows?)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

Let’s not go granting super hero powers to the Hildebeast just yet, the LSM will be on her side of course, but there is often more then one slip between a cup and a lip...or a ballot box...


16 posted on 11/03/2007 6:12:28 PM PDT by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ No more miller brewing products, pass it on/Isaiah 3.3)
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To: Aristotelian

17 posted on 11/03/2007 6:14:36 PM PDT by I see my hands (_8(|)
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To: Viking2002

love that reference to the ‘Borg Queen’!!!


18 posted on 11/03/2007 6:18:20 PM PDT by go-ken-go (i)
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To: Viking2002

Macht Sie, Herrn, hat ein Blog?


19 posted on 11/03/2007 6:18:21 PM PDT by doc1019 (Fred Thompson '08)
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To: Aristotelian
Image hosted by Photobucket.com
Image hosted by Photobucket.com
LOOK... it's TouristSenator!!!
It shows up in more places than TouristGuy,
only with less style and substance...
she's Vaporware, just an empty crusty.
(Please spread me around like the parasite that i am...)
Image hosted by Photobucket.com

20 posted on 11/03/2007 6:25:05 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist)
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